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Winter Weather Advisory – Preliminary Holiday Forecast – The Michigan Weather Center
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Winter Weather Advisory – Preliminary Holiday Forecast

First up – another winter weather advisory for the counties along the lake shore and one county in.  A burst of lake effect snow will move through the area from early this morning into this afternoon.

Plan on slippery road conditions, including during the morning commute. Snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are expected.

Mason, Lake, Oceana, Newaygo, Muskegon, Ottawa, Kent, Allegan, Barry counties are in the advisory area for SW lower Michigan.

Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, Crawford, Manistee and Wexford counties where additional snow accumulations of 1 to 4 inches are expected.

In the U.P. Keweenaw, Northern Houghton, Baraga and Southern Houghton where additional snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches are expected.

All the advisories run until 4pm this afternoon.


I added a new page the other day – NWS Forecasts – These update daily as they are linked to the various Michigan NWS sites in Detroit, Gaylord, Marquette and Grand Rapids.  I am still adjusting the page and added more data as time permits.  Below are the 2 day snow forecast maps for our four zones  (these can also be found on the new page).  These will also auto update if you want to refer back to them (click to enlarge the images).

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Looking ahead to the Christmas holiday I have embedded the CPC outlook maps below for that period. They show chances of below normal temperatures and above normal snowfall.

Here is a good time to post the differences between an outlook and a forecast.  Unlike traditional weather forecasts, which consist of weather maps that predict exactly how much rain or snow may fall or the daily maximum temperature of an area, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center outlooks offer users forecasts of future weather conditions relative to what’s normal for their region. 

Climate models are not predicting day to day weather systems. Instead, they are predicting climate averages especially when it comes to long range forecasts.  The further out the models run the accuracy can become less exact so we have to take them with a grain of salt.


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The GFS models on the forecast page are trying to show warming temperatures above freezing after this week with chances of both rain and snow – a sloppy mess up until the week of Christmas then the Arctic airmass breaks off once again the week of Christmas through the New Year holidays.  Normal temperatures are just above freezing for this time of year so we may see a mixed bag as storm systems roll through the state.


 

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Jack Edwards
Jack Edwards

HEAR is Some Classic OLD BILL COSBY….With Some Grins For You All.On This SNOWY FRYday Nite…..Snow Globe outside My Window RightNow @ Thee YARDofCUES …Keep IT….HEAR.

Idiot Mittens.wmv/ kindergarten – YouTube
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c_sDDQNJZRQ

Jack Edwards
Jack Edwards

Oh Holy Night with lyrics – YouTube
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NCgs7AeSRdU
Enjoy….
Merry CHRISTmas,,,,

Jack Edwards
Jack Edwards

Got Picked Up a Old Rocking Chair…..Loving IT.
And As I Rock Away…..This Classic Song RAN Through My Brain…..
BTW….Thee Artist Is NO Relation To ME ( heheeeeee)…..Used To Say That all The Time Whenever I Played HIM back In My Radio DAZE…as Yours Truly JACK”EDWARDS’
Rockin’ Chair (Gonna Get You) – YouTube
▶ 3:28
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vCnm6lISXjc
Enjoy …..and Stay Tuned or Cued….On This HEAR FRYday NITE!!!

ROCKY (Rockford)
ROCKY (Rockford)

Hello SNOW country and a slight shift to the South – watch out GR!

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/hazards_d3_7_contours.png

ROCKY (Rockford)
ROCKY (Rockford)

>>>>BREAKING WEATHER NEWS>>>>A big SNOWSTORM is brewing by the end of next week! I say bring it it on and just in time for Christmas!

Jack Edwardsc
Jack Edwardsc

BREW……Ha…Ha……
Indy Calls That ” SPRITEING”……..

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

We have just shy of 10″ on the ground and it’s still snowing. Funny thing is that my in-laws live near Battle Creek, and their ground is not covered.

Jack Edwards
Jack Edwards

Pin Point Allendale Forecast…Home of Thee YARDofCUES…
Tonight 12/15 70% / 1.2 in
Snow showers early will become steadier snow overnight. Low 22F. NW winds shifting to ENE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 70%. Snow accumulating 1 to 3 inches.

ROCKY (Rockford)
ROCKY (Rockford)

Sounds AWESOME!

Jack Edwards
Jack Edwards

HURRY…SPRING…..2018. LOL….

Jack Edwards
Jack Edwards

Just a Favorite Song of Mine…..

