Powered by Tomorrow.io
Football! Rain Chances Increase – The Michigan Weather Center
MichiganState Weather Alerts
There are currently no active weather alerts.
  • Home
  • /
  • Football! Rain Chances Increase

Football! Rain Chances Increase

The Wolverines won their 1000th victory and go 11 and 0 for the season.  The Lions, yes the Lions are now 8 and 2, their best start since 1962 with a victory over the Bears.  What an exciting final four minutes at Ford Stadium coming from behind with two touchdowns.  It is a great year to be a Lions fan!

Clouds will thicken up today as low-pressure heads in our direction. Rain will overspread the area on Tuesday as low pressure tracks up the Ohio Valley. Parts of interior Lower Michigan may see a brief period of freezing rain Tuesday morning.  Yesterday’s high was 53° after a morning low of 25°.


Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44. East wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Showers, mainly after 2 am. Low around 37. East wind 14 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. The chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and a quarter of an inch possible.
Showers. High near 44. East wind 10 to 14 mph becoming north in the afternoon. The chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three-quarters of an inch possible.
Tuesday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers before 1 am. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 32. Northwest wind 10 to 14 mph.
Mostly sunny, with a high near 44. North northwest wind 7 to 10 mph becoming west in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 32.
Thanksgiving Day
Mostly sunny, with a high near 47.
Thursday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 25.
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38.
Friday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 25.
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38.
Saturday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26.
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 37.

Weather History for Southwest Michigan

1869: More than a foot of snow fell at Lansing, setting a record for the most ever recorded during the month of November.

2000: An intense lake effect snow squall dropped almost a foot of snow on Grand Rapids, setting a record for the most snow on a November day there.

Weather History for SE Michigan

On November 20, 1957, an F3 tornado hit Wayne County at 6:50 pm resulting in 12 injuries and 1 death and costing $250,000 in damages.

U.S.A and Global Events for November 20th:

1900: An unusual tornado outbreak in the Lower Mississippi Valley resulted in 73 deaths and extensive damage across Arkansas, Mississippi, and Tennessee.

The clipping above is from the Climatological Data Publications for the state of Mississippi in November 1900.

1985: Kate intensified to a major Category 3 Hurricane as she moved west of Key West, Florida with top winds of 115 mph and a minimum central pressure of 954 millibars or 28.17 inches of mercury. The next day Kate made landfall between Panama City and Apalachicola, Florida. Tides ran 8 to 10 feet above normal. Many power poles and lines were downed. Several roads were washed out.

Hurricane Kate from NOAA 9 on November 20, 1985.

Hurricane Kate damaged cars - Tallahassee, Florida

Credit this photo: State Archives of Florida, Florida Memory, https://floridamemory.com/items/show/14095  Members of Florida State’s Delta Tau Delta fraternity had a difficult time getting to their cars following Hurricane Kate’s visit to the capital city.

2014: From the NWS Office in Buffalo, New York, “The epic November 17-19th 2014 lake effect event will be remembered as one of the most significant winter events in Buffalo’s snowy history.  Over 5 feet of snow fell over areas just east of Buffalo, with mere inches a few miles away to the north.   There were 13 fatalities with this storm, hundreds of major roof collapses and structural failures, 1000s of stranded motorists, and scattered food and gas shortages due to impassable roads.  Numerous trees also gave way due to the weight of the snow, causing isolated power outages.  While this storm was impressive on its own, a second lake effect event on Nov-19-20 dropped another 1-4 feet of snow over nearly the same area and compounded rescue and recovery efforts.  Storm totals from the two storms peaked at almost 7 feet, with many areas buried under 3-4 feet of dense snowpack by the end of the event.” Click HERE for more information. Click HERE for photos from Syracuse.com

2015: The season’s first snow is Chicago’s largest November snowfall in 120 years starting on November 20 and ending on the 21st. The season’s first snowfall dropped as much as 17 inches across Chicago’s northern suburbs, and the total of 11.2 inches at O’Hare International Airport made it the largest November snowfall in 120 years. Click HERE for more information from the NWS Office in Chicago.

Forecast Discussion

- Increasing clouds today

IR loop shows mid/high clouds moving over Lower MI from the
southwest ahead of a developing low in Oklahoma. We`ll see
filtered sunshine this morning giving way to mostly cloudy skies
this afternoon as the low moves northeast toward Lower MI.

- Rain developing tonight, freezing rain possible central

Short range models, including ensemble members are in agreement
that we`ll see rain develop this evening from southwest to
northeast. Strong pressure advection on the isentropic surfaces
ahead of the low will send condensation pressure deficits falling
to 10mb by late evening. As the rain encounters some surface
temperatures around freezing across the central cwa, freezing rain
will become possible. The most likely time frame to see freezing
rain would be from 2am-6am generally north of I-96 and east of
US-131. Warmer air will also be advecting northward, so any
impacts will be limited. Not all of the models are in agreement
with the freezing rain, but the scenario seems plausible given the
east wind near the surface advecting in colder temperatures from
Ontario. Given the limited duration and medium confidence, we`ll
hold off on a headline.

