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A Warm & Humid Day

We reached 80° once again yesterday with .50 of an inch of rain which fell in the morning.  We have had 3.54 inches for the month, and 7.05 inches thus far for the spring.

We can expect another rainy humid day today with a bit more wind than yesterday, there is no expectation of severe weather.


NWS Forecast

Today
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8 am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8 am and 3 pm, and then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3 pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69. Southwest wind 9 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. The chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and a quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then a chance of showers between midnight and 3 am. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 49. Southwest wind 9 to 14 mph. The chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 64. West wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 49. West northwest wind 5 to 9 mph becoming calm.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. South wind 9 to 15 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph.
Wednesday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers after 3 am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Thursday
A 40 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 80.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers then showers likely, and possibly a thunderstorm after 9 pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 60.
Friday
Showers are likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74.
Friday Night
Showers are likely, mainly before 9 pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 51.
Saturday
A chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.

Weather History

1899: Grand Rapids sets the record high for the month of April at 90 degrees after a balmy morning low of 70 degrees.

1909: Heavy rain mixed with snow sets records across Lower Michigan. The daily total liquid equivalent precipitation is 2.53 inches at Grand Rapids, and this includes a daily record of 2.2 inches of snow. The 1.75 inches at Lansing includes four inches of snow. Temperatures remain in the 30s all day.

A very impressive late-season rain/snowstorm hit Southeast Michigan late on April 28th – 29th in 1909. The very intense low-pressure system moved through the region bringing Detroit 1.99″ of rain along with 3.0″ of snow, sleet, and hail from thunderstorms. Easterly winds gusted up into the 40s mph much of the 29th and then late in the evening, a strong cold front brought a northwest wind gust to 54 mph. In Saginaw, they were buried under 13.0 inches of snow.

1910: The temperature at Kansas City MO soared to 95 degrees to establish a record for April. Four days earlier the afternoon high in Kansas City was 44 degrees following a record cold morning low of 34 degrees.

1987: A storm off the southeast coast of Massachusetts blanketed southern New England with heavy snow on the 28 through the 29th. Totals of three inches at Boston, 11 inches at Milton, and 17 inches at Worcester Massachusetts were records for so late in the season. Princeton Massachusetts was buried under 25 inches of snow.

1991: Southeast Bangladesh was devastated by a tropical cyclone with sustained winds of approximately 155 mph during the late night hours. A 20-foot storm surge inundated the offshore islands south of Chittagong and pushed water from the Bay of Bengal inland for miles. The best estimate put the loss of life from this cyclone between 135,000 and 145,000 people.


Forecast Discussion

- More Showers and Storms Today

Surface analysis as of 2am shows a surface low centered over eastern
IA with a warm front draped across southern WI into the I-96
corridor in southern MI. A few warm frontal rain showers have
initiated just north of the surface boundary, but otherwise most
areas across the CWA remain dry this morning. Surface based
instability diminished shortly after sunset yesterday evening, so
mainly rain is expected with any showers.

As the low slides northeastward into eastern MN / western WI, the
warm front will lift northwards and a steadier batch of showers
currently moving through central IL will enter southern MI. More
widespread showers can be expected during the mid to late morning
hours. A few storms will be possible across the eastern CWA during
the afternoon as a cold front moves through, but there`s still a
question on storm strength. Instability looks limited with MLCAPE
under 1000 J/kg, but bulk shear will be supportive (40 to 50
knots) alongside an elevated 850mb jet to 30 to 40 knots.
Currently thinking non-severe given the expected afternoon cloud
cover, but if any breaks occur we could see some decently strong
storms develop across the eastern CWA.

The front works its way east by this evening with dry weather to
start Tuesday. Surface ridging moves in place Tuesday leading to the
return of dry weather. Sunny skies are expected with highs in the
60s.

- Main chance for rain in the Wed-Sun time frame is Thurs Night-Fri

The main chance for showers and storms will come late in the work
week from Thursday night into Friday. A strong shortwave will eject
out of a Plains trough and move through the Great Lakes region
during this time frame. A cold front will sweep through Thursday
night and provide the main focus for showers and storms. Most
unstable CAPE values are forecast to reach the 1000-2000 j/kg range
so there will be solid chances for convection.

Otherwise, there is a weak front that approaches and washes out over
the area Tuesday night into Wednesday. The chance for precipitation
is generally low given the weakening front.

- Temperatures remain on the warm side of normal this week

Temperatures through the forecast period are expected to remain near
to above normal. Highs will generally be in the middle 60s to lower
70s. Normal highs are in the lower to middle 60s for this time of
year. Given fruit trees and flowers are in or moving too full bloom
it is good we are not looking at cold weather in the short term.

newest oldest
*SS*
*SS*

What are these tiny little worms that seem to have invaded everything outside and how do you get rid of them???

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

Only a few sprinkles late this afternoon. Otherwise, another fantastic day. Off and on sun. Unseasonably warm again with highs in the double digits above average. Lots of golfers on our course.

Nathan (Forest Hills)
Nathan (Forest Hills)

A car crashed into a power pole near m neighborhood and we lost power. Hope everyone is okay inside the car! Not sure what happened… perhaps it’ll be on the news later

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

We just got pummeled with rain! Nearly an inch! Another nice morning for golf?

Slim

The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 78/53 there was 0.12” of rainfall. The sun was out 18% of the possible time. The highest wind gust was 29 MPH out of the S. For today the average H/L is 64/43 the record high of 90 was set in 1899 (that is also the record for April and the earliest 90 days at GR) the record low of 28 was set in 1977,1979 and 2012. The wettest was 2.53” in 1909 and that day also had the most snowfall of 2.2” Last year the H/L was 64/40.
Slim

Nathan (Forest Hills)
Nathan (Forest Hills)

That 28 degrees in 2012 was a very damaging freeze. Also 90 in 1899… interesting because that winter had the coldest temp on record