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Pleasant Day Today

We had .02 of an inch of rain yesterday and the temperature was 75° for the high and 61° for the low.  Partly to mostly sunny skies are expected today with an outside chance for a shower.


Grand Rapids Forecast

8 8 grr

U.S.A and Global Events for August 8th

1874: Swarms of Rocky Mountain locusts invaded Denver, Colorado. Millions were seen cruising through the air. The insects were picked up by a thunderstorm gust front and carried into the city. The grasshoppers ravaged crops in surrounding counties for the last month. Click HERE for more information about The Year of the Locust, 1874.

2007: A tornado bounces across Staten Island and Brooklyn, New York, ripping off roofs and damaging dozens of buildings. The EF-2 twister hopscotched through Brooklyn’s Bay Ridge and Sunset Park neighborhoods around 6:30 a.m.

1882: An August snowstorm was reported by a ship on Lake Michigan, dumping 6 inches of snow and slush on the deck. Snow showers were reported at shore points.

1983: The temperature at Big Horn Basin, WY reached 115 degrees to establish a state record.


Forecast Discussion

Diurnal cumulus can be expected to form by this afternoon. Model
soundings show some shallow moisture and narrow CAPE, just enough
to allow some updrafts forming along and east of a lake breeze
this afternoon a low chance to bring some showers and maybe even a
thunderstorm before activity diminishes with lowering sun angle
this evening.

Then we look to Wednesday when a shortwave trough approaches from
the west, although the stronger northern stream upper low remains
separate from the southern stream trough, which results in Lower
Michigan being in between best lift and deeper moisture. The
latest GFS, ECMWF and Hi-Res FV3 all seem to be on the same page
in keeping the bulk of the rains along and southwest of the
southern forecast area through Wednesday afternoon.


.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Monday)

- Scattered Showers and storms Possible  Wednesday night

The models have come into some sort of agreement on the passage of
the large upper level low Wednesday night. While some disparity
on upper level placement remains, there is much more consistency
in location and timing.

The 500 mb upper low remains north of Lake Superior with a 500 mb
shortwave trough moving across Iowa and northern Illinois. The
500 mb low has a tight gradient aloft due to a building ridge
over central Canada. There is also a nice ribbon of moisture along
the boundary. The two upper level jet segments should interact
near or over the Great Lakes region.

The best moisture will be associated with the shortwave trough
moving south of Michigan and will trek eastward into Thursday.
However the ribbon of moisture shown in the 1000mb-500mb relative
humidity will swing through southern lower Michigan late Wednesday
night into Thursday. This could bring some scattered showers
across the region. The best area will be north of the US 10
corridor and east then through eastern Michigan, especially the
thumb.

-Best chance For Showers and Thunderstorms Friday Night into Saturday

The zonal pattern will continue which is anomalous for this time
of year. The EC has a deeper trough but the ensembles do show a
short wave trough digging into the region with a mid level low
moving into the Great Lakes. Ensemble suites and deterministic
models have continued to show synoptic support for showers and
thunderstorms Friday into Friday night. There should be some nice
shear aloft due to the presence of a rather strong mid level jet
for early August. Latest models showing 45 to 50 LLJ which also
coincides with an approaching upper level jet. PWATS from the
NAEFS and GEFS are fairly modest though the EC ensemble
anomalies are in the +2 range with 1.5 inches of PWAT swinging
through southern Lower. This will allow for enough moisture.
Couple with this with the shear and instability and there could be
the potential for severe weather headed into the weekend.
newest oldest
INDY
INDY

830pm and its getting dark outside Fall is moving in fast I love it!! INDY

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Get the bon fires ready! I love cool summers and cool Falls! Bring it!

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Yesterday was yet another below normal temp day in GR! Wow!

Slim

The official H/L yesterday was 79/62 there was a trace of rain fall reported. For the month there has been 0.60” of rain fall. There was 30% of possible sunshine the highest wind gust was 23MPH out of the NW. There were 6 CDD’s for the month so far there have been 46 that is a departure from average of -10. For today the average H/L is 82/62 the record high of 96 was set way back in 1894 and the record low of 43 was set in 1989.
Slim

Slim

The week ahead looks to have temperatures near to a little below average and there will be a few chances of showers with the best chance over the weekend. Highs will be in the upper 70’s to low 80’s and lows in the 60’s
Slim

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)
Slim

Here in our area we lucked out and missed almost all of the heat this summer.
Slim

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

It’s hard to believe that we are above average for 90-degree days for the season. The heat was so early on, but it has been nice since. It has been a very pleasant summer here. Shorts weather every day and lots of sunshine.