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Clouds Clearing Out

Decreasing clouds are forecasted for Sunday afternoon. Highs today will be in the upper 40s to lower 50s. It will be breezy, especially near Lake Michigan.


Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 51. South wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Mostly clear, with a low of around 40. South wind 10 to 14 mph.
Sunny, with a high near 55. West northwest wind 7 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low of around 32. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light northwest after midnight.
Sunny, with a high near 55. Light south-southwest wind becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low of around 39.
Mostly sunny, with a high near 57.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers after 8 pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 46.
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Breezy.
Friday Night
A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low of around 37.
Mostly sunny, with a high near 49.

SW Michigan Weather History

1873: Winter arrives early with 5 inches of snow at Lansing, followed by a string of record lows in the single digits, including a 1-degree reading on the morning of the 13th.

SE Michigan Weather History

On November 12, 2003, a cold front ahead of a rapidly deepening low-pressure system tracked across the area late in the evening on the 12th. Temperatures soared into the lower 60s during the afternoon hours. A line of showers and thunderstorms ahead of the cold front produced widespread 60 mph winds or greater, along with one tornado, rated F1, just west of Akron in Tuscola County.
This same strong low-pressure system then moved across the straits on the evening of the 12th, moving into Ontario overnight as it deepened. The storm produced wind gusts between 50 and 60 MPH across all of Southeast Michigan. In addition, there were even a few wind gusts reported between 60 and 88 mph. The highest wind gust was reported by a spotter in Dexter who recorded an 88 mph gust. An estimated 250,000 customers lost power in southeast Michigan, as widespread trees and power lines were blown down at a cost of about 21 million dollars in damage.

Also on November 12, 1911, a 24-hour temperature range of 49 degrees was recorded. The temperature at midnight was 65 degrees, at 6 am was 30 degrees, at noon was 20 degrees, and fell to a low of 16 degrees at 11 pm.

U.S.A and Global Events for November 12th:

1970: The deadliest tropical cyclone ever recorded, and one of the deadliest natural disasters in modern times occurred on this day in East Pakistan, now Bangladesh. The Bhola Cyclone first formed over the Bay of Bengal on November 8 and traveled north. This cyclone reached peak intensity, Category 3, on the 11, and made landfall on the coast of East Pakistan the following afternoon. The Bhola Cyclone killed an estimated 500,000 people and caused nearly $90 million in damage (1970 USD).

Forecast Discussion

-- Dry and Becoming a Little Warmer --

Virga is occurring early this morning with clouds and lift around
700 mb / 10,000 feet and dry air beneath. Much of what is seen on
radar is not reaching the ground. There has been a trend in the
short term guidance for fewer clouds this afternoon in southern
Michigan, and if not for the daytime breeze it would probably feel
pretty mild for November as temperatures return to near or
slightly above normal. Another wave of virga is expected over
central Michigan this evening with the mid-level trough passing
through. None of the 00Z HREF members are producing measurable QPF
in our area.

Another breezy day on Monday but a little warmer with highs
climbing into the mid 50s. Upper level ridging and surface high
pressure will be advancing toward the region. High confidence in
it being a sunny day. PWATs in the guidance around 0.25 inches
indicate a dry atmosphere, about 10th percentile for PWAT this
time of year per the DTX sounding climatology.

Quiet weather pattern for the week with only one target of
opportunity identified, which is the timing of precip Thursday
night into Friday. Model trends are for a quicker movement of a
shortwave trough and its associated sfc cyclone across SE Canada.
This results in rain showers along the trailing cold front exiting
the forecast area Friday afternoon. So POPs were lowered for
Friday night and could be dropped if this trend continues.

The 00Z GFS has more of a cold push behind the front with 850 mb
temps falling to minus 6C on Saturday. Forecast soundings show
that moisture is shallow though with inversion heights around 5
kft. So slight chance POPs look good in the cyclonic flow next
newest oldest
Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

I love warm November’s = warmer Lake Mi temp = more lake effect snow in Dec and January! It could be wild!

Nathan (Forest Hills)
Nathan (Forest Hills)

Good news is the next week looks very sunny by November standards. Which is well appreciated


Yes, can get through Christmas lights out in nice weather. Lol


The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 50/29 there was no rain or snow. The sun was out 47% of the possible time. It was not a very windy day with the highest wind of 12 MPH out of the SE. For today the average H/L is 49/34 the record high of 68 was set in 1992 today is the first day in the season that has not gotten to 70. The record low of 15 was set in 1911 and 1986. The most rain fall of 0.89” fell in 1992 the most snow fall of 3.6” fell in… Read more »