We will see rain with cooler temperatures today thanks to a low-pressure system moving through the area. We have .75 inches as of 6 a.m. according to my digital gauge (haven’t got the measurement from my analog gauge yet to get the official reading.) Tomorrow may be similar to today with another system currently moving in from Minnesota and Iowa.
Grand Rapids Forecast
8 6 grrU.S.A and Global Events for August 6th
1959: Hurricane Dot crossed Kauai in the Hawaiian Islands producing sustained winds of 105 mph with gusts to 125 mph. Over 6 inches of rain fell with over 9 inches on the big island of Hawaii. The sugar cane crop on Kauai sustained $2.7 million in damages.
1993: Virginia experienced its worst tornado outbreak ever as 18 tornadoes ripped through the state in 5 hours. The most devastating tornado caused severe damage in the historic part of Petersburg. The storm then moved on to Pocahontas Island and into Colonial Heights. There, the storm ripped apart a Walmart store, killing three people and injuring nearly 200. The F4 twister was the first known violent tornado in Virginia history. It killed a total of 4 people and injured 246 along its 12-mile path. Total damages were nearly $50 million. Click HERE for a 20th Anniversary video from WTVR.com
Forecast Discussion
Rain will continue to spread north today as the meso-low tracks northeast into Lower Michigan. Deep moisture with p-wat values around 1.8 inches will allow for some occasionally heavy rain rates in mesoscale bands as is currently the case around AZO and BTL. So far, no lightning has been observed with those rain bands as model and LAPS soundings show little or no CAPE. The rain bands will pivot across the central and eastern forecast area today with the dry slot lifting in from the south. We do not expect excessive rainfall to result in significant flooding given the lack of deep convection, but some areas could see 1.5 to 2.0 inches of rain where the bands pivot. This appears most likely along and east of a line from Mount PLeasant to Battle Creek. The rains from the meso-low depart off to the northeast after midnight, but showers from the next low is already moving into the southwest forecast area at that time. Deep moisture with p-wat values still around 1.8 inches remains through Monday, although the low center tracks south of Lower Michigan. Another half inch to inch of QPF is possible across the southern half of the forecast area and some rises on rivers and streams in the Kalamazoo and St. Joe basins are possible into early next week. .LONG TERM...(Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 414 AM EDT Sun Aug 6 2023 - Light Rain into Tuesday The large upper level low will become an open wave, though mid to low levels will continue to be closed off. Decent moisture through the system should allow for light showers to continue Monday night into Tuesday morning. The biggest PWATs will shift to the southeast overnight so the heaviest lingering showers will be along and south of the I 69 corridor. High pressure will build into the area Tuesday into Wednesday as a large upper level low tracks across southern Canada. We will be in a zonal pattern with several upper level waves moving through in the second half of the week. - Additional rain possible through the latter half of the week. Ensemble guidance continues to favor a shortwave trough moving in late Wednesday into Thursday. There continues to be some disparity on timing and moisture placement. So while scattered showers remain possible, its tough to give a good position. However, there is a positively tilted mid level short wave and mid level moisture associated with the upper level wave so there remains a chance for showers Thursday. Given the zonal pattern there will be multiple waves that will move through but there continues to be large disparities in the timing of these waves. There remains chances for showers Friday through Saturday. Due to the zonal pattern and the rain/clouds temperatures this week will remain at or below normal. So expect mid 70s to low 80s for maximum temperatures this week.
We had a high temp of 60f and 3/4” of rain so far that has ranged from a decent steady downpour to a light misting. Definitely felt like October.
I love today’s temps!
Currently only 60 and raining here. Feels like a mid-October day, but I’m kind of enjoying it actually
I’m my lawn is loving it too.
I have noticed that some of the trees around here have started to turn colors. Fall is right around the corner.
It has looked like we would get some rain but we haven’t yet.
We’ve had rain on and off all day. Typical when a low pressure system is overhead. I hope the MIS race doesn’t get rained out.
Another feel like Fall day outside!! Enjoy ..INDY
It sure does!
My hourly forecast for the last 24 hours has been jumping around like a yo-yo! They might as well just throw a dart!
What? More cool weather? Who would have thought?
Which of the Grand Rapids stations (in your opinions), give the most accurate forecasts? I have followed Woodtv8 for several years, and I am losing confidence in their accuracy , even in their 24 hour forecasts. Yesterday morning, they were saying that it was to be mostly dry last night and even today, with tonight and Monday bringing the most precip. I just watched their 5 a.m. forecast, and they have totally changed the forecast for the next 24 hours.
btw… we had .5 inches in the gauge since midnight last night…
In all fairness, I think a lot of people had today wrong. The NWS previously forecast today as 82 and partly sunny. Now it is the upper 60s and rain.
This has been one of the more poorly handled events I think I’ve seen this summer. Not really the meteorologists fault it’s the computer models. This event has shown everything from showers to severe weather heavy rain back to showers all in a short span of time
Agreed. Our local TV Mets were all over the place the past couple of days and ended being wrong too. Even a 99% accuracy rating means they’re going to blow it once every three months.
All of the forecast are based on what the computer models and the NWS offices provide. Today like always mother nature has the finial say. At this current time there is light rain falling and it is 63 here in MBY. So far not much rain has fallen just 0.14″ so far.
Slim
None of them are very accurate, because they just look at the models! They need to do some more in depth analysis of the data and not just spew what the models show! Of course if they refer to the RDB model in the winter they will get more accurate data to base their forecast on!
The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 79/63 there was no rain fall. The sun was out 45% of the possible time. The highest wind gust was 22MPH out of the E. There were 6 CDD’s. For today the average H/L is 82/62 the record high of 102 was set in 1918 the record low of 46 was set in 1948 and 1994. The record rain fall amount of 1.40” fell in 1993. Last year it was a very warm day with a H/L of 89/70. Of note is that this year there has only been one night that… Read more »
At the current time it is 62 here in MBY with light rain falling. So far there has been 0.10” of rain fall here in my yard. Today and Monday look to be rather wet and cool. And There are several more chances for rain this week while temperatures are a little below average. And yes there will not be any nights staying at 70 or above this week. If Grand Rapids does not have another night that stays above 70 it will be the fewest since 2000.
Slim