We have another cold morning with clear skies. The temperature at 6 am is 26°. We will continue with mainly clear skies today with temperatures near the 50° mark. Yesterday we reached 50° and the morning low was 23°.
Michigan got by Maryland yesterday with their closest game of the year (31 to 24). Now the stage is set for Ohio State at the Big House.
A ridge of high pressure will provide the region with mainly clear skies through today. Clouds will increase on Monday ahead of the next storm system. Rain will overspread the area on Tuesday as low pressure tracks up the Ohio Valley.
Forecast
Weather History for Southwest Michigan
1930: Record late-season warmth was across Lower Michigan with highs of 74 degrees at Grand Rapids and Lansing.
Weather History for SE Michigan
On November 19, 1953, this started a two-day streak of record highs in Flint with a temperature of 70 degrees on the 19th and 68 degrees on the 20th.
U.S.A and Global Events for November 19th:
1921: The Columbia Gorge ice storm finally came to an end. In Oregon, 54 inches of snow, sleet, and glaze blocked the Columbia River Highway at The Dalles. Apart from traffic on the river itself, all transportation between Walla Walla WA, and Portland, OR came to a halt. Nine trains were stopped as railroads were blocked for several days.
1930: A rare, estimated F4 tornado struck the town of Bethany, Oklahoma. Between 9:30 am and 9:58 am CST, it moved north-northeast from 3 miles west of the Oklahoma City limits and hit the eastern part of Bethany. About 110 homes and 700 other buildings, or about a fourth of the town, were damaged or destroyed. Near the end of the damage path, 3.5 miles northeast of Wiley Post Airfield, the tornado hit the Camel Creek School. Buildings blew apart just as the students were falling to the floor and looking for shelter, and five students and a teacher were killed. A total of 23 people were killed and another 150 injured, with 77 being seriously injured. Damage estimates were listed at $500,000. Click HERE for more pictures from KOCO.com
Above is tornado damage in Bethany, Oklahoma. The image is courtesy of KOCO in Oklahoma City.
Forecast Discussion
- Clear today and tonight Surface analysis shows a weak cold front moving across the lake early this morning. High pressure will quickly build in behind it resulting in clear skies today and tonight. Recent IR loop shows much of the upper Midwest devoid of clouds early this morning. Highs today will range from the mid 40s near US-10 to lower 50s south of I-94. Temperatures will fall into the 20s overnight tonight. - Increasing clouds Monday Low pressure approaching from the Red River Valley will spread clouds and rain toward Lower Michigan Monday. We`ll see clouds increase during the late morning and especially the afternoon, but models indicate that rain won`t move over the cwa until Monday night. - Risk for mixed precipitation late Mon Night Low temperatures Monday night are projected to make a run at freezing for the northeast parts of the CWA. This would include Big Rapids, Mount Pleasant, Evart and Harrison. Precipitation will be spreading in later at night which may support a window of mixed precipitation. Ensemble forecasts also show some members with near or even below freezing temperatures. The deterministic 00z GEM and ECMWF show some measurable freezing rain. The GFS suggests it will be slightly too warm. SPC HREF does not go out far enough at this time. We will keep the freezing rain out of the forecast for now but may need to shift gears if these models continue to show the risk and/or the 12z HREF shows the potential as well. - Temperatures trended up for Thanksgiving Day Ensemble temperature forecasts from the ECMWF, GEM and GFS all show a decent jump in the max temperature for Thanksgiving Day from previous runs. Looks like most locations will see high temperatures topping out in the 40s. We will bump up our max temperatures based on the ensemble trends. - Cold Stretch for next weekend The upper jet shifts down towards the Gulf Coast for Friday into Sunday. Surface low will be situated up over Hudson Bay and it will be funneling colder air down from the north into MI. Ensemble temperature trends are colder. As a result the potential for a much colder than normal period is looking more likely with time. It`s too early to say if we will see accumulating snow, but temperatures will be supportive. We will keep the cold forecast going as a result.
Breaking News – you should wear sunscreen year round!
Probably the nicest mid-late November weekend I remember. It’s very unusual to have this much blue sky this time of year, given typical active storm tracks and lake effect clouds
We were outside all day yesterday installing a fence behind the restaurant, just a perfect day. In fact we all got sunburn on our faces (except around the eyes from sunglasses), can’t say I’ve ever had sunburn in mid November. Never even crossed my mind to put sun block on.
Nice day to get some outside work done!!
For anyone local Martin Football team won 8 man state championship in football. ( They also won last year). I listened to the game…quite the comeback!!! They term NEVER quit until there is no time on the clock couldn’t be more true!! Congrats to all those connected to the team!!
At the current time I have clear skies and a temperature of 29 the overnight low here was 25. The official low at GRR was a much warmer 32. What a difference there can be on some clear nights away from the inter city.
Slim
The official H/L yesterday was 50/24 there was no rain or snow fall. In fact the sun was out 100% of the time that is rather rare in mid November. The highest wind speed was 33 MPH out of the W. For today the average H/L is 46/32 the record high of 74 was set in 1930 and the record low of 9 was set in 1986. The wettest was 1.33” in 1991 the most snow fall was in 2022 with 8.7” and the most on the ground was also in 2022 the H/L last year with all that snow… Read more »
I’m happy to see the increase in the forecasted temps for Thanksgiving. That’s great news for the travelers.