The large area of rain to our west last night has mostly dissipated. We may see a few showers from the passage of a cold front this morning. The next chance of rain will come Friday. Yesterday’s high and low were 77/ 53. We had a trace of rain from sprinkles passing through.
NWS Forecast
Today
There is a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 11 am. Cloudy, then gradual clearing during the afternoon, with a high near 82. West wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Light southwest wind.
Independence Day
Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers between 2 am and 5 am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5 am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Light and variable wind. The chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
There is a chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8 am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8 am and 2 pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2 pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. The chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers before 8 pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63.
Saturday
Partly sunny, with a high near 74.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 59.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 82.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers between 8 pm and 2 am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65.
Monday
There is a chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 80.
Monday Night
There is a chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 80.
Weather History
1966: A five-day heat wave peaked with temperatures in the upper 90s. The high of 99 degrees set a daily record at Lansing, the second in a row following a high of 98 degrees on the 2nd.
On July 3, 1947, the temperature rose to 96 degrees in Flint, which was the record-high temperature for the day. This marked the fourth day in a row (June 30 – July 3) that record daily high temperatures were recorded in Flint!
Forecast Discussion
- Chance of Passing Showers Today Then Clearing Clouds A weak cold front passing through the area this morning, along with remnant low-level moisture and meager elevated instability, may touch off a few showers (slight chance of isolated thunderstorm). By late in the morning, the chance will shift south and east of Grand Rapids toward Jackson. Most of the clouds are likely to clear away from NW to SE this afternoon, and deeper mixing will help temperatures climb higher than they were yesterday. - Warm and Partly Sunny Independence Day In between upper-level shortwave troughs on the 4th of July, there will be a diffuse surface pressure field resulting in light winds, while temperatures climb to slightly warmer than normal. The maximum heat index should stay below 90. Skies will be partly cloudy as high clouds stream in from convection to our west and a few cumulus clouds may bubble up. Some models develop isolated showers late in the day but the chance is about 10 percent for any given spot. - Risk for a Period of Strong Storms Friday Models continue to advertise a closed 500 mb low tracking through Lower MI during the afternoon. A stronger mid level jet streak on the south side of this system pivots through the CWA enhancing the deep layer shear. Surface instability plots show the atmosphere destabilizing during the late morning into the afternoon hours. Generally the models indicate that scattered convection will develop in the late morning to early afternoon hours before shifting the action east of the CWA by mid afternoon. The deep layer shear projections support organized convection, however the instability is shown to be somewhat limited. Ensemble surface based CAPE projections are mostly under 1000 J/kg which could be a limiting factor for the amount and strength of any convection that does develop. Close monitoring will be needed as we get closer to this period. For now, we will continue to feature relatively high POP`s for the late morning into the afternoon period.
What a day and no 90’s in sight! How could that be? Rock n roll baby!
Nice brief shower at my house currently. Raining pretty hard.
Here in MBY I had 0.07” of rain yesterday with a short heavy shower. The overnight low was 69 and at the current time it is cloudy and 73.
Slim
The official H/L at Grand Rapids was 74/53 there was 0.01” of rainfall the highest wind gust was 21 MPH out of the SE. There was just 11% of sunshine. For today the average H/L remains at 83/62 the record high of 97 was set in 3 years the last time was in 1966 the record low of 43 was set in 1968. The warmest low of 76 was set in 3 years the last time was 2012. The coldest high of 63 was in 1968. The most rainfall of 2.85” fell in 1902. Last year the H/L was 87/66.
Slim