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Quieter Weather Today

Finally had some weather to keep us interested last night.  There was a possible tornado in Colon the NWS will verify later today.  I was watching activity on Radarscope in the Chicago area where there were several tornados reported on the ground.  Tornadoes were spotted at both O’Hare Airport and Midway Airport. Both airports halted air traffic.

Multiple tornadoes on the ground near Elgin IL – west of Chicago 7 12 23 from Bob Waszak

I was also watching some rotation on Radarscope to the west of my location, we ended up with just heavy rain and a bit of wind.  We received .79 of an inch which is the most we have had on a day since April 5.  We now have 2.24 inches since June 1st and 1.40 inches for July thus far.

The weather today will start out much quieter than how Wednesday finished up. Temperatures will remain mild with highs in the 70s. A few showers and storms could pop up this afternoon inland from Lake Michigan. More widespread showers and storms will be likely late Friday night into Saturday.


U.S.A and Global Events for July 13th:

1895: A tornado that began in Cherry Hill, New Jersey made its way to Woodhaven and Long Island in New York.

1951: Rivers across eastern Kansas crest well above flood stage, causing the most significant destruction from flooding in the Midwestern United States at that time. Five-hundred-thousand people were left homeless, and 24 people died in the disaster.


7 13 grr

Forecast Discussion

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday)
Issued at 323 AM EDT Thu Jul 13 2023

Upper low across central Canada combined with a subtropical ridge
across the southern CONUS will keep the Great Lakes in a fast west
to northwest flow regime through the near term and beyond. Today
we will be between shortwave troughs with generally fair weather.
Only slight chance POPs for this afternoon in the eastern forecast
area as moisture and instability are both limited. Any isolated
showers that do develop should diminish by sundown with loss of
sfc heating.

On Friday, showers will become more widespread as a shortwave
trough approaches and moisture pools ahead of an advancing cold
front. It still looks like the bulk of the rain should fall Friday
night, but chance POPs are warranted across most of the CWA on
Friday afternoon given well developed warm advection pattern and
precipitable water values already over 1.5 inches. Thunderstorms
are possible as well with negative LIs and at least elevated
instability sufficient to maintain deep updrafts. Deep layer shear
of 30 knots or more is shown in both the GFS and NAM Friday
afternoon so this will have to be watched closely for severe
weather potential as well.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 323 AM EDT Thu Jul 13 2023

No real change to the general forecast for the period from Friday
night and beyond. We are looking at periodic chances for showers and
storms, with temperatures mainly near to slightly below average for
this time of the year. This will be the case as upper heights across
Canada will be a bit on the low side, and we will be closer to the
upper jet. This pattern will bring occasional short waves through
the area, which will support the shower/storm chances.

There is a better chance for showers and storms late Friday night
and Saturday. We will see a trough axis take shape over the Mid-
Mississippi Valley by daybreak Saturday morning. Ahead of this wave,
forcing will ramp up over the area, and a surge of warm and moist
air will stream in over the area. This supports the potential of a
decent amount of instability building with a short wave and sfc low
moving through during the early afternoon hours. If we can realize
the forecast amount of instability to go along with the short wave
and mid level winds, some severe weather will be possible.

The air will cool down a little bit behind the short wave and sfc
low that pass through the area on Saturday. The flow will remain
somewhat cyclonic with the long wave trough aloft over the area.
Additional short waves are forecast to come through, and will keep
the chance of showers/storms in for the area. This trough will
remain over the area likely for Sunday through Tuesday, keeping a
chance of rain in for the forecast.

It does look like the long wave troughing may slip east, and allow
the rain chances to no be as great for Wednesday and beyond. This
would allow for temperatures to warm back up to average to slightly
above average levels.
newest oldest
Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Today was yet another below normal temp day and yes we are well on our way to a below normal temp month and summer! Who would have thought?

INDY
INDY

Currently 68 degrees out in my hood just beautiful outside for the middle of July perfect bon fire weather love when it feels like May in July and no heat in sight JUST DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD!!! InDay

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Fantastic and the cool pattern is rocking and rolling and no change in sight! Who wouldn’t want below normal temps during the hottest month of the year? Incredible and spectacular!!!!!

INDY
INDY

71 days to Falll love short summers or should I say below normal Summers 😂….INDY

INDY
INDY

My grass hasn’t been this green since April crazy 2 days from now I will be cutting again…INDY

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

I am mowing 2 times per week!

Mr. Negative
Mr. Negative

ADA – Frustrating…I thought we received plenty of rain yesterday. Gauges showing only .80 this morning.

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Yes that is on the low side and way less than I received!

Sherry
Sherry

1.65 in of rain here in Comstock Park. My rain barrels are full for the first time this summer.

Jim in Cooper Twp., Kazoo Co.
Jim in Cooper Twp., Kazoo Co.

Watching radar last night it was obvious most of the rain was north of Kazoo County. I recorded 0.35 inches last night so the drought in my area continues.

Nathan (Forest Hills)
Nathan (Forest Hills)

The drought update today won’t take into account last nights rain. But it seems like areas in the “severe” drought got a decent soaking. Definitely an exciting evening for once

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

Well over 3” of rain at my house! Incredible!

Looks like the community of Colon may have had a tornado last night down in St. Joseph County. We will find out later with the storm survey.

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

I would think that a tornado will be confirmed. Like I said last night, there was a clear debris ball on the radar for several minutes.

Jesse (Montcalm co)
Jesse (Montcalm co)

We got exactly 2”. I am happy with that. My pond completely filled too.

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

As Michael said above, FINALLY some weather. The storm of the year so far. Three inches of rain here. We had a severe thunderstorm warning just after midnight. 60+ mph winds. At one point, we thought our young tree out back was going to snap. Exciting evening for southern Michigan and NE Illinois. Several road closures around the capital city this morning due to flooding.

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

There was rotation in Eaton County west of Lansing and south of my house last night. At one point it looked pretty decent but never fully tightened up but it wouldn’t have taken much more. A very active evening.

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

My wife said that she thought she saw some rotation in the clouds overhead amongst the flashes of lightning.

Slim

The heavy rain yesterday set a new record rain fall at Grand Rapids with the official amount of 1.68” Here in MBY I recorded 2.23” At Lansing they reported a new record amount of 2.95”. The official H/L at GRR was 77/57 and there was 31% of possible sunshine the peak wind gust at GRR was 34 MPH out of the NE. For today the average H/L is 83/63 the record is the all time high of 108 set in 1936. The record low of 46 was set in 1898 there has only been 2 times with it has gotten… Read more »

Slim

There were several reports of flooding in Kent county and to our south there were some reports of funnel cloud sightings. Did not see any major damage reports. There were some reports of people getting rescued from their cars. Here in MBY there was just heavy rain fall with a couple of flashes of lightning and a rumble of thunder. I recorded a total of 2.23” of rain fall. The next week looks to be near average for the most part with highs in the upper 70’s to low 80’s with a few chances of showers.
Slim

INDY
INDY

I would imagine all of lower Michigan received over a inch of rain last night the drought is on its way out as ws have more rain and cooler temperatures straight ahead the word Fall comes to mind and I love it!! INDY

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

Well not everyone. If you read MVs post above he stated he had 0.78”.

Slim

Some areas got much more than others. Official Lansing recorded 2.95″ of rain fall here in my yard I had 2.23″ there were several other reports of over 2″ and of course other areas got much less. There was not much wind here in my area and just a few flashes of lightning and a few rumbles of thunder.
Slim

bernie
bernie

1.8″ inches at my house just east of Hamilton last night…