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More Clouds, of Course

The theme and title of this post seem consistent with most of the posts for this month.  We had just 12% of possible sunshine in December and we’re at a dismal 11.3% sun for January.  Some area forecasters are once again trying to perk us up by seeing perhaps a few peaks of the sun today however I wouldn’t get my hopes up with a west/southwest wind coming off the lake.

The map below shows the current warnings and advisories for our next synoptic event.  I wouldn’t be surprised to see advisories for areas south of I96 later today even though snowfall amounts will only be in the one to two-inch range for SW Michigan.

All of the snow warnings and advisories are contained in our southern counties.


A light snow event occurred over Lower Michigan on Sunday. Most amounts ranged from 1 to 3 inches, which is more than most areas have had since the New Year.


Confidence continues to build that accumulating snow will be likely for much of Southern Lower on Wed and Wed evenings. The best chance for snow and accumulations will be along and SE of I-69. Lesser amounts can be expected NW of I-69. Snow-covered roads and low visibility will make for hazardous travel on Wed and Wed evening.


Grand Rapids Forecast

1 24 forecast grr

Lansing Forecast

1 24 lan

Kalamazoo Forecast

1 24 kzo

Forecast Discussion

- Snow Wednesday -

A low pressure system over the OH valley region by midday
Wednesday will move ne to near KBUF by late Wednesday night and
bring widespread snow to our area. A consensus blend of most of
our latest guidance continues to indicate that our fcst area will
get anywhere from around an inch or two across our northern fcst
area to around four to six inches over our se fcst area.

This seems reasonable given deep moisture and fairly strong
omegas through the dgz and close to a half an inch of qpf over our
far se fcst area. Deformation zone snow on the back side of the
system Wednesday night may linger over our southeast counties
but should be more focused east of our area.

There are a few outlier model guidance solutions such as the 00Z
3km NAM that take the low on a more northwestward track. However
the most likely outcome which continues to be supported by latest
ecmwf ensembles and the 00z deterministic ecmwf suggests that the
axis of heaviest snow will stay se of our fcst area. The ensembles
have been quite consistent in showing this for several days now.

Therefore we have decided against a winter storm watch for our far
se fcst area which is also consistent with our fcst thinking all
along. Winter wx advisories will soon be needed for this event
roughly near to south of the I-96 corridor. Will need to continue
to monitor guidance trends closely as it would not take much a
shift further nw with this system to bring the axis of heaviest
snow into our se fcst area. We expect the Wednesday late afternoon
commute to be most impacted by this event. Thx for coord on
headline/no headline decisions DTX/IWX.

- Snow showers Friday and into the weekend -

A clipper system will bring potential for more synoptic snow
Friday followed by lake effect snow showers on the back side of
the system Friday night into Saturday. Around one to four inches
of snow is expected Friday through Friday night with relatively
highest amounts in that range over our nw fcst area.

Additional snow showers are expected this weekend with the
relatively best chc for snow over our southern fcst area in closer
proximity to a quasi stationary frontal boundary which will extend
across the OH valley region by then.
newest oldest
Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Snow, snow snow!

INDY
INDY

Highs in the teens next week brrrr!! INDY

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

My phone is showing overnight lows in the single digits Sunday night then again around Feb. 2

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

What? Winter is not over! Who would have thought?

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)
Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

Nice day today. Sun is still out and has been since mid morning – sorry westsiders. The sun kicked the temp up to 39 here and in all but shaded areas, the snow is gone.

Local met just said we’re looking at approx. 4″ tomorrow here.

Slim

And here to your west there was no sun at all.
Slim

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

Broadcast from 1/24/14 (9 years ago) at 6pm. We were entering the core of one of the coldest periods from that winter. I’ve said it on here many times I’ll never forget that winter. I have a picture on my Facebook memory feed today of me and my dad helping someone push their late 90s ford Taurus out of deep snow on 16th street between 146th avenue and 108th st in Northern Allegan County. Wish I had an easy way to post the photo here. Funny part is my dad got stuck in almost this exact spot in his pickup… Read more »

Slim

So far no sun here in Grand Rapids. At the current time it is cloudy and 34 here at my house.
Slim

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

The sun is still shining. No snow left in the yard – a blank canvas for tomorrow.

*SS*
*SS*

Hey we got a little here this late afternoon. Disappearing quickly though.

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

I love it, mookie says no accumulating snow in our future and a WWA is posted and more snow this weekend and next week! Wow, to the wow!

Mookie
Mookie

A whopping few inches LOL

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Thank you GR NWS for using state of the art and 100% accurate temperature reading equipment! keep up the good work and facts are facts!

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

…WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY…

* WHAT…Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches.

* WHERE…Eaton, Ingham, Kalamazoo, Calhoun and Jackson counties.

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

.WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY…

* WHAT…Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches.

* WHERE…Kent, Ionia, Clinton, Allegan, Barry and Van Buren counties.

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

I was in GR just a short time ago and there was no sunshine at all from Kentwood all the way to the Lowell exit on 96. The sunshine breaks out right at the kent/Ionia County line.

Right now I have mostly sunny skies at my house.

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

We have virtually seen no sun the entire month of January!

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

Hey, the sun is shining on the capital city!

Slim

Good for you. No sun here yet.
Slim

Mookie
Mookie

Bright sun and blue skies here!

*SS*
*SS*

I am jealous…no sun here!!! GRAY, GRAY, GRAY!!!!

Mookie
Mookie

I have received word back regarding the discrepancy in GR temps versus the averages. I was even copied on the e-mail chain between NWS GR and NCEI which was pretty cool. Long story short, the NCEI and NOAA are blaming a recent instrument change at the local NWS GR station. NWS GR, meanwhile, stands by their temp reporting and was hoping NCEI could re-do their averages. Neither side is budging but both acknowledge an issue.

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

The pattern changes is starting to look excellent! Bring it!

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2023012406&fh=288

Mookie
Mookie

Garbage maps. This map you posted last week was only about 15″ off for GR LOL

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Garbage comment as usual!

Nathan (Forest Hills)
Nathan (Forest Hills)

Currently the second cloudiest January on record. I would happily trade the sun for some colder temps

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

The pattern change is looking great for cold and snow! Incredible!

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Looks like we have one snow system after another for the next 2 weeks! GR is already over 70 inches of snow! Wow just wow!

Mookie
Mookie

Looks like another miss for GR as the bulk of the storm slides south. No big systems in sight!

Slim

Good morning! Well it took until January 24th but for the first time this month there is more than just a trace of snow on the ground here. At this time there is a whopping 0.25” of snow on the ground in my yard. For yesterday the official H/L at Grand Rapids was 32/27 there was 0.01” of precipitation that was 0.2” of snow fall. There was once again no sunshine. The overnight low so far for today is 29 and the current temperature is 30 with cloudy skies. For today the average H/L is 30/18 the record high of… Read more »

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

Well, looks like I will have to dust off the shovel.

Fort Sill, OK is supposed to get 2-4” today. I was there for two winters and the most we received was just a dusting.