We will return to a more summerlike pattern for the start of October with plenty of sunshine and temperatures of 80 or better. Our next chance of rain comes on Wednesday night through Saturday when we begin a more active weather pattern and a return to near-normal temperatures in the 60s.
Today through at least next Wednesday looks to be a warm period. While it will be warm, record highs will be tough to reach for most locations on most of the warm days. A couple of the records could be approached.
Forecast for SW Michigan
U.S.A and Global Events for October 1st:
1890: The weather service is first identified as a civilian agency when Congress, at the request of President Benjamin Harrison, passes an act transferring the Signal Service’s meteorological responsibilities to the newly-created U.S. Weather Bureau in the Department of Agriculture. Click HERE for more information from us.code.house.gov.
1893: On this day, the village of Caminadaville, Louisiana, was destroyed by a massive hurricane. Caminadaville was a vibrant fishing community in the late 19th century, located on Cheniere Caminada, adjacent to Grand Isle in coastal Jefferson Parish in Louisiana. It took five days for the news of this devastating hurricane to reach New Orleans. Click HERE for more information from The Times-Picayune, Greater New Orleans. Click HERE for additional information from the NWS Office in New Orleans, Lousiana.
1938: Grannis and Okay, Arkansas set an all-time high-temperature record for October for Arkansas with 105 degrees. Click HERE for a tweet from the NWS Office in Little Rock, Arkansas.
1945: While investigating a Category 1 typhoon over the South China Sea, the typhoon hunter plane was lost. This marks the first of only a few instances of the Hurricane/Typhoon plane was lost during their flight into the storm. Click HERE for more information from Weather Underground.
1958: NASA officially begins operations on October 1st, 1958. Click HERE for more information from the Air and Space Museum.
1977: While an F3 tornado traveled less than one mile through Montfort Heights or the greater Cincinnati area, it destroyed 12 homes and damaged 15 others. There were 17 injuries. Click HERE for more information from the website, Tornado Talk.
Forecast Discussion
Latest observations show patchy fog in a few locations, but not nearly as widespread as last night and not as dense, either. What fog is out there will quickly dissipate after sunrise. High pressure remains in control of our weather. The upper ridge is sending short waves northeastward across Wisconsin the UP and southern Wisconsin and we can see the showers/storms there. The only remnants affecting our weather currently are some clouds that are drifting south from convection over the UP and northern Lower. The NAM and HREF are handling the clouds the best currently and show a decrease in cloudiness as we head toward the afternoon today. Temperatures should top 80 across the cwa and again fall into the 50s tonight under mostly clear skies. As heights build Monday, temperatures will reach the lower to perhaps mid 80s. Record highs are in the mid to upper 80s today except at the lake shore where the record at MKG is 81. Given that MKG was 79 Saturday, they may approach their record. Record highs Monday are again in the 86 to 89 range, except at MKG which is 83. We should see plenty of sunshine again. So, we may be close to a few records, but likely fall a degree or two short. - Unseasonably warm temperatures into mid week, then cooling off The warm air advection persists into Wednesday leading to a prolonged period of well above normal temperatures. The 925 mb thermal ridge peaks on Wednesday with values around 22 deg C. This supports temperatures in the low to mid 80`s. That feature shifts east of the region by Thursday so a gradual cooling trend will start then. Ensemble temperature forecasts support max T`s reaching into the low to mid 80`s. Then cold air advection strengthens going into next weekend. 925 mb temperatures fall to around 6 deg C. With clouds and showers around then, we may see temperatures struggling to reach 60 degrees. - Potential for some rain end of next week into the weekend A cold front will be moving into the area Wednesday night into Thursday. This feature will be slowing down as it arrives, which will allow for added moisture to advect in from the southwest. A series of shortwaves dig down from the Canadian Prairies Thursday into Friday eventually forming a deepening surface wave over southern Ontario. This feature will draw down plenty of cooler air from Canada leading to lake effect clouds and showers especially Friday into Saturday. Most ensemble members are showing QPF during the period, which supports increase the POP`s.
Lansing averages one 80-degree day each October. We will have several this year. Feels hot on this amazing day.
Here in our area a new record high was set at Muskegon with a high of 83 the old record was 81 set in 1971. Here in Grand Rapids the high of 83 was the 4th warmest October 1st in recorded history. The high was also 83 in Holland their 2nd warmest October 1st The high reached 84 at Kalamazoo and that was their 5th warmest on record. Lansing was the “cool” spot with a high of just 80 and that was their 9th warmest October 1st
Slim
Wow, can you believe this? The annual Twin Cities Marathon has been canceled due to record-breaking heat in Minneapolis and St. Paul. The high reached 90 there today. That broke the old record of 87 set in 1897.
Slim
What September ended up with above normal temps?!?! How is that possible with all the cold weather propaganda on here?? Temps in the 80’s all week! Keep this warm weather ROCKIN!!
Yes, it is now October. The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 79/48 there was no rain fall and a reported 98% of possible sunshine. 1 HDD was reported. For today the average H/L is now down to 68/47 the record high of 89 was set in 1897 and the record low of 27 was set in 1898 the record rain fall amount of 2.10” fell in 1911 so all records are long standing for today. Last year the H/L was 70/42
Slim
My wife and I took a trip to Detroit yesterday and seen Miggy play one last time. The trip was mostly good. It was very foggy all the way over. You can see the tornado damage along I 96 real well. Even in the fog it was easy to make out. We made good time until we got to the construction on I 96 in Detroit. That has been going on for a long time. I left early to compensate for it but it still took longer than I guessed. But we still got to the park to get our… Read more »
Sounds like a fun day!! Thanks for sharing Slim. I have friends going today to the game.