It is time to consider getting the air conditioners prepared for use as we will be moving into a period with temperatures in the 80s. Also, consider getting the hoses out to water the gardens as there won’t be any rain until next Monday. I have most of my veggies planted and the flowers in our multiple beds are mostly ahead of schedule growthwise this spring. I have been eating green onions planted last fall.
NWS Forecast
Weather History
1962: An early-season heat wave sends temperatures into the upper 80s and lower 90s across Lower Michigan. Record highs on this date include 91 at Grand Rapids, 89 at Lansing, and 88 at Muskegon.
On May 17, 1999, a thunderstorm bringing winds of 58 mph swept through Northville at 6:15 pm causing 2 thousand dollars in damages. Also on this date in 1999, winds of 60 mph occurred with storms passing through Oakley at 5:00 pm causing 5 thousand dollars in damages, and through Saginaw at 5:22 pm causing $3,000 in damages.
1896: An estimated F5 tornado tracked 100 miles through northeastern Kansas and extreme southeastern Nebraska. Seneca, Oneida, Sabetha, and Reserve, Kansas sustained severe damage. While passing through Reserve, the tornado was 2 miles wide. 25 people were killed, and 200 were injured. The cost was estimated at $400,000.
1979: A reading of 12 degrees at Mauna Kea Observatory established a record low for the state of Hawaii.
Forecast Discussion
- Isolated showers and storms today An upper level shortwave is bringing a few showers and storms to our nw fcst area early this morning and isolated showers also clipping our extreme se fcst area. We expect this pcpn to taper off toward daybreak with dry wx for the vast majority of our fcst area today. However with a cold front moving slowly through our area we expect a few showers and isolated storms to redevelop mainly this afternoon over our eastern fcst area. In fact 00Z HREF guidance suggests sb/mu capes will reach around 1000 j/kg this aftn just ahead of the front. However potential for stronger or organized convection is mitigated significantly by weak shear. No severe weather is expected today. - Dry tonight and milder Saturday Fair wx is fcst tonight through Saturday as weak sfc ridging builds in. Some patchy fog is expected late tonight through mid morning Saturday. Ample sun and southerly waa along with h8 temps reaching around 14-15 C will result in high temps Saturday reaching the lower to perhaps middle 80s across most of our area. The weak sfc gradient will be conducive to lake breeze development which will keep temps near the Lake MI shoreline considerably cooler. - Warm and dry weekend Upper ridging will develop over the weekend leading to very warm temperatures by Sunday. H8 temps climb to around 14c leading to highs in the mid 80s. A weak cold front moving across northern Lower will probably not have enough energy to produce precipitation over the northern cwa, but it may lower dewpoints enough to result in some elevated fire weather concerns Sunday afternoon along the northern tier of counties. - Showers/storms Monday-Wednesday A cold front will slowly move toward the Great Lakes Monday ahead of a high amplitude upper trough. For several days the models have been advertising showers and thunderstorms developing along the front. Monday, this precipitation will be generally west of the cwa, but may see some convection drift over the western cwa during the afternoon. The better and stronger setup arrives Tuesday as we see a stronger surface low develop in the southern Plains and move northeastward across Wisconsin. Strong southerly flow ahead of the low will send moisture into the cwa and short waves rotating through the upper trough will help in firing convection. Once again the latest models suggest fairly robust values for SBCAPE, bulk shear, and EHI. This points toward the potential for convective organization Tuesday and a potential severe threat. Another warm day is expected Monday with highs in the mid 80s, but once clouds/showers/storms move across the cwa Tuesday, temperatures will fall back into the 70s.
Looks like a nice summery weekend. Hope everyone gets a chance to enjoy it!
hmmm, out tending the flowers and veggies this morning I am amazed at how far they have come along, perhaps a month ahead of schedule. An early fall perhaps?
Tuesday with be in the 80’s with lows in the mid 60’s. Full time summer mode already!
Summer in full effect since April! Who knew?!?!
While the official rainfall at Grand Rapids yesterday was 0.44” here in MBY I did not have any rain. It did get very dark to the SE of here late in the afternoon. The overnight low here in MBY was 58 at the current time it is cloudy with some fog and 64.
Slim
The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 74/46 at the airport there was 0.44” of rainfall. The sun was out 57% of the possible time. The highest wind gust was 24 MPH out of the S. For today the average H/L is 70/49 the record high of 91 was set in 1962 and the record low of 30 was set in 1973. The record rainfall of 1.62” fell in 2020. Last year the H/L was 62/41.
Slim
My goodness, 80’s thru Tuesday?!?!? Is this May or July??? Wonder if Rocky will still have his furnace on this weekend?? I love global warming!