After a pleasant couple days in the low 50s, our temps will return to normal (or slightly above) and the weather pattern will become more active. We had 50.2° on Sunday and 51.1° yesterday with more sunshine than we have seen in the past 25 days or so.
The snow on the ground is pretty much gone in southern Michigan. What was on the ground was hard and crunchy and took a few days to melt. Now we are looking at the potential of several inches tomorrow night into Thursday with the passage of an area of low pressure south through the Ohio Valley leaving us on the cold side of the system.
NWS Outlook
A powerful low pressure system currently over Texas will continue to make weather headlines going through the middle of the week. This is in response to a big dip in the jet stream along with a potent shortwave approaching from the Rockies and then crossing the south-central states. The result at the surface will be a strong cold front with a deep surge of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico ahead of it, fueling multiple rounds of heavy rain and thunderstorms, especially from the central Gulf Coast to the Ohio Valley and central Appalachians. Rainfall totals through Thursday morning could be on the order of 2 to 4 inches across portions of Kentucky and Tennessee. Severe weather could also be a problem from Louisiana to Alabama, where the Storm Prediction Center is indicating a slight risk of severe thunderstorms on Wednesday. Given the strong temperature contrast to the northwest of the surface low, a band of significant snowfall is becoming increasingly likely from west-central Texas to central Oklahoma, where winter storm watches are currently in effect. The potential exists for 4 to 8 inches of snow for some of these areas by Wednesday night. Lighter snow is expected farther north across the southern Great Lakes and into New England, and some freezing rain is likely across parts of the Ohio Valley and into Pennsylvania.
In my opinion, which most times is a guess at best as with most other forecasts, we will have to wait to see the track of the storm which at this point has the area of a mix of precipitation just south of a line from Kalamazoo to Lansing and Flint with snow north of that line. As usual, this prediction can and will probably move one way or the other so we will have to wait and see.
We have a slight chance of drizzle today with steady temps in the mid-30s with a few peaks of the sun later in the day.
1-3 inches per WOOD per Bill. Yup, big storm.. Lol !
The updated national weather service isn’t too worked up about this one. Sound like we could almost getting nothing out of it… Maybe I should start having my crews spread bark lol
That’s what I figured Bill, when I didn’t see anymore Rocky wetting his pants posts about the upcoming snowmageddon! From the GRR NWS: A low pressure system will take a track up the OH Valley Wednesday night into Thursday generating snow on the north side of the track. Overall most models have backed off on how much snow will fall in Southern Lower MI and shifted the accumulations further south. The area of Kalamazoo to Jackson is forecasted to be closest to the axis of higher accumulations that would lead to limited impacts. To the north of Grands Rapids…several models…including… Read more »
😂😂😂lol
As of this morning there was just 5.3% of total ice cover on the great Lakes. That is a record low amount for February 4th going back to 1973. This beats the 5.64% on this date in 2016 the 6.1% on this date in 2012 as well as the 6.5% in 2002. Here is the ice cover map.
https://www.glerl.noaa.gov/res/glcfs/glcfs.php?lake=l&ext=ice&type=N&hr=00
For more information on Great Lakes Ice coverage here is a web site
https://www.glerl.noaa.gov/data/ice/#historical
Slim
That is very indicative of how mild this winter has been.
With the way the temperatures and the way it looks outside it feels and looks more like March then February. That COULD mean that there could be some bigger systems in the next 30 to 45 days. That is especially true if it becomes cold to out north west and warm to our SE. We will have to see where the storm track sets up. At this time it is mostly cloudy and 37 here with just some left over snow piles on the ground.
Slim
Let’s see about 50 inches of snow from now till April! Incredible!
Finally some great weather talk about a up coming storm on the blog …Let it snow let it snow let it snow….INDY
That is the spirit!
BREAKING>>>>>>a WWA will be issued for our area for wed night and Thursday! Stay tuned for later updates!
Forget temps in the 50’s and bring on the cold and snow!
Check this out! Bring it!
http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays2.php?STATIONID=GRR
Good morning MV’S best my thoughts on the coming storm low pressure moves into central Ohio northeast putting most of mid Michigan in the sweet spot for moderate to heavy snow starting Wednesday night into Thursday 4-6 some 7 inches snow not out of the question Winter storm watches coming later tonight or tomorrow morning or some kind of Advisory criteria we need to keep a eye eyee on it stormy February coming up and we are on the north side of things ..Stay tuned ..INDY
NWS says 2-5 with the I-69 corridor and just north of that is the sweet spot – at this point, of course.
Rock n roll baby!