Warm Week Ahead

Spring has sprung in southwest Michigan with dry, warm conditions that will prevail this week. Highs in the 60s today will climb to the mid-70s by mid-week. The immediate lakeshore locations will experience lower temperatures given their proximity to the colder waters of Lake Michigan.

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U.S.A and Global Events for April 10th:

1935: Severe dust storms across Iowa and Kansas closed schools and highways. Dodge City, Kansas experienced its worst dust storm of record, with dense dust reported from the morning of the 9th until after sunset on the 11th. The sky was almost as dark as night at times during the daylight hours. The thick dust suspended traffic on highways and railroads and also suspended most businesses in town.

 

1979: This day was known as “Terrible Tuesday” to the residents of Wichita Falls, Texas as a tornado rated F4 on the Fujita scale ripped through the city. A massive F4 tornado smashed into Wichita Falls killing 43 persons and causing 300 million dollars in damage. Another tornado struck Vernon, Texas killing eleven persons.

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Grand Rapids Forecast

[pdf-embedder url=”https://michigan-weather-center.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/4-10-grr.pdf” title=”4 10 grr”]

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Lansing Forecast

[pdf-embedder url=”https://michigan-weather-center.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/4-10-lan.pdf” title=”4 10 lan”]

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Kalamazoo Forecast

[pdf-embedder url=”https://michigan-weather-center.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/4-10-kzo.pdf” title=”4 10 kzo”]

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Forecast Discussion

- Dry, Warm, and Breezy Period Early to Mid Week

Dry and warm conditions continue today. GOES-E IR satellite imagery
this morning shows mid and high level clouds across Wisconsin. GFS
RH layer analysis as well as the HREF guidance indicates mid to high
level cloud cover is likely across our region this morning into at
least mid afternoon before clearing out. Similar high temperatures
to yesterday are expected.

Winds will be on the increase Tuesday and Wednesday as isobars
tighten across the Great Lakes courtesy of a building surface high
across the SE U.S. and surface troughing across the Upper Midwest,
with Michigan in between. Wednesday looks like the windiest day with
widespread gusts in the 30-40 mph range.

- Warmest Temperatures Late in the Week

Mid to upper 70s will be the rule Wednesday into Friday. Can`t rule
out 80 degrees in places. While little model guidance is actually
showing 80 degrees being achieved, often in these anomalous early
season events where upper heights and 850 mb temperatures are well
above normal, the climatology bias in medium range model forecasts
can drag down temperatures lower than what will actually take place.
So, plan on 70s but don`t be surprised if some places get to 80.

- Rain Potential By The Weekend With a Pattern Change Coming

A pattern shift is looking more likely for this coming weekend into
early next week. The upper high responsible for warm and dry
conditions across our region this week will begin migrating east
over the Atlantic Ocean by the weekend and upper troughing across
the Pacific Northwest early this week will progress eastward toward
the Great Lakes, per 00z GEFS 500 mb heights forecast. As this
feature approaches, low level flow will advect moisture into our
region by Saturday. Some showers and thunderstorms are possible at
that time. Ensemble guidance does indicate the potential for upper
low development late in the weekend with much colder temperatures
later Sunday into Monday. As a result, it is plausible that we would
be in a chilly and showery pattern during that period with below
normal temperatures by Monday.