We picked up another .05 inch of rain yesterday from a brief shower in the afternoon. Our high temp was 73° and the low 55°.
We expect steady rainfall to the north of I-96 today with increasing chances of rain south, especially in SE Michigan:
Much needed rainfall will continue through this evening with drenching downpours at times. A few rumbles of thunder are possible. Rain will taper off from west to east tonight.
A Flood Watch has been issued for a portion of Southeast Michigan. Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches are possible with localized totals near 3 inches. This will come from multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon through tonight. All of Southeast Michigan remains in a Marginal Risk for heavy rainfall.
Not sure what’s been going on with the GR NWS office – they seem to be late with their forecast graphics as of late.
Forecast Discussion
- Rain and Storms Today - Conditions are dry across most of the area early this morning as the main frontal zone lifts north but precipitation chances will quickly increase through this morning as the next mid-level wave approaches. Afternoon temperatures will build with highs reaching near 80 across the I-69 corridor with dewpoints rising into the 60s by this afternoon. This will support modest instability this afternoon mainly along and south of the I-69 corridor. In addition to modest instability, shear profiles will be supportive of any convection that does develop. A marginal risk for strong to severe storms is present mainly for the I-69 corridor. In addition to the chances for strong to severe storms this afternoon and evening, heavy rain will be another potential risk as precipitable water values nose up to 1.5" to 2". Meanwhile, enhanced vertical motion will be supported by the presence of upper-level jet entrance region dynamics while the low-level jet aligns with convection. As such, backbuilding/regenerative storms will be something to watch for. HREF probability matched mean values continue to paint localized streaks of up to 1.5" to 2.5" of rainfall between 8pm Monday to 2am Tuesday across southeast lower MI. Localized flooding will be possible in the typical high risk areas. The surface low will track northeast Tuesday morning with mostly dry conditions expected by mid-day. - Midweek Showers - A sharpening trough ejecting from the Rockies will move over the western Great Lakes resulting in a period of showers and perhaps some thunder Wednesday. Overall precipitation should stay fairly light with no great connection to Gulf moisture. - Warmer Next Week - Through much of this week slightly below normal temperatures are expected, but as surface ridging builds early next week temperatures will warm back closer to 80.
Keep the 90’s away yeahhh INDY
When will we ever see 80 degrees! Wow!
It was 87 just a week ago.
Thanks for the kind words, everyone. It was a joyous weekend. I am one proud dad.
NWS GR has really backed off on the precipitation for tonight – 0.5″ or less, rather than the 1+” they were forecasting yesterday.
There has been some light rain here but not much. So far just 0.03″ of rain has fallen. And the temperature here is now at 68 and with a DP of 58 it feels rather nice out.
Slim
Our daughter’s high school commencement was yesterday. Some sprinkles during the ceremony but then the sun came out and it warmed up nicely. I can’t believe our baby girl is all grown up. 🥹
Congratulations
Slim
Congrats Mark. We had a grad party Saturday… beautiful!!!
CONGRATULATIONS!!
CONGRATULATIONS!!
Congrats Mark! Our last one graduated 2 years ago. Makes me feel a wee bit older.
What a cold snap for the month of June! Below normal temps rule! Wow, just wow! Incredible cold stretch!
While it has been below average it has not been cold. It is the coolest start to any June since 2013 but it is nowhere as cold as the start of June in 1945 when the first 7 days were all over 10 degrees below average. There were two days more than 20° below average -20.6 and -20.4. one day at -17.9 -14.7. -12.5 -12.2 and -10.3.
Slim
Coldest start to June in about a decade! Incredible!
The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 71/55. There was a reported 0.03” of rain fall and just 12% of possible sunshine. The overnight low here at my house was 60 and at the current time with cloudy skies it is 61. For today the average H/L is 77/56 the record high of 95 was set in 1925 the record low of 37 was set in 1958. Last year the H/L was 89/69.
Slim
Here is a summery of meteorological spring 2022 for Grand Rapids. The mean temperature was 47.1 that is a departure from average of -0.4 degrees. The average H/L was 56.2/38. The high for the spring season was 87 on May 11,12 and 13. The low was 12 on March 12. There were 0 days of 90 or better. There were 4 days of highs of 32 or less. On 35 nights the low fell to 32 or less. There was 12.76” of rain and melted snow. That is a departure of +2.38” There was 6.4” of snow fall and that… Read more »