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The Sun Returns!

After a couple of cloudy cool days, we will see more sun today.  Yesterday we had a couple of quick peeks of it in the late afternoon before the clouds moved off around sunset. Yesterday’s high did manage 72° after a morning low of 59°.  Today the sun rises at 7:14 and sets at 8:11 pm.

At least partly cloudy conditions should develop today. High temperatures will push into the 70s for most places. A dry work week is expected with warming temperatures. By Friday, highs should be in the low to mid-80s.


Forecast Discussion

-- Dry and settled through Fri --

A front/baroclinic zone over the OH valley will continue eastward
today as a weak surface low consolidates over the mid Atlantic.
Aloft, a compact midlevel circulation--evident in water-vapor
imagery over IN--is expected to shift eastward within an
elongated midlevel trough axis today. Upstream, an elongated
mid/upper ridge axis extending from the western CONUS anticyclone
will become established NW of the region today.

Short-range guidance suggests that increasing subsidence and
boundary-layer mixing should contribute to greater breaks in
cloud cover today than in recent days. High temps should rebound
into the mid 70s.

The aforementioned ridge axis is expected to remain situated just
west of the area into Thu, maintaining large-scale subsidence/drying
across Lower MI. Meanwhile, surface high pressure will gradually
build into the region on Wed/Thu. These factors will favor settled
weather through Fri, and a modest warming trend in high temps is
expected. However, patchy fog will be possible on both Wed and Thu
mornings as light winds and clear skies foster robust radiational
cooling.

-- Rain chances Sat-Mon --

A mid/upper trough will reach the coast of British Columbia on Wed,
spurring initial cyclogenesis in the vicinity of southern
Saskatchewan by Wed evening. This surface low should reach Hudson
Bay by Thu night, with a trailing cold front approaching the
western Great Lakes. Meanwhile, the trough will crest/subdue the
western CONUS anticyclone on Thu, then interact with the Gulf
states cutoff low by Sat.

The details of this trough/low interaction and possible phasing will
likely have implications for possible secondary surface cyclogenesis
and frontal timing through the region. The EPS and GEFS ensemble
means have recently trended somewhat slower with the progression of
the northern trough axis through 00z Sun. Additionally, recent
deterministic ECMWF and GFS solutions have shown a surface wave
propagating through the region during the Sat night/Sun timeframe,
but with appreciable run-to-run position/timing adjustments. With
these uncertainties in play, forecast confidence regarding the
timing/coverage of rain during this period remains low.
newest oldest
INDY
INDY

Cloudy and cool outside welcome to Fall love it check out the trees turning already pretty early next week looks the same cloudy wet and cool even better … INDY

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

So much for that hot summer some on here kept crowing about! Incredible!

INDY
INDY

Since March!! But im ready for Snow Rocky yeahhhh… INDY

Nathan (Forest Hills)
Nathan (Forest Hills)

This has been quite the gloomy past few days… I’m looking forward to the sunshine this evening and the rest of the workweek 😄

INDY
INDY

Loving this Fall weather we are having looks like more cooler temps wirh rain showers coming this weekend great football weather….INDY

Mookie
Mookie

It was perfect sunny weather in northern Michigan! Looks like more sun and heat on the way!

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

I hope everyone had a nice, relaxing weekend. The weather wasn’t perfect, but it did not impede our fun. Oh and BTW, the fish were biting like mad. I caught the biggest of the weekend – 19″ 4.5lb largemouth. It was a beast.

“It ain’t braggin if you did it.”
– Ty Cobb

Slim

Yesterdays official H/L at Grand Rapids was 71/58 there was a reported trace of rain fall and a reported 5% of possible sunshine. The overnight official overnight low at Grand Rapids since midnight has been 61 here in MBY the low was 62 at the current time it is 63 here and cloudy. The average H/L at Grand Rapids is now down to 77/57 the record high of 97 was set in 1954 and the record low of 36 was set in 1962. Today looks to be another mostly cloudy day we shall see if the high indeed makes it… Read more »