After several days of mostly cloudy skies, we will see a return of the sun today and warmer temperatures to start a period of warmer-than-normal summerlike conditions.
Todays Forecast
Today
Patchy fog before 9 a.m. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 71. East-southeast wind 3 to 5 mph.
Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low of around 56. Southeast wind 3 to 5 mph.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Southeast wind around 6 mph.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57. South southeast wind 3 to 6 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 81. South wind 3 to 7 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 58.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 81.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 58.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 82.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 61.
Wednesday
Partly sunny, with a high near 80.
Wednesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 59.
Thursday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 68.
U.S.A and Global Events for September 29th:
1927: An outbreak of tornadoes from Oklahoma to Indiana caused 81 deaths and 25 million dollars in damage. A tornado, possibly two tornadoes, cut an eight-mile-long path across St Louis, Missouri, to Granite City, Illinois, killing 79 persons. Click here for more information and photos.
Forecast Discussion
- Patchy dense fog early this morning Good radiational cooling occurred overnight generally north of Muskegon as the skies remained clear for much of the night. Surface temperatures fell into the upper 40s to lower 50s and that resulted in locally dense fog. Ludington reported a visibility of 1/4 mile in the past hour. Satellite imagery shows the fog across portions of Mason and Oceana counties. However the fog may decrease going into daybreak as a large stratus deck was headed into those locations. Based on this forecast trend, we will not go with any dense fog headlines at this time. - Gradual warmup through Saturday A low level thermal trough will be in place today. This, combined with limited sunshine will likely lead to max temperatures struggling to go much higher than the lower 70s. That changes on Saturday as the area will see a greater amount of sunshine and the low level thermal trough starts to shift slowly east. It`s looking likely that we will see many locations reaching into the mid to upper 70s. Ensemble temperature forecasts from the various models support this scenario as well. - Still on track for a significant warmup into the middle of next week Ensemble temperature forecasts show very little spread within each model Sunday into Wednesday. They do feature some differences compared to one another with the GFS still being the warmest. Blending the forecasts yields high temperatures in the upper 70`s to near 80 on Sunday and low 80`s for Monday through Tuesday. Even Wednesday has the potential to make a run at 80 degrees, but an approaching mid to upper level wave may limit that potential. The incoming 00z ECMWF shows the 925 mb thermal ridge over the area on Wednesday. Mixing to that level would support max T`s reaching 80. Based on this we will bump up temps for Wednesday a degree or two. - Mainly dry into the middle of next week Subsidence, warmth aloft and limited moisture will act to limit the potential for rain showers through Wednesday. After that, the forecast is not as certain. A mid to upper level wave tracks through the Great Lakes Region Thursday into Friday. The models have not shown good continuity from run to run on this wave. Currently the lates GFS has it as a positively tilted feature at 500 mb. The Canadian keeps the bulk of the energy up in Canada, while the ECMWF is stronger with the wave and would support a greater potential for showers. We will feature increasing POPs for the area Wednesday night into Thursday, but still keep them relatively low given the model spread.
Most of the next week still looks to be very warm for early October. With highs ranging from the low 70’s today and then from the upper 70’s to low 80’s until next Thursday when highs look to fall back to near average in the upper 60’s Lows look to be in the mid to upper 50’s with maybe a 60 tossed in for good measure. It looks dry until Thursday when there is a chance of showers.
Slim
Yesterday was another cloudy day with the official H/L of 66/57 there was 0% of possible sunshine. The day had 3 HDD’s the highest wind of 18 MPH was out of the NE. For today the average H/L is 69/48 the record high of 93 was set in 1953 this is the latest 90° day at Grand Rapids. The record low of 29 was set in 1942. The record rain fall amount of 2.22” in 1906. Last year the H/L was 63/45. At the current time it is cloudy and 60 here in MBY.
Slim
It was another GREAT above normal temp day in GR! The pattern continues to rock!
The lows were above average. Yesterdays highs were below average at Grand Rapids, Lansing, Holland. The high was above average at Muskegon.
Slim