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Storm Outlooks this Week

We have all the tomatoes, peppers, cucumbers, onions, and three varieties of gourds including luffa gourds planted.  We use the gourds to make birdhouses and decorations.  The smaller birds take up residence in them.  This is the first year I am trying the luffas.

There are two types of luffa, both edible and part of the gourd family along with their cousins the cucumbers, watermelon, zucchini, and squash. Almost every part of luffa including the leaves, flowers, fruit, and seeds is edible.  The inner part can be used as an exfoliating sponge.

Yesterday we reached a warm 85° after a morning low of 51°.  We have increasing chances of storms on Monday and Tuesday, there is a  10% chance for today.

SPC Outlooks



CPC June Outlook



NWS Forecast

Isolated showers before 8 am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. West southwest wind around 7 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. The chance of precipitation is 10%.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 11 am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. South southwest wind 7 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. The chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 64. South southwest wind around 7 mph.
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 11 am. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. The chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2 am. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 66. The chance of precipitation is 60%.
Showers are likely, mainly before 8 am. Partly sunny, with a high near 77.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers before 2 am. Partly cloudy, with a low of around 53.
Sunny, with a high near 71.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Sunny, with a high near 75.
Friday Night
A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low of around 53.
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 76.

Weather History

1780: The infamous “dark day” in New England tradition. At noon, it was nearly as dark as night. Chickens went to roost, and many persons were fearful of divine wrath. The “dark day” was caused by forest fires to the west of New England.

1915: A spring storm came to an end after producing widespread snow. Total snowfall from the storm included: 17.6 inches in Scottsbluff, Nebraska, 8 inches at Cheyenne, Wyoming, 7 inches at Chadron and 3.9 inches in North Platte, Nebraska.

1923: A tornado injured two people in Kent County as it moved through rural areas from east of Coopersville to near Sparta.

2002: Snowflakes fly across Lower Michigan as record-cold weather prevails. Record lows include 26 degrees at Lansing, 29 at Muskegon, and 30 at Grand Rapids. The freezing temperatures cause heavy losses to orchards across western Lower Michigan.

On May 19, 2020, after several days of heavy rainfall beginning on the 17th, the Edenville Dam in Midland County failed and prompted the issuance of rare Flash Flood Emergencies for areas downstream. 7 to 8 inches of rain had fallen over the Tittabawassee River basin to the north, estimated to be a 200-year flood event. The dam failure caused the Sanford Dam downstream to fail as well, sending a wave of flood water toward the city of Midland. Approximately 10,000 people were evacuated and the Tittabawassee River crested at a record 35.05 feet in Midland. This historic flooding caused extensive damage around downtown Midland and the village of Sanford, though thankfully no injuries or deaths were reported.

On May 19, 1983, an F2 tornado hit Macomb County at 6:27 PM causing $25,000 in property damage.

Forecast Discussion

- Very warm and mainly dry today

It will be very warm again today with high temps reaching the low
to mid 80s. The exception to this will be near the Lake MI
shoreline where winds becoming onshore will keep it cooler. A weak
cold front will bring isolated showers early this morning nw of

Dry wx is expected for the majority of our area today. However a
few showers and storms will redevelop along and just ahead of the
weak cold front this aftn over our se fcst area where sb cape
values will potentially reach around 2k j/kg as suggested by the

Svr wx is not expected given weak sfc convergence/forcing
from the front and weak shear. However an isolated stronger pulse
type storm in the vicinity of KJXN seems possible by late aftn
coincident with peak diurnal heating and instability. This notion
is supported by a consensus of 00Z HREF convective parameters.

- Continued warm and more humid with some showers/storms Monday

It will become increasingly warm and noticeably more humid Monday
as winds become south to southwesterly and waa/moisture advection
occurs. SB cape values will build through the day and reach
around 1k-2k j/kg. Some stronger to marginally severe convective
development is expected in the afternoon and evening in an
increasingly humid and unstable airmass with deep ssw flow and as
the llj ramps up to around 35 kts late in the day.

- Stormy Monday night through Wednesday

Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected through mid
week. The first round arrives Monday night when a short wave tracks
across northern Lower. There will likely be storms ongoing Monday
evening north of the cwa. However, convection earlier in the day may
leave some unattended boundaries that may interact with convection
that could fire along the trailing cold front; NAMNest shows a
flareup of convection after midnight Monday night over the central
cwa where it may take advantage of MUCAPE around 600-700 j/kg. Shear
values less than 20 knots suggest severe storms won`t be a player
Monday night.

That could change Tuesday. A much stronger storm will emerge from
the Plains and push a warm front north through the cwa late in the
day. We could see some activity along the warm front Tuesday
afternoon when SBCAPE climbs to 2k+ j/kg, but the higher likelihood
is Tuesday night and Wednesday along the trailing cold front. Model
trends have slowed the advancement of the front and if trends
continue, early Wednesday could be a favored time to see storms
develop. If that occurs, the southeast cwa would realize the most
instability Wednesday morning as the front arrives.

Bulk shear climbs to 45-50kts Wednesday ahead of the front and so
given the instability already in place, we could see strong/severe
storms develop, especially over the southeast cwa. This bears

Once the front clears later Wednesday, we`ll see several days of dry
weather at the end of the week.

- Hot Tuesday, then cooler

Highs in the lower to mid 80s are expected Tuesday with temperatures
falling into the 70s Wednesday with clouds and precipitation along
the frontal boundary. Thursday will be the coolest day with highs
from the upper 60s north to lower 70s elsewhere. Highs in the lower
to mid 70s are expected next weekend.
newest oldest
Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Way too hot for mid May! Bring on a cold front! I guess I will need to just use the pool! Water temp around 80 degrees!

Jesse (Montcalm)
Jesse (Montcalm)

Yup. Hit 87 in mby. Insane. Very dry may so far as well for me. Storms keep missing. But at least it was a great April. Everything is still nice and green.

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

Getting a thunderstorm at my house currently.

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

I just noticed some towering clouds to our East. Totally clear here.

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

Yep raining here. Almost constant thunder.


We went and bought starter tomatoes from a local greenhouse. We will get those in today.


The overnight low here in MBY was summer like 63 and the current temperature is 68 with clear skies.


Yesterday was a summer like day with the official H/L at Grand Rapids of 83/49. There was no rainfall and the sun was out 90% of the possible time. The average wind speed was 4.1 MPH. For today the average H/L is 71/50 the record high of 91 was set in 1977 and the record low of 30 was set in 2002. The most rainfall of 2.88” fell in 1938. Last year the H/L was 68/50 and there was 0.02” of rain.