Some More Winter Forecasts

posted in: Michigan Weather Forecast | 6

New on the Michigan Forecast Page is a winter safety slider which also contains various information on different types of storms which may affect Michigan.

Though I have no expectations of of cold and accumulating snow in the long term forecast here in southern Michigan, winter weather has begun in the U.P. and some snow (a couple inches) is predicted in the northern lower around Gaylord tonight.

Most of the snow will remain through the northern plains and U.P. through mid-month at least.  We may see some snowflakes on Halloween evening and night here in southern Michigan though I don’t see it exceeding a quarter inch or so.

Wednesday and Friday should be our best chances of seeing any sunshine this week, the rest being unsettled and wet as we begin our journey into November.


Over the past couple weeks I have been posting winter weather forecasts for the various weather services out there before I put up my own.  I don’t deal with the analogs, I will leave that to Slim.  I will try to present what I guess may happen via what is happening and presumed to happen to the north and west of us which may have an affect on our weather. – as I have said before I am not much of a gambling man so there is a 50/50 chance I (along with the other forecasters) to get it right this year.

So, without further ado here is the forecasts from the Old Farmers Almanac and the Farmers Almanac.


Can’t say I am in agreement with either of these forecast maps though a combination of the two may be closer to what I expect.  Not seeing any major snow storms for the southern lower peninsula through most of November as the jet-stream isn’t forecasted to bring any extreme cold air through the first half of the month of November – I think the snow will remain in the U.P. during this period.  We may see a quick shot of cold air at the end of November but it appears to be short lived as the pattern we are in seems to hold the cold air to the far northern CONUS.


 

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Sandy (Hudsonville)
Sandy (Hudsonville)

Where is the photo from above?

Sandy (Hudsonville)
Sandy (Hudsonville)

Very windy at times here with snow & rain falling.

Slim

On our way home from the NE side of GR had some snow mixed with rain. Her at my house right now getting rain with wind and a lot of falling and blowing leaves. But really there are still a lot of leaves on the trees yet.
Slim

MichaelV

Some windy conditions, rain and graupel falling in Allegan County at 4:30pm

Mookie
Mookie

Just when you think we may be heading toward cold and some snow chances, it looks like the next couple weeks will be very mild around here. Looking like plenty of 50’s and 60’s for November.

Don’t forget, we had already seen snow twice back in October 2015. And don’t forget, November 2014 saw 31″ of snow.

Slim

Here is a kind of fun fact. In the last 10 years Grand Rapids has had days that have gotten into the 60’s or 70’s Here is a list of the year and the highest temperature for that November. 2016 73°, 2015 76° (that November had 4 days in a row in the 70’s with highs of 73°, 76°, 75° and 72°) 2014 60° (that November Grand Rapids had 31.0” of snow) 2013 64° 2012 71° 2011 °65° 2010 69° 2009 72° 2008 73° and 2007 62° So based on this I feel that there is a very good chance… Read more »