We have some rain moving through this morning with temperatures in the low 60s. Yesterday we had a high of 81° and a low was 55°. I opened up my small fish pond yesterday. All of the foot-long goldfish were alive and well as well as the frogs which all survived the winter.
NWS Forecast
Rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected today as a warm front oscillates across the area. High temperatures will top out in the low 60s across Central Lower MI and in the upper 70s across Southern Lower Michigan.
SPC Forecast
Weather History
1964: A tornado destroyed a cottage and downed trees north of Newaygo.
1991: A restaurant was destroyed and a hardware store was unroofed as a tornado moved along the northwest edge of Hart in Oceana County.
On April 28, 2011, heavy rain that started on April 27 continued across Southeast Michigan. All locations received over an inch of rain during the two days, but many locations in the Saginaw Valley and Thumb had over 3 inches. Several roads in the Thumb region were closed. This rainfall helped to make it the third wettest April in Saginaw, the fourth wettest in Detroit, and the fifth wettest in Flint. The wet April assisted in making the spring of 2011 the wettest in Flint history, the second wettest in Detroit, and the eleventh wettest in Saginaw.
Also on April 28, 1986, an F2 tornado hit Saginaw county at 2:33 pm which cost $2.5 million in damages.
1893: A half-mile-wide estimated F4 tornado killed 23 people and injured 150 as it tore a path of devastation through Cisco, Texas. Every building in the town was either destroyed or severely damaged.
1973: The record crest of the Mississippi River at St. Louis, Missouri was registered at 43.23 feet on this day. This level exceeded the previous 1785 mark by 1.23 feet. This record was broken during the 1993 Flood when the Mississippi River crested at 49.58 feet on August 1st. At Memphis, Tennessee, the Mississippi was over flood stage for 63 days, more than that of the historic 1927 flood, and the river was above flood stage for an even longer 107 days at upstream Cairo, Illinois. Out of the seven largest floods on the Mississippi between 1927 and 1997, the 1973 event ranked third in both volume discharged and duration but only sixth in flood height. Over $250 million of damages were incurred mainly in the Mississippi Valley states of Missouri, Arkansas, Tennessee, Mississippi, and Louisiana.
1991: Memphis, Tennessee recorded their wettest April ever with 15.03 inches, breaking their previous record of 13.90 inches in 1872.
2002: During the evening hours, a violent F4 tornado carved a 64-mile path across southeast Maryland. The La Plata, Maryland tornado was part of a larger severe weather outbreak that began in the mid-Mississippi Valley early on that day and spread across portions of the Ohio Valley and the Mid-Atlantic States. In Maryland, three deaths and 122 injuries were a direct result of the storm. Property damage exceeded $100 million. Tornadoes along the Atlantic coast are not frequent, and tornadoes of this magnitude are extremely rare. Only six F4 tornadoes have occurred farther north and east of the La Plata storm: Worchester, Massachusetts – 1953; New York/Massachusetts – 1973; Windsor Locks, Connecticut – 1979; five counties in New York – 1989; New Haven, Connecticut – 1989; North Egremont, Massachusetts – 1995. None was as close to the coast. The tornado traveled across the Chesapeake Bay almost to the Atlantic.
Forecast Discussion
- Showers and Storms Continue into Sunday and Monday A surface low ejecting out of the southern plains will carry a warm frontal boundary into lower Michigan today. This front will stall over central lower this afternoon keeping showers mainly north of I- 96. Though the bulk of the instability will be mainly south of the frontal boundary and convection, storms will be possible. Severe weather does not look likely. HREF probability matched mean values continue to advertise local patches of 1 to 1.5 inches of rain from now to Monday morning, suggesting some training of storms may be possible. The upper trough associated with the surface low to our west moves into Ontario providing better upper support for an approaching cold front. Widespread showers encompass the CWA Sunday night and Monday. Storms will be possible as modest instability ahead of the front builds with bulk shear values up to 35 to 45 knots. Showers exit east late Monday leading to a dry Tuesday. - Multiple chances for rain exist from Monday night and beyond The upper system responsible for our chances for rain this weekend exits the Great Lakes into Canada Monday night. The rain will end Monday evening and we will be dry the remainder of the night and through Tuesday. A vort lobe pivots through the Great Lakes Tuesday night into Wednesday morning with another chance for rain. This chance for rain appears to be quite light as the upper system is located well west of the area. Another active weather period looks to be Thursday into Saturday as an upper trough moves into and through the area. Showers and thunderstorms are both in the forecast during this time frame as surface dew points surge into the 60s F. Most unstable CAPE values reach the 1000-2000 j/kg range on Thursday which could be the most active weather day of the upcoming work week. Bottom line the 7 day forecast remains active and wet with WPC QPF values through next Sunday morning on the order of 1.00 to 2.00 inches. - Near to above normal temperatures continue this week Normal highs are in the lower 60s this time of year and we are forecast to be above that through the the 7 day forecast. The warmest day of the period will be Thursday where we could hit 80 along I-94.
Glad to hear your fish and amphibs are well, MV.
It was unseasonably warm yesterday. 81 was the high here, which is 18 degrees above average. The tree foliage is really popping out now. Everything looks nice and green.
yeah they wake right up and resume as if winter never happened (which really didn’t this year)
The official high of 80 yesterday was the 8th warmest for any April 27th and was the warmest on the date since 1990. The overnight low and current temperature here in MBY is 63 and there is light rain falling at this time.
Slim
The official H/L yesterday was 80/54 there was no rainfall the sun was out 39% of the possible time. It was yet another windy day with a average wind speed of 16.5MPH and the highest wind gust of 45 MPH. (with no thunderstorms) For today the average H/L is 63/42 the record high of 83 was set in 1901 the record low of 24 was set in 1945. The most rainfall of 1.45” fell in 2020. The most snowfall was 0.9” in 1961. Last year the H/L was 57/42.
Slim