Many areas saw beneficial rain overnight, but not so much here in Otsego where my rain gauge held only a meager .08 of an inch. Morning fog will burn off leaving partly sunny skies. Isolated thunderstorms are possible this afternoon, mainly east of US-131. Highs in the low to mid-80s are expected today. Our next chance of rain will come early Saturday morning.
U.S.A and Global Events for July 6th:
1893: A violent tornado killed 71 persons on its forty-mile track across northwestern Iowa. Forty-nine persons were killed around Pomeroy, where eighty percent of the buildings were destroyed, with most leveled to the ground. Click HERE for more information.
1928: A seven-inch hailstone weighing 1.5 pounds fell in Potter Nebraska. With a circumference of 17 inches, this appeared to be the largest hailstone in the world at that time.
1986: Thunderstorms during the mid-morning hours, and again during the evening, produced significant flash flooding at Leavenworth, Kansas. The official rainfall total was 10.37 inches, but unofficial totals exceeded twelve inches. At nearby Kansas City, the rainfall total of 5.08 inches was a daily record for July.
Grand Rapids Forecast
7 6 grrLansing Forecast
7 6 lanForecast Discussion
.SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday) Issued at 350 AM EDT Thu Jul 6 2023 MCV which brought more beneficial /locally heavy/ rain to much of the area is departing to the northeast early this morning with only isolated showers lingering behind it. Sfc cold front currently sliding through the area will continue moving slowly east today but sfc troughing/convergence is shown to persist in its wake this afternoon especially over ern Lwr MI. Also the primary H5 shortwave trough will be swinging in from the west so as sfc instability rebuilds would expect to see a few additional showers/storm popping up by afternoon. Sfc based capes recover to 1000-1500 J/KG by Noon and primary risk for new showers and storms will be between Noon and 5 PM mainly near and east of Highway 131 and especially toward U.S 127. Meanwhile northwest winds off Lk MI will keep areas west of Hwy 131 cooler/stable this afternoon, so PoPs falling off below 10 percent for the lakeshore counties. Best deep layer shear of 35 kts or more lags slightly behind the renewed scattered convection this afternoon but still cannot rule out a few stronger cells with gusty winds and heavy downpours before convective threat ends later today. Cooler high temps around 80 are in store today although still rather humid with dew pts of 65-70 hanging on. Much drier air mass arrives tonight with dew points dropping into the 50s and PWATs falling below 0.75 inches. Clearing skies and more comfortable conditions can be expected as sfc high builds in from the west. Friday looks like a stellar summer day with sfc high pressure leading to light winds, sunny skies and pleasant humidity levels with highs around 80. .LONG TERM...(Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 350 AM EDT Thu Jul 6 2023 -- Scattered showers and storms Friday night into Saturday -- No change to expectations stated in the previous discussion. For the last few runs of the ECWMF ensemble (ECE) we have seen steady growth in the number of precipitating members, especially for the southern forecast area. Some deterministic models such as the GFDL C-SHiELD CAM more specifically depict a decaying MCS entering our forecast area Friday night as a result of the mid-level forcing mentioned in the previous discussion. I suspect that precipitation chances will continue to grow Friday night and carry over into Saturday with an attendant thunder risk. Regarding Saturday, SPC gives our forecast area a Marginal Risk for severe convection in their most recent Day 3 outlook. Part of this may be related to a recent, very aggressive NAM forecast. Obviously, we will need to continue monitoring the risks associated with this time frame. -- Tentatively dry for Sunday -- We are going with a dry forecast for Sunday, but the persistent and careful reader of our forecast discussions will notice a variety of expectations for the coming weekend; this belies the poor predictability that has plagued this part of the forecast for quite a while now. -- Unsettled next week, best rain chances Monday night and Tuesday -- Guidance now suggests that the Hudson Bay low I`ve mentioned in the past will shift to southern Ontario and be quite wobbly. This offers multiple opportunities of upper PV forcing in relatively close proximity to our forecast area. ECE and CMC guidance does indicate enhanced precipitation chances Monday night and Tuesday with a cold frontal passage (fropa); this fropa is slightly later than previous thinking. But again, we are dealing with a lot of moving targets in general when it comes to timing. As was said before, no major temperature swings should be expected next week as long as the low hangs around. In fact, temperatures ought to remain quite close to climatological normals.
Thunderstorms have been firing off over me all day. But we haven’t got a drop. And it is very humid.
Lows in the 50’s and 60’s makes ot for perfect bon fire at night im thinking this weekend will be full of bon fires around west Michigan….INDY
Rock on Indy- the cool
pattern is awesome for fires and no heat waves in sight! What a summer and this after a well above normal Snowfall winter! wow!!! Rock n roll will never die!!!!!!!
Hey we finally had our biggest rainfall in over 2 months, measuring in at 0.79”! That’s close to the total amount we’ve had here since around May 1. I think the corn out back shot up a foot overnight. Still awfully humid out again today.
Our tomato plants did the same. I couldn’t get over how much taller they were today.
Interesting article posted by WOOD:
https://www.woodtv.com/news/international/ap-international/ap-for-third-day-it-was-the-hottest-day-on-earth-as-global-temperature-matches-record-set-tuesday/
Definitely interesting, thanks for the link! No doubt it was steaming hot yesterday around here!
I received .40 of rain here in Comstock Park.
Phew 91 yesterday. Another 90+ degree day. July is starting warm.
Drought update: https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?MI
It’s interesting the text explanation fails to mention anything about Michigan. But I agree with the map, it’s hard to get out of a drought. Rain has finally come back, but as we know it is very spotty. Some areas got 6+” and others less than an inch. If this pattern continues though I suspect the drought will universally improve and crops will be alright. There’s already losses in yield due to germination and stress, but hopefully the plants that made it will be fine.
I picked up another inch of rain last night! 7 inches in less than 2 weeks! The rain can slow down as far as I am concerned!!
High 70’s low 80’s as far as the eye can see for being the hottest month of year beautiful just beautiful….Enjoy INDY
Yes the near to below normal temp pattern is really locked in! No heat waves in sight! Incredible!
The official H/L at Grand Rapids yesterday was 91/67 up to midnight 0.35” of rain fell. Here in MBY I recorded 0.72” of rain fall. For today the average H/L is 83/62 the record high of 104 was set in 2012 (I had 108 here in MBY that day) the record low of 41 was set in 1983. Last year the H/L was 78/64 and there was 0.22” of rain fall.
Slim
Well, our losing streak for Tiger games is still intact. They got beat real bad last night. It was a warm night at the ballpark with the temperature in Detroit of 92. On the trip over the temperature started out a 87 here in GR and it was 90 on the west side of Lansing and of course it was 92 in Detroit. Boy there is a lot of construction going on in Detroit and I 696 was really backed up. The ramp to M10 was closed so had to go all the way to Woodward. On the way back… Read more »
We had some close lightning strikes last night and a decent amount of rain here. Currently cloudy again and fairly humid. It’ll be interesting to see the drought update at 8:30… the rain last night isn’t accounted for, for we will see
There was a lot more lightning in the Lansing area on the way home last night then here in GR
Slim
Actually picked up around 0.60” of rain last night for a change. Most rain in a long time in this area.
I recorded 0.72″
Slim
Another 1.1 inches! Incredible rainfall totals here in the last week or so!!!!