Quiet Week Ahead

Yesterday we had a high of 31° and a low of 21° with lots of sun to take the edge off.

The northern lower peninsula has the best chance of a few flurries early this week but with fairly dry air in place most of the week they won’t amount to much.  We are moving towards our transition to meteorological spring so I suspect cold air intrusion will become less frequent as time moves on with more zonal patterns rather than the jet bringing down cold air from Canada.  We may see high temps near 50° by Saturday however rain is in the picture along with it.

Forecast Discussion

- Only light snow chances this week with fast moving clippers

The northern stream dominates the next few days with fast
northwest flow between western ridging and an upper low over
eastern Canada. A low moves across southern Canada today with
trailing cold front extending through the Great Lakes. There is
very little moisture to work with and only flurries across the
northern zones are expected with this.

A clipper then tracks across central or northern Lower Michigan
on Monday night with light snow possible across the northern
zones, closer to the sfc low track. Fast northwest flow brings
another clipper for Tuesday night into Wednesday with another
chance of light snow.

- Storminess next weekend

There is a signal for a more significant storm next weekend after
the western ridge breaks down and is replaced with troughing.
Current model agreement of a sfc low tracking over or west of
Lower Michigan will have to be watched. Similar forecasts of lows
evolving as currently forecast the past few weeks have inevitably
trended to a weaker and further south and east track as the event
approached.