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Another Cloudy Day

Mostly cloudy skies are expected today with some sunshine possible Thanksgiving as high pressure settles over the state. Highs in the mid-40s are expected today and Thursday.

Yesterday’s high was 44° and the morning low was 36°.  We had .56 of an inch of rain which brings us to 1.99 inches for the month and 11.75 inches since September 1st.


Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44. North northwest wind 10 to 13 mph.
Partly cloudy, with a low of around 32. Southwest wind 7 to 10 mph.
Thanksgiving Day
Mostly sunny, with a high near 47. Southwest wind 9 to 11 mph becoming north-northwest in the afternoon.
Thursday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. North wind 6 to 10 mph.
Mostly sunny, with a high near 35. North wind 6 to 10 mph.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low of around 20.
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36.
Saturday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23.
A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36.
Sunday Night
A chance of snow showers before 1 am. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 27.
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 34.
Monday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24.
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35.

Weather History for Southwest Michigan

1866: Seven inches of snow piles up in Lansing as temperatures plunge to the single digits.

1963: President John Kennedy is assassinated in Dallas, Texas. The weather in Lower Michigan is unusually warm with morning lows around 50 degrees and afternoon highs in the 60s. The month ends up being one of the warmest November on record.

Weather History for Southeast Michigan

On November 22, 1880, there was an exceptionally early cold wave in Detroit which commenced on the 18th and lasted 6 days all with record lows with the bottom hitting zero on the 22nd. This resulted from an arctic high pressure measuring near 31.00″ over Ohio.

Also, on this date in 1909, 2.59″ of precipitation fell in Detroit. This is the record maximum precipitation for the month of November in Detroit.

U.S.A and Global Events for November 22nd:

1992: 45 tornadoes touched down in the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys. Georgia was hard hit with two F4, one F3, and three F2 tornadoes that killed six people and injured 144. Indiana had a total of 15 tornadoes on this day to set a record for an outbreak in November and for the month of November. One, an F4 multiple-vortex type, cut a 22-mile path through extreme southeastern Indiana and northern Kentucky. This tornado debunked the myth that twisters don’t cross rivers, as this devastating tornado crossed the Ohio River twice. Indiana had a total of 15 tornadoes on this day to set two state records, the largest November tornado outbreak, and the most tornadoes in November. This tornado outbreak made a significant contribution to what was to become the biggest November ever for the U.S. concerning the number of tornadoes.

2010: A rare November ice storm prompts Fairbanks officials to advise residents to stay off the roads. Ice storm advisories are hoisted across a 950-mile stretch of the state that extends from Anchorage to Nome. The 0.39 inches of rainfall at Fairbanks rates as that city’s greatest November rainfall since November 1936.

2010: A strong cold front sweeping through the Midwest brought severe storms, including tornadoes to northern Illinois and southwest Wisconsin. Caledonia, Illinois was hit hard by an EF2 tornado.

Forecast Discussion

There is a lot less to deal with in the short term this morning, as
compared to yesterday morning at this time. Other than some low
chances of a shower this morning, clouds are the main focus.

The upper level low/trough that brought all of the rain to the area
on Tuesday has pretty much made its way east of the state at this
early hour. Lots of low level moisture remains over the area with
cyclonic flow remaining overhead for now, and some lake effect cloud
cover moving in.

There is one last weak short wave and associated sfc trough dropping
SE through the area this morning, as long wave ridging will build
over the area. These features are going to try and squeeze out a
lingering shower, mainly closer to the lake as they pass through.
The problem is that subsidence is building in very quickly limiting
inversion heights. Also, moisture is not very deep with the
stratocumulus clouds currently in place are only 2-3k ft deep. In
addition, the DGZ is not saturated which will not help the cause for
rain showers at all.

There is decent agreement amongst the models that the clouds will
try to clear out this evening and overnight as high pressure builds
in at the sfc. The clearing will be short lived as we will see some
moisture return occur on Thursday/Thanksgiving Day. This moisture is
rather limited, and should not be deep enough to provide for any
rain chances, even with a weak sfc front moving through.

- Dry Thursday night through Saturday

A west-east ridge axis will move south across Lower MI Thursday
night through Saturday providing clear/partly cloudy skies. Colder
air is on the way! Lows will fall to around 20 Thursday night and be
mostly in the teens Friday night. Highs Friday and Saturday will be
in the 30s.

-A taste of winter next week

Beginning Saturday night, a series of short waves will carve out a
sharp upper trough over the Great Lakes. Boundary layer air will be
cold enough for both synoptic snow with the short waves and lake
effect snow with the reinforcing shot of colder air behind the
waves. That means some light snow is possible late Saturday night
through Sunday.

A strong surge of arctic air will flow into the cwa Sunday night and
Monday. GFS H8 temps are progd to fall from -8c to -15c by Monday
afternoon with a gradual warming beginning next Tuesday. Quite a bit
of over-lake instability will be generated given lake temps around
+9c. Resultant lake delta-t`s will be well into the 20s. The ECMWF,
on the other hand is as cold and both models are a little lacking in
low level moisture. Thus, we`re not going to get carried away with
lake effect snow yet. However, some of the ingredients may be coming
together; something to keep an eye on.

Highs will be in the 30s through the middle of next week and lows in
the 20s.
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Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Speaking of exciting! How about below freezing low temps as far as the eye can see! Incredible cold!

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

It is very nice to see we are currently at under 2% of our average snowfall for this date with only a trace(0.1”) so far and the average being over 4 inches. Always exciting to watch the deficit grow by the day.

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

It is very nice to see winter cold for the weekend and next week! Keep it coming!


The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 40/34 there was cold rain with 0.74” falling. There was no sunshine the highest wind speed was 27 MPH out of the E. For today the average H/L is 44/31 the high highest for the day is 66 in 1913 the record low of 13 was set in 1929 the record rain fall of 1.38” fell in 2010. The record snow fall of 7” fell in 1898 the most snow on the ground was 11” in 2000. Last year the H/L was 42/18 and there was 4” of snow on the ground.


Here in MBY I had 0.43″ of rain for there was a total of 0.95″ for the event. At the current time it is partly cloudy here with a temperature of 30.

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

1 inch of rain here yesterday! We got pounded!

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Get ready – big time cold air is coming! WOW, just wow, WOW!