Decreasing clouds are forecasted for Sunday afternoon. Highs today will be in the upper 40s to lower 50s. It will be breezy, especially near Lake Michigan.
SW Michigan Weather History
1873: Winter arrives early with 5 inches of snow at Lansing, followed by a string of record lows in the single digits, including a 1-degree reading on the morning of the 13th.
SE Michigan Weather History
On November 12, 2003, a cold front ahead of a rapidly deepening low-pressure system tracked across the area late in the evening on the 12th. Temperatures soared into the lower 60s during the afternoon hours. A line of showers and thunderstorms ahead of the cold front produced widespread 60 mph winds or greater, along with one tornado, rated F1, just west of Akron in Tuscola County.
This same strong low-pressure system then moved across the straits on the evening of the 12th, moving into Ontario overnight as it deepened. The storm produced wind gusts between 50 and 60 MPH across all of Southeast Michigan. In addition, there were even a few wind gusts reported between 60 and 88 mph. The highest wind gust was reported by a spotter in Dexter who recorded an 88 mph gust. An estimated 250,000 customers lost power in southeast Michigan, as widespread trees and power lines were blown down at a cost of about 21 million dollars in damage.
Also on November 12, 1911, a 24-hour temperature range of 49 degrees was recorded. The temperature at midnight was 65 degrees, at 6 am was 30 degrees, at noon was 20 degrees, and fell to a low of 16 degrees at 11 pm.
U.S.A and Global Events for November 12th:
1970: The deadliest tropical cyclone ever recorded, and one of the deadliest natural disasters in modern times occurred on this day in East Pakistan, now Bangladesh. The Bhola Cyclone first formed over the Bay of Bengal on November 8 and traveled north. This cyclone reached peak intensity, Category 3, on the 11, and made landfall on the coast of East Pakistan the following afternoon. The Bhola Cyclone killed an estimated 500,000 people and caused nearly $90 million in damage (1970 USD).
-- Dry and Becoming a Little Warmer -- Virga is occurring early this morning with clouds and lift around 700 mb / 10,000 feet and dry air beneath. Much of what is seen on radar is not reaching the ground. There has been a trend in the short term guidance for fewer clouds this afternoon in southern Michigan, and if not for the daytime breeze it would probably feel pretty mild for November as temperatures return to near or slightly above normal. Another wave of virga is expected over central Michigan this evening with the mid-level trough passing through. None of the 00Z HREF members are producing measurable QPF in our area. Another breezy day on Monday but a little warmer with highs climbing into the mid 50s. Upper level ridging and surface high pressure will be advancing toward the region. High confidence in it being a sunny day. PWATs in the guidance around 0.25 inches indicate a dry atmosphere, about 10th percentile for PWAT this time of year per the DTX sounding climatology. Quiet weather pattern for the week with only one target of opportunity identified, which is the timing of precip Thursday night into Friday. Model trends are for a quicker movement of a shortwave trough and its associated sfc cyclone across SE Canada. This results in rain showers along the trailing cold front exiting the forecast area Friday afternoon. So POPs were lowered for Friday night and could be dropped if this trend continues. The 00Z GFS has more of a cold push behind the front with 850 mb temps falling to minus 6C on Saturday. Forecast soundings show that moisture is shallow though with inversion heights around 5 kft. So slight chance POPs look good in the cyclonic flow next weekend.