Looking at the various winter forecasts I am seeing the usual wide range of guesses – as the cold air settles in the anticipation builds whether pro or con for a snowy cold winter.
We currently have a ‘blob’ of unusually warm water in the Gulf of Alaska which has had an effect on our weather in the Great Lakes region. This causes the jet stream to bow unusually-far north around this area of warm water. This would cause a dip in the jet stream and resulting intrusions of cold Arctic air into the middle and eastern U.S.
This wavy jet stream also reduces California and West Coast precipitation.
It is not a given that this ‘blob’ will stay in place through the winter – just another thing to look at in the wide array of possibilities when trying to guess at a long range forecast.
The CPC continues to show the probability of below normal temps for most of the month, normal being in the mid to upper 40s for daytime highs with lows just below freezing for the first week of November.
I love the seasons which is the main reason I have continued to live in the Great Lakes – I can’t see myself going south in the winter even though I am retired.
We have chances of rain and snow showers or a mix dependent on where you live through the rest of the week into next week when the coldest air of the season arrives. Still to early to predict where lake effect snow will fall which depends on which way the wind blows.
Currently we have a winter weather advisory for Leelanau, Antrim, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, Manistee, Wexford, Missaukee and Charlevoix counties through 5am tomorrow morning.
Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches expected across much of the area. Locally higher amounts to as much as a foot are possible.
Are we heading for record cold temps next week? Who would have thought? The pattern just keeps rocking and no change in sight!
24* degrees out at thee YARDofBRICKS NE of GR how low will it go tonight….We are lucky living on this side of lk Michigan never even made 30* degrees in Wisconsin lk Michigan warms us up for the time being..INDY
24 also here at my house at this time with a DP of 15. Clear skies here but a cloud deck to my SW
Slim
Wow what a fall so Far! Bring on winter!
Amazing cold outside 30* degrees currently this month has to be running 10 to 15 degrees maybe more below average 50’s are a thing of the past now….The wind makes it even colder outside dress warm going outside don’t let the sun fool you …INDY
Interesting looking at the blog entries and posts from exactly a year ago, and they are almost exactly the same this year. Snow, advisories, and promises of nonstop snow for months. Even the CPC maps are close to the same as they currently are today. All bodes well for a mild December! Here’s last years entry:
https://michigan-weather-center.org/weekly-winter-forecast-update-winter-weather-advisory
Winter weather advisories just gone up for Newaygo Mason and Lake counties to the north for additional 2 to 4 inches of snow lake effect snow is kicking in Wong West Michigan be take it slow on the roads …INDY
Euro MODEL is hitting on a possibility of a snow storm Monday the GFS has not cought on yet this one berrrrs watching over the next couple of days …MV ROCKY and Slim IWS will keep you posted…One thing for sure the artic air will be knocking on our door by then yes artic air in November shuuu …Have a super Thursday INDY
Here are some snow fall totals from yesterday and last night. Cloverville 6.4″. Muskegon at the airport 6.2” Mt Pleasant 6.0” Howard City 5.0” Houghton Lake 3.3” Grattan 2.0” Comstock Park 1.5” here at my house 1” GRR .7”
Slim
1.3 out at thee YARDofBRICKS round that up to 1.5 inches of snow not bad at my house, my Parents in Lakeview Michigan received about 5 inches of snow and 6 inches in Mount pleasant nice clipper system yesterday for early November.. standards the snow was beautiful falling last night INDY
Good morning! The ground is covered with snow for the first time this winter season here. I have just under one inch of snow on the ground. With partly cloudy skies the current temperature here at my house is 24° and that is the overnight low. Officially at GRR the low looks to be 27° Yesterday the H/L at Grand Rapids was 36/25 That high of 36 was the coldest maximum since 1967 when the high was only 32. For today the average H/L at Grand Rapids is 52/36 the record high is 69 in 1916 and the record low… Read more »
Here is a capture from my north facing webcam this morning – the squirrels and birds are at the feeders everyday – it is important to keep them fed to help them survive through the winter.
A whopping 0.1″ of snow so far this November. Incredible!
That was yesterday. Today the ground is covered with snow north of Grand Rapids but maybe not in the far SE side.
Slim
We probably got almost 2 inches of snow on the ground this morning out at thee YARDofBRICKS NE of GR … Remember average highs in the 50’s we normally don’t get a lot of snow we will take what we can get late into Fall …Love It …26* degrees outside ..INDY