Fair weather will continue today across Southwest Lower Michigan with a good deal of sunshine and very warm temperatures for February. Normal highs today range from 33 to 37 degrees, but we will be 20 degrees warmer than that. Readings should top out in the mid to upper 50s in most areas, the exception being north of Grand Haven up the shore with a wind off a cold Lake Michigan.
A stationary front sagging into the area from the northwest tonight and Wednesday will bring scattered rain showers late tonight and tomorrow. A low traversing the Southern Great Lakes region will bring rain Wednesday night that will try to change over to snow on Thursday. Some snow accumulation is possible on Thursday into Thursday evening.
Forecast uncertainty remains higher than normal, but it appears both locally heavy rain and snow are possible at this point. The best chance for snow will come on Thursday. The rainfall may bring additional river rises in some areas.
At this point the NAM is predicting 1.35 to close to 2″ of rain – dependent on the course of the low pressure it is showing around 10 to 12 inches of snow for Thursday. This would be the heavy wet stuff. Keep in mind there is still a lot of uncertainty on the development and path – we should have a better idea tomorrow.
Ch 8 just showed a model estimate of 8 inches of snow for GR, and 10 for Ionia. Ada is in between the two towns. Maybe 9 for Ada? 😉 Nah…hoping not.
It won’t stick around long. I also saw a couple of weather maps that called for even greater amounts. Spring is coming. 🙂
Very nice details from the GR NWS about the long range outlook! COLDER and SNOWIER! Get ready for return to winter and that may last for a few weeks! Bring it! “There is quite a bit of spread in the ensembles on the details with this storm, but the ensemble mean shows the potential for a general 1 to 3 inch snowfall across at least the northern half of the forecast area by Monday Colder weather arrives behind the storm and temperatures were trended towards the colder GFS. Temperatures lowered a bit for Monday night and Tuesday in strong cold… Read more »
Indeed it has been a February to remember this year! Hitting 60 again today after the record breaking mid 60’s last week, and this has only happened about 10 or 11 times before in GR recorded history! And then the record flood that is still going on, we will be looking back on this month for years to come.
Of course you forgot one other incredible stat form February!! FEB SNOWFALL was 143% above normal for GR!!! I wonder if all of that SNOW helped create the bad flooding? Truly amazing and we are still above normal for the season with plenty of snow in the forecast for this week and next week and beyond! What a WINTER! Keep it ROCKING!
Great storm track, with plenty of Cold air being drawn in for snow! The only question is how strong will the low be and how potent the deformation zone is! I hope we get pounded with SNOW!!!!
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/lowtrack_circles.gif
Here is another view of the possible BIG SNOWSTORM!!
http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=snku_acc&rh=2018022718&fh=84&r=conus&dpdt=
Lets root for NAM model to nail one! Bring it on! March 1st and SNOW! Who would have thought?
http://wxcaster.com/gis-snow-overlays2.php?STATIONID=GRR
Beautiful outside today!! I got my stitches out of my foot today & was hoping to be out there walking this afternoon but I am a few days from doing that. It will happen. 🙂
Wishing you a speedy recovery!
Thanks.
61° and sunshine. Can you ask for a nicer day in February?
I watched the morning local news on two stations. One guy said rain and snow coming. The other guy said maybe 3″ by Friday morning. Whom should I believe?
Sounds like the most snow is going to be south of 96. So you’re right on that line Mark. Whatever we get should all be melted by Saturday or Sunday anyway, so no biggie!
GR is up to 59 degrees at 2pm!
Its already 55° here at my house with sunny skies sure looks like spring. BUT do not think that it still can not turn wintery yet. Here are some examples of big snow/ice storms after a mild period. In March of 1970 The high reached 54° on March 21st but there was a big snowstorm on the 24/25th In March 1971 the temperature reached 64° on the 14th only to have a big snowstorm on the 18th In March 1972 the temperature shot up to 72° on the 14th but there was a big time snow storm on the 16/17th… Read more »
Several days ago I mentioned that according to GRR NWS weather records the wettest February on record is 5.77” in 1898. But in looking at the daily records for February 1898 the dates of February 20/21 do not look right. I wrote the GRR NWS on this issue and here is a copy of their response. James, We noticed the same thing for Grand Rapids in 1898 too. We dug through the original paper forms for Grand Rapids, Lansing, Muskegon, and Kalamazoo and found that while there was a snowstorm around Feb 20-21 (about 9-12 inches), the 2.8″ water content… Read more »
Impressive work Slim! Great job!
Get ready for near 60 degrees and sun! I still can’t believe how short winter was this year (barely two months). I already see flowers popping up – in Michigan – in February! And the golfers are back out.
Motorcycles too!