The Wolverines are undefeated and the Lions are actually winning this year. Remember when we would dis the Lions year after year? Goes to show what good players and coaching can do along with tenacity and fortitude. ‘Nuff said…
Our quiet weather pattern will continue this week with the next chance of rain on Thursday into Friday as low pressure moves north of the Great Lakes. Temperatures will be in the 50s until we get into the weekend. Yesterday’s high was 54° and the morning’s low was 30°.
Forecast
SW Michigan Weather History
November 13
1986: High temperatures are held in the upper teens to lower 20s as arctic air pours into Lower Michigan. The high of 19 degrees at Grand Rapids is a record for the date and the coldest high temperature for so early in the season.
SE Michigan Weather History
On November 13, 1920, Wayne County (Northwest Detroit area) received 4-inch diameter hail around 7:20 pm which is one of the largest, if not the largest, ever recorded in Detroit.
U.S.A and Global Events for November 13th:
1833: In 1833, observers were familiar with the Leonid meteor shower, but the event that year was very intense and led to the first formulation of a theory on the origin of meteors. By some estimates, the 1833 Leonid meteor shower had 240,000 meteors in a nine-hour period. More information on this event, as well as others, can be found HERE.
1946: General Electric scientists produced snow in the Massachusetts Berkshires in the first modern-day cloud seeding experiment. Scientist Vincent Schaefer dropped six pounds of dry ice pellets into a cloud over Pittsfield, MA. The cloud seeding experiment produced snowfall, as a 4-mile-long cloud was converted into snow flurries. The success of the experiment became the basis of many weather modification projects.
Forecast Discussion
A mostly dry and mild week is underway as a split upper level jet over the central CONUS with ridging over the Midwest today keeps seasonably warm air in place. Temperatures will be several degrees above normal today with lots of sunshine. The troposphere will be rather dry, PWAT near 0.25 inches, which is about 10th percentile in the DTX sounding history for this time of year. Unfortunately the winds from the west will be gusting around 25 mph during the day. Temperatures may dip below freezing tonight in the typically cooler spots away from Lake Michigan. Tuesday will be mostly sunny except for some cirrus clouds streaming in from the northwest. Light south winds are expected, though breezier along the Lake Michigan shoreline. No real targets of opportunity noted in the long term as the forecast now reflects the model trend from yesterday of a quicker movement of a shortwave trough and its associated sfc cyclone across SE Canada. The effect on sensible weather is that the rain showers along the trailing cold front exit the forecast area Friday afternoon with dry weather to follow into the weekend. Despite cyclonic flow, moisture is too shallow for lake effect showers. There is a strong signal for amplification of upper troughing over the central CONUS early next week with a sfc cyclone affecting Lower Michigan at some point but details are rather nebulous at this point given wide ensemble spread on the details.
Latest on the state of El Nino
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf
Slim
I have yet to find the official NWS update but it looks like there will be a sort of standardized. But as I stated I have yet to confirm this update.
https://wcrz.com/national-weather-services-sets-new-criteria-for-calling-winter-storm-warnings/#:~:text=Michigan%20Will%20Use%20Three%20Different%20Snowfall%20Thresholds&text=If%20the%20forecast%20calls%20for,trigger%20a%20Winter%20Storm%20Warning.
Slim
It would make sense to revamp the criteria. The past few years it’s been getting ridiculous when we get 1 inch of snow and they’re throwing out warnings and advisories left and right. 1 inch might be a “storm” down South, but surely not here. We’ve had very few notable snow “storms” over the past several years.
It looks like it will be an experimental criteria. Will see how it works out. But yes it will break down the true “storms” from more just snow events that is for sure. I think there will be some kind of snow amount in so many hours. Not sure how they will handle ice storms and very low visibility events.
Slim
One or two inches of snow with wind and low visibility and icy roads is definitely WWA worthy! Who knew?
I vote adding a traveler advisory for minor accumulations that cause slippery roads. A WWA is super broad… could be ice, half foot of snow, etc
I second that. Bring back the Traveler’s Advisory!
Yup, I agree to. It would cut down on the panic and fear of getting 1.3 inches of snow.
Enjoy the sun because once winter hits we will be seeing day after day with clouds and multiple snowstorms! Wow!
Can’t ask for much nicer weather in November.
It certainly is fun being a Lions fan. It would be a crime if MCDC doesn’t win Coach of the Year.
And Go Blue!
Yes the Lions offense is very good, but the defense is very suspect! No pass rush and giving up touchdown after touchdown! The offense is playoff ready, but unless the defense gets better, they have no shot in the playoffs! Reality baby!
In YPG, the Lions have the #9 defense in the NFL. Their offense is #2. They are a great team this year.
Good spin for an a very questionable defense! The offense has saved the D’s butt many times this year! The Lions have no hope in the playoffs unless the defense starts to figure it out! Facts are facts!
I’m not one for making predictions. All I know is what has happened to date. They
beat the defending SB champs on the road and they have the second best record in the NFL.
They are not a great team, however they have a fun offense to watch and may actually make the playoffs, but then will get crushed!
A warm and sunny November? I love it!
There seems to be some indication of a new standardized criteria for winter storm warnings if it is true there will be less times of a “winter storm warning” in much of the US in west Michigan it would take a storm total of 7 to 8″ for a “Winter Storm Warning” as stated I yet to confirm this change.
Slim
It has mostly been confirmed but still no details from the local NWS yet.
Slim
Wow, that hail in Detroit in 1920 was something else. With all the sunshine in the forecast that is rather rare here in west Michigan in November.
Slim
The official H/L yesterday was 53/33. There was no rain or snow fall. The sun was out 53% of the possible time. The highest wind gust was 24 MPH out of the S. For today the average H/L is 48/34 the record high of 70 was set in 1989 and the record low of 10 was set in 1986. The wettest was 1.79” in 1951 the most snow fall was 3.2” in 1959 the most on the ground was 3” in 2019,1995 and 1959. Last year the H/L was 37-30 there was 0.4” of snow fall and there was a… Read more »