- Rainy Tuesday, perhaps mixed with some snow north

The surface low and trailing upper trough will pass over the cwa
Tuesday. All of the ECMWF ensemble members show rain with a couple
over an inch; mean QPF is around 0.75. Any lingering storm drains
that haven`t been cleared of leaves could see some roadway
ponding. Once the low moves by colder air will begin to advect
southward and it`s possible we could see some mixed rain and snow
over interior portions of the northern cwa Tuesday afternoon.

- Dissipating showers Tuesday night

The moisture depth decreases below the DGZ Tuesday evening as the
wave of low pressure pulls east of the area.  Any remaining showers
will quickly dissipate.  With temperatures expected to fall below
freezing, a few icy spots may form toward daybreak Wednesday.

- Dry for Wednesday and Thanksgiving Day

A broad but deeper ridge builds into the area Wednesday and advances
east of MI Thanksgiving Day. Subsidence associated with this feature
will act to keep the weather dry.  A backdoor cold front does drop
in from the north later Thanksgiving Day. Any moisture will be
shallow and not supportive of precipitation.  This feature could
play a role in how high the temperatures go for the holiday.  If the
feature arrives by noon, we may struggle to reach the mid 40`s.  If
it holds off until evening, we could make a run at 50 degrees.

- Cooling trend starting Friday, Light possible Snow Sunday or

The low level winds will feature a northerly component through the
period.  This will draw down a colder Canadian airmass.  Thus we
will be heading toward a period of colder than normal temperatures.
The thermal profile will become cold enough for lake effect, so we
could see some light precipitation trying to develop Friday night
into Saturday. However, at this time, the potential for
measurable QPF looks low as the moisture remains shallow and flow
mostly unfavorable. A better chance exists on Sunday or Monday.
Several models like the ECMWF and GFS are showing a mid level wave
arriving from the southwest. The moisture deepens up and the
column temperatures support snow. Ensemble forecasts still feature
a lot of spread with the snowfall so confidence is still somewhat
low at this time.
newest oldest
Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

The Lions have the 2nd best record in the NFL – and will be tied for 1st if the Eagles lose tonight. They are 16-4 in their past 20 games, which is better than any other team in the NFL. Their resilience is what impresses me. They never give up. The Chiefs have the best odds to win the Super Bowl at this time but hey, we already beat them in their house. You’re right, MV. It is a fun year to be a Lions fan.

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Enjoy the fun while it lasts, because if don’t start playing better they will be eliminated, as soon as the playoffs start!

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

Maybe. Maybe not. Time will tell. I just want them to win the division and that looks very probable at this point. Regardless of what happens, no one can deny their incredible performance over the past year. Best in all of the NFL.

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Yes, the Lions have won a few games! Clearly they are not the best team in the NFL! It does look like they have the inside track to win the division, which is a big accomplishment, however if they don’t start playing better they will be crushed in the playoffs! Mark it down baby!

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

I agree they’re not the best team in the NFL, but I would say they’re top 5. No team has won more games in the past year.

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

As for U of M, they also looked shaky. Their offense looks disjointed and if they play the same way against Ohio State, they will get crushed!

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Yes, the Lions got totally outplayed by the Bears for the first 56 minutes and somehow ended up winning the game! On one hand you could say how could the Lions look so bad against the lowly Bears or on the other hand you could say it is the sign of a good team that they can win even when playing poorly? By playoff time they had play better than what I saw on Sunday or they will get pummeled! Incredible!

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

We are entrenched in a below normal temp pattern that will last for days! Incredible!

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

Atlanta, Michigan (East of Gaylord) fell to 9 above last night. Very cold.


It’s been a mild November! So far, we’ve been between 50 and 66 degrees every day except two.


It looks like a typical El Nino pattern setting up. Warmer, dryer with more sun than average.

Andy W
Andy W

That would be heaven on earth!!

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

No 50’s in sight for days on end! Wow!!


Once again the overnight low was colder here in MBY then the official reading at GRR. Th low looks to have been 31 at the airport while here in MBY it fell to 26. At the current time it is cloudy and 33 both here and at the airport.


Yesterday was a sunny and mild late November day with a H/L of 52/32. There was no rain or snow fall and the sun was out 97% of the possible time. After several windy days it was a much calmer day with a the highest wind of just 13MPH. For today the average H/L is 45/31 the record high of 71 was set in 1930 and the record low of 13 was set in 1969. The wettest day was in 1981 with 1.27” of that 4.4” fell as snow. The most snow fall of 11.5” fell in 2000. Last year… Read more »