We are looking at a sunny dry period over this week with near-normal temps at least through the first half of the week before cooling back to the 60s the second half. Looking at the NAM, HRRR and GFS precipitation models I am seeing no rain until early next week. Tuesday and Wednesday will be the warmest days of this week with temps in the mid-70s. Low temps may get into the mid to upper 30s to low 40s by the end of the workweek with chances of frost north of I96.
Smoke from the western fires will create hazy milky skies for the next couple days which will create some gorgeous sunrises and sunsets.
Compared to the past couple of years we have had a lot of walnuts falling off the trees. On Saturday morning it was almost as if it were raining walnuts, I wouldn’t want one falling on my head. This year they are larger also. We have a lot of squirrels that bury them in the yard. We find small holes where they dig them out through the year, the ones they miss grow into new trees.
-- Mainly dry/comfortable week, smoky skies -- Dry pattern prevails this week as surface ridging and low dew points dominate. Smoke from western fires caught up in the northwest flow aloft will be streaming into the area, at least for the next couple days per latest RAP guidance. So while plenty of sunshine is anticipated it should be more of a hazy/milky looking sky. Some brilliant sunrises/sunsets with deep oranges and reds will be possible due to the smoke layer aloft. We are dealing with some patchy fog early this morning as well as a low cloud deck sliding down from the north. Both of these are expected to mix out/dissipate early today. -- Warming through Wednesday, then a cool down -- Surface high center drifts across the nrn GrtLks Rgn today then moves to the Mid Atlantic on Tuesday. After light winds with highs around 70 today, increasing southerly flow on the back side of the high will send highs into above normal territory for Tuesday and Wednesday with highs in the mid to upper 70s. Sfc cold front slips south through the region on Wednesday night and early Thursday, but offers little potential for rain due to limited moisture. Probably just a period of low clouds and drizzle/sprinkles with the frontal passage before the next sfc high builds in from the northwest later Thursday into Friday. -- Chilly weekend with patchy frost -- The period of stronger north/northeast winds late in the week behind the cold front delivers a rather chilly air mass for mid September, with H8 temps around or slightly below 0C and dew points in the 30s. As the next 1035 mb sfc high settles overhead by 12Z Saturday, this sets the stage for a decent risk of frost on Friday night with winds going light/calm. Models diverge on how quickly the sfc high departs next weekend, but frost may be possible again on Saturday night. Most at risk would be areas north of I-96.