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Scattered Showers Today

Today will be much the same as yesterday with cloudy skies and scattered showers with a few snowflakes mixed in, especially tonight.  Tomorrow will see much the same with clearing sometime Friday afternoon.  Wisconsin has been on the colder side of the meandering low pressure system receiving 8 to 12 inches of snow.

NWS Forecast

A chance of rain showers before 8 am, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 8am and 2 pm, then a chance of rain showers after 2 pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. Breezy, with a south wind of 16 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. The chance of precipitation is 40%.
Rain showers are likely before 5 am, and then rain and snow showers are likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 33. East southeast wind 6 to 9 mph becoming north-northeast after midnight. The chance of precipitation is 70%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Rain and snow showers are likely, becoming all rain after 11 am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 45. North wind 8 to 13 mph. The chance of precipitation is 70%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Thursday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly before 9 pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low of around 30. North northeast wind 7 to 13 mph.
A slight chance of rain and snow showers before noon, then a slight chance of rain showers between noon and 3 pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 46. North wind 8 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. The chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low of around 29.
Mostly sunny, with a high near 51.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low of around 31.
Mostly sunny, with a high near 56.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers after 9 pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 41.
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 62.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low of around 43.
Mostly sunny, with a high near 63.

Weather History

1956: Eighteen people are killed and over 300 injured as four powerful tornadoes strike western Lower Michigan. Hudsonville and the northwest suburbs of Grand Rapids are the hardest hit areas with 17 fatalities as homes and businesses were completely swept away by an F5 tornado.

1974: The worst tornado outbreak in United States history strikes from Illinois to Alabama, with 148 tornadoes killing over 300 people. In Michigan, a tornado kills two people as it tracks across Hillsdale and Jackson Counties.

On April 3, 1974, an F2 at 7:30 PM and an F3 at 8:56 PM moved through Monroe County. These tornadoes were part of the Super Outbreak that caused over 300 deaths, 5500 injuries, and $600 million in damage in 13 states and Ontario, Canada. The Super Outbreak was the worst tornado outbreak in U.S. history.

1964: KAUZ in Wichita Falls, Texas broadcast the first live television pictures of an F5 tornado moving through the city. Seven people were killed, 111 injured and 225 homes were destroyed during the twisters 5 to a 6-mile path. Extensive damage was done at Sheppard Air Force Base where three tanker planes, a hanger, the power plant, and the chapel were all destroyed. Damage estimates exceeded $15 million. Click HERE to see the broadcast from KAUZ.

1974: A “Super-Outbreak” of tornadoes ravaged the Midwest and the eastern U.S. Severe weather erupted early in the afternoon and continued through the next day. Severe thunderstorms spawned 148 tornadoes from Alabama to Michigan, most of which occurred between 1 PM (CST) on the 3rd and 1 AM on the 4th. The tornadoes killed 315 persons, injured 5300 others, and caused 600 million dollars damage. Alabama, Kentucky, and Ohio were especially hard hit in the tornado outbreak. One tornado destroyed half of the town of Xenia, Ohio killing 34 persons. Another tornado, near the city of Stamping Ground, Kentucky produced a path of destruction a record five miles in width. A tornado raced through Guin, Alabama at a speed of 75 mph. Two powerful tornadoes roared across northern Alabama during the early evening hours, killing fifty persons and injuring 500 others. Some rescue vehicles responding to the first tornado were struck by the second.

1987: An extensive, slow-moving low-pressure system produced very heavy snows over the Appalachian Region lasting through April 5th. 60 inches fell at Newfound Gap in western North Carolina, the most substantial single storm snowfall in the state’s history. Up to 36 inches was reported in southeastern Kentucky. The total of 25 inches at Charleston, WV easily surpassed its previous record for the entire month of April of 5.9 inches. The 20.6-inch total at Akron, OH established an all-time record for that location. Snow closed Interstate 40 for the first time since it was opened in 1967. Lightning and thunder accompanied the snow in some areas while a trace fell as far south as Mobile. The snow was the first snow ever reported in April in Mobile since records began in 1872. The storm became known unofficially as the “Dogwood Snowstorm” as many trees had fully bloomed.

