We will finish out the month of June with another mostly sunny day – this has been a month of extremes however we have had a chance to dry out over the past week.
I spoke of ring of fire storms last week, Mike Torragrossa from MLive had a short article with a good explanation on how these work https://www.mlive.com/weather/2019/06/ring-of-fire-to-spew-storms-at-michigan.html
We have chances of storms most of the week. This doesn’t mean it will be raining all of the time. There is a chance that a storm cell can form at any given location and move on and dissipate. We had this happen a couple times over the past week around the Otsego area where a cell would form west of town then move southeast completely missing us. This is one of the types of storm cells where it could be raining on one side of the street while the other side is dry.
Here is a screenshot of a system moving into Wisconsin this morning, note the circulation icons. I suspect these will dive southward and fizzle missing Michigan.
The heat and humidity will continue throughout the week with chances of popup storms mainly late in the day into the overnight hours. We should see our temps return to normal for this time of year by the end of the week and might be a tad cooler than normal by the second week of July. The 4th may be a bit more active bringing in a chance of natures own fireworks.
Dr. Judah Cohen has had some good explanations on the cool weather pattern earlier in the month and the possibility of a return to cooler weather due to the shifting of the polar vortex. We generally don’t hear about polar vortexes in the summer…..
Bring on the
Polar vortex!
Tha’s a bit much. LOL!! The heat and humidity have been a bit much this weekend. I would love to see the 70’s and lower humidity.
The updated CPC’s long range guess for July is leaning for more below average temperatures. So 2019 could continue its cool tread.
Slim
Who would have thought? Certainly not the warm weather fanatics!
Gonna be awesome when this cool trend breaks around December and we have another spectacular WARM winter with WELL BELOW average snowfall!!
I expect the cool spell to end around September and then come back with a vengeance in December or January! Get ready!
Sounds good to me!! 70’s would really feel nice. 🙂
This heat has really shot up Lake Michigan temps the past few days!
https://coastwatch.glerl.noaa.gov/statistic/gif/avgtemps-m-5-yr.gif
I will toss this up today and probably again tomorrow
According to Steven Dimmatino the time up to or just past the 9th could be the warmest period of the summer of 2019.
“The weather pattern right now on through July 9th will likely feature the hottest period of the Summer for much of the eastern half of the US. As we can see in the EPS data, this pattern and the above normal temperatures are directly linked to a relaxation of the negative EPO pattern which allows heights to rise over the eastern United States and thus tropical air is able to push further north. Note, even in this favorable hot weather pattern, there remain cold fronts trying to push south with thunderstorms being a threat. That relaxation of the EPO is now over and the index is crashing faster than the stock market in 1929. This signal tells me that the support for sustained heat in the Eastern United States is about to come to a rapid end. I’ve discussed what factors are behind this process in Long Range Thoughts the past several weeks and months. With the EPO tanking, the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) are also moving into negative to neutral states now and likely to remain in that position through at least the middle of August. These teleconnections would support an active pattern for the Eastern United States for cold fronts and thus severe thunderstorm potential. Polar air masses In short, I see this pattern to feature many days where high temperatures are likely to be near to below normal than above. You might get a few warm days sprinkled in, but they won’t last and will be followed by dry, cool Polar air masses pretty quickly. Morning low-temperature anomalies will be interesting to observe due to the expectation for moisture content to be high with the abundant rainfall with clashes between the Polar air masses and the tropical air masses we normal see over the Southeast. We’ll see if that idea will verify or not. Will be able to advance further south in this pattern, and sustained heat will be very difficult to support.”
If this plays out it could be that there could be just a 2 week period of warm summer weather this year.
Slim
Great news!
Yesterday was a warm day by Michigan standards with most locations away from the great lakes getting into the upper 80’s even in northern lower and parts of the UP the highs were in the low to mid 80’s and yes there were several areas that did indeed reach the low 90’s such as Detroit, Monroe and a 90 was reported at Iron Mountain. On the cool side the high was just 72 at Copper Harbor and 73 at Macinac Island.
Slim
Made it to 89* yesterday in GR we are pulling away from June 19th which is the first average day to reach 90* degrees in GR!! With all the clouds around today probably going to be hard to push 90* degrees so the streak will continue lots of cool streaks sofar this Summer who would of thought? Have a super Sunday funday!! INDY!!
Keep the facts coming!