We have a cold 26° this morning at 6 am in Otsego. We will continue with sunshine and above-normal temperatures in the 50s in the area. Highs in the 50s to low 60s are expected with overnight lows tonight in the mid-20s to mid-30s increasing into the 30s and 40s for Tuesday and Wednesday night. Chances for rain will return Thursday night into Friday.
SW Michigan Weather History
1908: Heavy snow falls across western Lower Michigan with a total of 16 inches at Muskegon, a record total for any November day.
SE Michigan Weather History
On November 14, 1986, the mercury fell to a record low in Flint of 12 degrees for two days in a row (the 13th and 14th).
U.S.A and Global Events for November 14th:
1921: During the afternoon hours, thunderstorms brought severe hail to portions of Alabama. The hailstones ranged from about the size of buckshot to as large as a baseball. The largest stoned weighed as much as a pound.
1969: Apollo 12 was launched into a threatening gray sky with ominous cumulus clouds. Pete Conrad’s words 43 seconds after liftoff, electrified everyone in the Control Center: “We had a whole bunch of buses drop out,” followed by “Where are we going?” and “I just lost the platform.” Lightning had stricken the spacecraft. Warning lights were illuminated, and the spacecraft guidance system lost its attitude reference.
The lightning bolt that struck Apollo 12 aloft also hit the crane and platform of the mobile launcher… Click HERE for more information.
High pressure centered over the Ohio river valley this morning is keeping conditions tranquil. Winds from the south will increase during the day as the pressure gradient increases on the northwest side of this high, though winds will not gust as much as Monday. A layer of very dry air will be in place just above the PBL today, so the only clouds will be cirrus which are streaming in from the Intermountain West and Northern Plains, on the equatorward side of the upper-level polar jet stream. Relative humidity during the day will dip into the 40s to mid-30s percent. Wednesday is likely to be mostly sunny with a southwest breeze as a weak upper-level shortwave trough passes through dry. Nudged up the high temperatures for Tue and Wed a degree above the NBM. There is good model continuity and consensus on the timing of the showers Thursday night into Friday associated with a trailing cold front as low pressure tracks east across SE canada. This is well represented in the NBM POPs which peak late Thursday night and move east of the forecast area Friday afternoon. There is a potential target of opportunity for some light lake effect snow showers on Saturday night in cyclonic flow with the GFS trending in that direction. Model soundings show deeper moisture layer than yesterday with inversion heights around 7500 feet. The current forecast is dry and the ECMWF shows a less favorable environment, so no changes will be made at this point to add POPs. A Pacific shortwave trough cuts off over the central CONUS early next week with a sfc cyclone taking shape across the Plains. The ECMWF, which had been taking a strong low into the western Great Lakes has now trended towards the GFS with a weaker low and a track further south. High chance POPs for early next week look good.