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Falling Temps Today

Somehow it just feels so wrong waking up with temps in the low 50s this morning.  This has been several days of extremes that is for sure.  All the snow is gone in Otsego with the exception of Bittersweet Ski Resort – they still have 16 runs and trails open though I don’t know for how long that will last.

Yesterday we had a high of 54° and the low was 42°.  Our temp at 05:30 am is 54°.  It will be a mild and damp start to the day today as a cold front moves in. The temperature will start to fall this afternoon as the cold front pushes east of the region. Another weak system will head our way on New Year’s Eve with a small chance for light mixed precipitation.


Grand Rapids Forecast

7-Day Forecast 42.96°N 85.67°W 12 30 grr

Kalamazoo Forecast

7-Day Forecast 42.29°N 85.64°W 12 30 kzo

Lansing Forecast

7-Day Forecast 42.75°N 84.5°W 12 30 lan

Forecast Discussion

-- Scattered Showers This morning --

Baroclinicity will dominate the pattern through next week. High
pressure off the eastern United States will be pushed eastward as
the large ridge stemming from it is moves from Eastern Canada
offshore. A deepening upper level trough will move through the
Central United States and as it overtops the ridge it will become
negatively tilted and becomes shallow. The trough will move over
lower Michigan which will shift the jet that has been driving the
pattern further north and slacken the winds aloft this morning.
As the trough does this, there is enough moisture in the mid to
low levels to allow for low clouds to remain trapped below the
upper level flow with scattered showers. There will be enough
instability to allow for ribbons of showers that you can
currently see on radar. However, according to the NAEFS anomalies
the PWATS are less then 0.75 which translates to fairly dry QPF`s.
So any rainfall will be light. A better band of PWATS will form
along the frontal boundary between the before mentioned trough
and ridge which will extend through Southern Canada and through
the Ohio river valley. However, it will only slightly clip SW
Michigan. The best rainfall will be southeast of Jackson.

-- Precipitation chances through the weekend into next week --

As the frontal pattern moves eastward, the ribbon of moisture
could be stalled, and given the cooler overnight temperatures
could allow for mixed precipitation along the I 94 corridor and
the US 127 corridors. However to the northeast it will remain
primarily dry.

Saturday night/New Years Eve: A mid level shortwave moving across
Lake Michigan could have enough moisture moving through the
transition zone to have rainshowers to the lakeshore with snow
eastward. The area of concern will be primarily at and north of
the I 96 corridor. This includes a possible north- south ribbon of
freezing rain mainly between midnight and sunrise on New Years
Day. Accumulations of freezing or frozen precipitation should be
minimal. The largest concentration of moisture will be in the
Ludington area.

-- Precipitation Monday night/Tuesday --

While we have had light showers with periods of drizzle , the best
chance for rain showers will be as a larger upper level low moves
through the central US and brings a significant moisture anomaly
through Michigan Monday nigh into Tuesday. Unfortunately for this
time of year, it will be coupled with an anomalous warm air
advection which will mean it will be rain. The Models have been
extremely consistent with this system.

-- Colder with possibility of accumulating snow next weekend --

On the backside of that low however is hope for a cool down for next
weekend with several ECE and GEFS ensemble members showing
potential for accumulating snow. At this time, any accumulations
are not expected to be significant.

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Mookie
Mookie

Have you seen today’s updated 8-14 day CPC? All I can say is another blowtorch!

Andy W
Andy W

Snow = GONE!!
Good riddance!!
Who wouldn’t want 50 degree temps in the middle of winter!
Wow to the WOW WOW!!

Mookie
Mookie

No Rocky today? Hmmm

Andy W
Andy W

Funny how he disappears when it blowtorch’s for the next month with no change in sight! Who knew?!?!?

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

I know there’s not records kept for it, but that has to be about the fastest I’ve ever seen that much snow just vanish. Even the bigger drifts are now completely gone, wiped from existence. Worthy of a WOW, just WOW!

Mookie
Mookie

We had a whopping 3 days to enjoy the snow before it got melty. Keep in mind, those 3 days were bitterly cold and windy. Hasn’t been a good winter for snow activities so far.

Slim

Barry, As you stated it was indeed one of the fastest snow melts at Grand Rapids. And no they do not keep records of such events. I have not looked at ever possible snow melt event but here are the fastest I have found. December 2022 from 17″ to a trace in 3 days. December 2008 from 17″ to 0 in 3 days. 1985 February from 17″ to a trace in 5 days. for a honorable mention December 1984 5″ to 0 in one day. I remember that one as there was that 5″ on the ground before I went… Read more »

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

A nice mild 55 degrees this morning. The only snow left in my yard is where the snowdrifts occurred and the piles where I shoveled.

Mookie
Mookie

Feels like spring. Is winter already over?

Slim

No real cold in sight so one has to wonder.
Slim

Slim

Good Morning! The official H/L for yesterday at Grand Rapids was 54/40 t is the 2nd warmest high and the 2nd warmest minimum for any December 29th at Grand Rapids. There was no rain or snow fall yesterday and there was 12% of possible sunshine. The day started with 8” of snow on the ground. The reading stayed at 54 past midnight and for today that 54 is now also the 2nd warmest for any December 30th at Grand Rapids. At the last reading at GRR the temperature was 54 with a DP of 52 for a very warm December… Read more »

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

56 here this morning. NWS GR says Holland is 67. Is that a typo??

Slim

I am not sure. The hourly reports claim that it has been in the 60’s since yesterday afternoon. It would be by far be the warmest in the whole region. It has been 57 at South Heaven for most of the night and 57 would seem to be more in line for Holland.
Slim

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

How’s your snowpack over there? Other a couple of shaded areas, all snow is gone here.

Jim in Cooper Twp., Kazoo Co.
Jim in Cooper Twp., Kazoo Co.

Someone stole most of our snow last night. They can keep it.

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

Hahaha

Slim

The snow pack here is mostly gone. Just a few areas where the snow had drifted higher and of course the snow piles and that is it.
Slim