More information on the 1974 super outbreak can be found here

Forecast Discussion

- Light rain and light snow showers through Thursday

An upper level low over our region will result in extensive cloud
cover along with scattered light rain showers today through
tonight. Thermal profiles will cool sufficiently enough for pcpn
to become mixed with or change over to light snow showers mainly
for tonight into Thursday.

However very little to no snow accumulation is expected along
with minor impacts at best. The relatively best chance for a few
tenths of an inch of snow will come tonight into Thursday over
relatively higher terrain of our far nne fcst area. Northerly
winds will ramp up a bit Thursday afternoon on the back side of
the departing sfc low pressure system.

- Mainly dry with moderating temperatures Friday through Sunday

Precipitation with the upper low that is overhead now looks to come
to an end Thursday night into Friday morning. The center of the
upper low will be well east of the area by this time and the GFS and
ECWMF are showing very little in the way of precipitation. Something
to watch is a shortwave in both models that will be pivoting south
through the area Thursday night and Friday. It may come through dry
as moisture depth is rather shallow.

Conditions improve for the weekend as a ridge of high pressure moves
through the region both at the surface and aloft. Moisture is
limited and we look to be dry. A slow moderation in 850mb
temperatures occurs during this time frame from -6C on Friday to +1C
on Sunday. This will result in daytime highs rising from the 40s on
Friday to the 50s on Sunday. Temperatures will be warming back
towards normal after several cool days.

- Still some model uncertainty for early next week

Model uncertainty still exists somewhat in the Monday and Tuesday
time frame which has quite a bit of interest given Monday`s eclipse.
Tonight`s model runs are converging on the upper low pivoting a bit
more into the upper midwest and northern plains off to our west vs
driving right into the Great Lakes. We look to get a warm frontal
feature move into our area later Sunday and into Sunday night. We
have small pops in the forecast for rain showers from Sunday evening
into Monday morning on the order of 20-50 percent. A plains low
develops towards mid next week with precipitation possibilities
increasing during that time frame. Temperatures warm into the 60s
Monday and Tuesday which will be above normal.

As for the eclipse itself prospects do not look to be a washout at
this point by any means. ECMWF cloud cover progs have been showing a
steady trend towards less and less cloud cover in the path or
totality in Indiana. Central Indiana cloud cover in the ECWMF Ens is
now less than 30 percent Monday afternoon. The GFS has more in the
way of cloud cover around 60 percent. The trends have been in the
right direction though (less clouds). For many driving south this
will be a game time decision the night before or the morning of and
right now our thoughts would be to continue to monitor day by day.
The current trend is optimistic.
newest oldest
Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Another great Spring day! Cold, wind, showers and winter temp wind chills! Very cold start to April! Either bring on a snowstorm or sun and temps in the 60’s!

Andy W
Andy W

I just had a mix of rain/sleet/freezing rain fall in my area. Just a gross day today.


Starting Saturday: 55-65 everyday and lots of sun!

Andy W
Andy W

Looks outstanding!!


I always say we have some of the best weather in the country mid April to mid October.

Andy W
Andy W

You’re right about that Mookie!

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

If you have time, check out the KAUZ broadcast link above. It’s pretty cool. Things have changed a lot in the past 60 years, no doubt.


Things were a lot different back then for sure.


The overnight low and current temperature here in MBY is 35 with a light mist falling. I had a total of 0.34” of rainfall yesterday and overnight.


The official H/L yesterday was 47/37 there was 0.32” of rainfall. The highest reported wind gust was 35 MPH out of the SW there was no sunshine. For today the average H/L is 52/33 the record high of 80 was set in 1999 the record low of 10 was set in 1965 the most rainfall of 1.16” fell in 2007. The most snowfall of 6.0” fell in 1926 the most on the ground was 10” in 1975. Last year the H/L was 58/44 and there was 0.37” of rain.

Andy W
Andy W

I keep looking at that forecast for Ishpeming in the UP. That is more than a monster of a storm there, that is like a Godzilla storm!! I mean 3 feet of snow in April is pretty shocking!



Not sure how much will acclimate but with the temperatures in the low 30’s that snow should be on the wet and heavy side. I think Rocky should take the day off from work and take a trip up there and help people clear there driveways.

Andy W
Andy W

Haha!!! I agree Slim!
If I was as obsessively infatuated with snow as Rocky is, I would have taken a PTO day and drove my way up to Ishpeming!

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

I wish I was there! Too busy this week to make the trip! It looks crazy!