Glen Campbell, Willie Nelson – Funny (How Time Slips Away) (Audio) – YouTube
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j5KtCUHnAFw

Jack Edwards
Jack Edwards

ATTN !!!! Sandy. Hear is My Youngest Daughter…..FIRST Original SONG. She Recorded in Georgia Last Year…..ENJOY…& God Bless..
The Name of God | Lindsey Rose – YouTube
▶ 3:40
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5dzfbh2b8p8

Sandy (Hudsonville)
Sandy (Hudsonville)

BEAUTIFUL!!! Thank-you for sharing this with me. Merry Christmas to you & your family.

Jack Edwards
Jack Edwards

To GOD Be The GLORY!!!!

Jack Edwards
Jack Edwards

Well, Well My Little Weather & Eskimo HOBO’S……hApPy FRYday…
& CUE -.
Manfred Mann – Mighty Quinn – [STEREO version] – YouTube
▶ 2:48
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sam3iET9z2g

ROCKY (Rockford)
ROCKY (Rockford)

The snow just keeps coming!! I am up to 12 inches of snow cover in my yard!!!! It looks like the long range snow models from a week and halk ago were right! These are the same maps that many people on here say are “NEVER correct”! Never say never baby! ROCK n ROLL will never die!

INDY
INDY

Snowing very hard out at thee YARDofBRICKS over 4 inches from this supposedly little Clipper system I’m thinking lk effect is getting the best of this one today who would if thought .. Thank you INDYDOG

ROCKY (Rockford)
ROCKY (Rockford)

I would have thought!

Slim

It now looks like the CFS is also on board for a big warm up starting in January. First look at how cold the week of Dec 29 to Jan 4th are then how warm the week of Jan 5 to the 11th are

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/mchen/CFSv2FCST/weekly/images/wk3.wk4_latest.NAsfcT.gif
That looks like a warm January thaw (and more?)
Slim

INDY
INDY

Snow it to believe it .. To far out .. thank you INDYDOG

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

Wow, talk about extreme! I thought it was crazy going to the beach at the end of September early October this year, but could we be going to the beach this coming January??

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

Who would have thought?

ROCKY (Rockford)
ROCKY (Rockford)

That map very well may result in multiple snowstorms! The average mean temperature that time if year is 25 degrees so a few days of 2 degrees above normal could mean a MONSTER SNOWSTORM is brewing! I love it!

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

Got about an inch of big fluffy flakes here. Not much wind. Very pretty out

Slim

Still getting moderate to at times heavy snow here but it is not like it was for the half hour very heavy snow squall that came thru here. But it is now time for. Climatology for today December 15th At Grand Rapids, MI The average H/L for today is 35/24° The record high is 60° set in 1971 the record coldest maximum is 10° in 1901 The record low is -7° set in 1917 the warmest minimum is 44 set in 2014 The most precip is 2.25” set in 1883 in more modern times it is 1.99” in 1971 The… Read more »

Sandy (Hudsonville)
Sandy (Hudsonville)

It has been snowing heavily here this morning. Looks like a snow globe. Everyone have a great day & be careful on the roads they are looking a little slick.

Slim

There has been talk that this winter will not be like last winter. Well the latest European Monthlies came out last night and guess what? “who would have thought” they (the European) show a massive across the US warm up starting the second week of January. So maybe this winter might be similar to last winter cold and snow in December and mild in January. Also there looks to be a December thaw coming between now and Christmas.
Sim

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

Imagine that!

ROCKY (Rockford)
ROCKY (Rockford)

There is a ZERO percent chance this winter will be like last winter! We will be getting absolutely hammered with SNOW!

Slim

As of yesterday Grand Rapids departure from average is -1.2° and so far this month( before todays snow) there has been 11.6” of snow fall. The official depth at the airport yesterday at 7 AM was 6” Here at my house (with the snow today included) 8.7”
Slim

INDY
INDY

Snowing very hard out at thee YARDofBRICKS who would of thought .. Thank you INDYDOG!

Slim

yes very heavy fluffy lake effect snow is now falling
Slim

Sandy (Hudsonville)
Sandy (Hudsonville)

Here too.

ROCKY (Rockford)
ROCKY (Rockford)

I see that we have another perfect winter day outside! Skiing here I come! INCREDIBLE!

Sandy (Hudsonville)
Sandy (Hudsonville)

Have a great time!

ROCKY (Rockford)
ROCKY (Rockford)

Thank you and I will be heading over to Muskegon Winter Sports Park tomorrow for some X country skiing!

INDY
INDY

Good morning blogger’s it’s snowing again who would of thought that makes it with 6 days straight now with snow falling out at thee YARDofBRICKS we call this snowy pattern folks looks like a shivering Timbers coming the week of Christmas that would mean more snow .. get out enjoy winters best right here in good old west Michigan! Thank you INDYDOG!!