Michigan Wx Michigan Wx

Warm Today – Showers Tonight

Posted on by MichaelV (Otsego)

Yesterday we reached 70° after a morning low of 41.5°.  Today we will start off the day with mostly sunny skies then the clouds will move in beginning the start of a wet pattern over the next few days.  Temps will be in the low 70s today and 60s tomorrow then the bottom will drop out with temps in the 40s and 50s.

A large-scale upper trough will amplify further today as it moves eastward across central Canada and the northern/central Plains into the Upper Midwest. The primary surface low associated with this system will develop east-northeastward across northern Manitoba, with an attendant cold front forecast to sweep east-southeastward over much of the northern/central Plains and Upper Midwest through the period.

Forecast Discussion

- Warmth Ahead of Next System -

Temperatures will be warmer than normal today as southerly winds
become breezy ahead of our next system approaching from the
southwest. Highs in the low 70s can be expected with increasing
clouds into the afternoon. Southerly winds will peak this
afternoon, gusting up to 20-25 mph for most areas and to 30 mph or
higher for areas along the lakeshore.

- Rain Arrives This Evening and Wet Pattern Ends the Week-

Low level warm air and moisture advection will strengthen this
afternoon and evening as a 40-50 knot LLJ takes aim at lower MI.
Gulf moisture will enhance rain shower chances late this afternoon
and evening along the nose of this LLJ with showers filling in from
the southwest. A few storms will be possible with these showers
as mid-level lapse rates increase towards 6.5-7 C/km.

Warm advection showers will persist tonight into Wednesday with a
lull in activity by mid-late Wednesday morning. Additional shower
and storm activity is expected Wednesday afternoon and evening as
the approaching trough and its associated cold front arrives. In
addition to shower and storm activity, southerly winds will be
strong for the first half of the day Wednesday. Gusts up to 30-35
mph are expected across the area, with some gusts up to 40-45 mph
possible.

Much of the heavy rain showers will exit east late Wednesday into
Thursday morning. A secondary cold front will move through Thursday
morning with noticeably cooler temperatures starting Thursday and
lasting to the end of the week. While most areas should stay dry,
some lake enhanced rain showers will begin Thursday morning as cool
850mb temps flow over the more mild waters of Lake Michigan. This
pattern will continue into the end of the week as we remain under
the influence of an upper level trough. Long range ensembles
continue to suggest cooler than normal temperatures into the early
part of next week.
Category: Michigan Weather Forecast

23 thoughts on “Warm Today – Showers Tonight”

  1. Our cool pattern just keeps going and going! A near normal temp summer and now a cool Fall!! Bring on winter and tons of snow! I love it!

  2. I need to go pick some raspberries. Made some jam last week and hoping to get at least one more in today!!!

    1. Sounds yummy. We have a recipe from my grandma for strawberry jam. It really good.

      1. I made raspberry blueberry today.
        This season is have done just strawberry, strawberry/blueberry and raspberry. Lol. Raspberries from my own plants.

  3. A warm summer! Can we keep the ball rolling with a warm fall? Can we go for our 4th straight warm year?

  4. Fixxer he was definitely a hoot on Bills Blog the way these leafs are changing and falling My trees will be bare around November 1st…INDY

  5. Yesterday was yet another great early October day. The official H/L at Grand Rapids was 67/36 there was no rain fall and so far, there has only been a trace the month. There was 89% of possible sunshine. The overnight low and current temperature here in MBY is 39. The official low at GRR is a warmer 43 and their current temperature is 43. For today the average H/L is 63/44 the record high of 85 was set in 1928 and the record low of 25 was set in 1906. Last year the H/L was 80/63 there was 0.70” of rain fall. That high of 80 was the last day of 80 or better in 2021. There was a total of 84 days of 80 or better in 2021. This year there will be a total of 85 days of 80 or better. The average number of days is 71 the most is 96 in 2012 and the least is 36 in 1924. There is a chance that today could be the last day of 70 or better in 2022. If today makes it to 70 or better it will be the 130 day this year the average number of days of 70 or better at Grand Rapids is 133 the record is 163 in 1900 and the least is 102 in 1907. Last year there were 150.
    Slim

    2. Wow I am surprised it has reached 85 this late in the season. Goes to show that October can be quite warm or quite cold

      1. It has reached at least 80 up to October 24th the latest 80 day was 81 on November 1st 1950.
        Slim

  6. Hardly any 90’s this Summer 80’s a thing of the past now say goodbye to 70’s its the most wonderful time of the year keep this cool pattern going yeahhhhh!! Snow party ..INDY

    1. This year at Grand Rapids there were officially 7 days of 90 or better, 85 days of 80 or better and if it makes it to 70 or more today 130.
      Slim

        1. That is correct Lansing had 17 days of 90 or better and a whopping 95 days of 80 or better. Holland had 6 days of 90 or better 67 of 80 or better. Muskegon had 5 days of 90 or better and 84 days of 80 or better.
          Slim

    2. Yes Mookie aka fixxxer had to work hard to spin that it was a hot summer! I love it when the facts get in the way! Bring on winter and keep this below normal trend rocking and rolling!

  7. Another big cold front is ready to plow through! What a cool pattern! Wow, just wow!

    1. Mookies post are down 37% since April 1st must of been a cool Summer 😎.. One for the blog records …INDY!!

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