We have been trying to forecast the weather since ancient times before the advent of computers and other electronic devices. I was born in the atomic age, a baby boomer that grew up at the tail end of the ways of our mainly agrarian society when horses and men worked the farms to produce food for consumers. As with our ancestors, I looked to the sky to see what the weather would be for the next day or two. Nowadays we try to forecast the weather for days and weeks into the future trying to read currents and patterns via computers which are only as good at prediction as those who program them.
I have given up on seasonal forecasting as they are only guesses and Mother Nature will win out in the end often proven us wrong and laughing at us. Our Earth has a moving atmosphere and currents moving hither and thither.
I once had written records covering 10 years for eastern Allegan county but those got lost over the years of moving about the state. Sure wish I still had them. From 1970 to 1990 I moved all over the place include a few years in Maine so it was hard retaining a lot of paper data. Archiving paper data takes up a lot of room which can now be stored on computers.
Weather forecasting has come a long way over the past 50 years. We are getting a lot closer to getting accurate forecasts for a week out. I wonder if we will ever accurately forecast seasons as nature has a way of stymying us when we get too cocky.
This is the latest Hazards statement from the NWS:
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Near freezing temperatures are possible near and north of Route 10 tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday Near freezing temperatures are possible north of I-96 both Thursday and Friday morning but at this time a hard freeze is not expect then. A hard freeze is expected Saturday morning with most locations near and east of US-131 having lows in the lower to mid 20s. It may be nearly as cold Sunday morning too. Most areas will have temperatures in the 20s for at least 6 hours Saturday morning and nearly as long Sunday morning.
Yep…serious warming “must” be coming for us, because it always happens, because we “deserve” it. Sure thing…61 is our best number for the blistering summer of 2020. Keep in mind you reside in the Southern Arctic.
I hope we don’t get too cold this weekend. That could be devastating for the agriculture. Things are already very difficult for everyone. That would be insult to injury.
No kidding. Our apple trees all have blossoms. I can imagine the devastating impact on the big orchards and blueberry fields in this area. But still we have some rooting for as much cold as possible.
Yes just like your drought counting days in a row berry …..root root root …INDY
What drought are you talking about? Last year had record rainfall, and so far this year has been wetter than average as well. You obviously have not been out to Lake Michigan in a long time.
Get ready for record setting cold this week!
May so far has been just about average temps with 83% possible sun! It’s been wonderful.
There is still some hope of some snow later this weekend! Per NWS GRR: … rain and snow into the area Sunday or Monday. Given this is a northern stream system, it would not have Gulf moisture so precipitation amounts would be less than a 1/4 inch. Still, if it were to snow Sunday night we could see 2 to 4 inches on grass areas by Monday morning.
Here is the full description from the NWS! Bring on the accumulating snow! Our below normal temp Spring is in full force!
“As I suggested yesterday, the upper low that brings us the cold
air rotates around brings another shortwave from the northern
stream into our area Sunday or Monday (depending on which model
you choose or which version of which model you choose). The 00z
run of the ECMWF is now bringing the system farther north, like
the GFS did yesterday and continues to do today. That would bring
rain and snow into the area Sunday or Monday. Given this is a
northern stream system, it would not have Gulf moisture so
precipitation amounts would be less than a 1/4 inch. Still, if it
were to snow Sunday night we could see 2 to 4 inches on grass
areas by Monday morning.”
This definitely beats a couple of years ago when we had back-to-back 90s on Memorial Day weekend.
Good thoughts I’m seeing around the 18th or 19th big warm up coming with the possibility of severe storms in the Midwest the cool pattern looks to be going away it’s far out but it’s something to keep a eye on ..Have a super Tuesday INDY
42 and cloudy here at this time. Still looks like there could be a hard freeze here over the weekend and with lows in the lower 20’s that would do a number on this years fruit crop in SW Michigan.
Slim
That would be horrible.