Go out and vote today! Remember, if you don’t vote, you aren’t allowed to whine about the results. The weather will not be nice today for standing in line—take an umbrella—a strong one might be a good idea. We voted as we do every year via mail. Keep in mind that this isn’t a political arena on this blog; keep your opinions focused on the weather.
Yesterday we had a high of 66° and a low of 52°. Yesterday we had .59 inches of rain giving us a total of .68 for the month and 4.33 for the fall months thus far. We are closing in on an inch so far this morning at 5:30.
A wave of low pressure will track northeastward through the Great Lakes Region into Tonight. This will lead to breezy and mild conditions for much of Lower Michigan. Occasional showers can be expected with locally heavy rainfall. An isolated thunderstorm will be possible. High pressure builds in by Thursday, resulting in lower temperatures along with dry weather.
Weather History
1951: The temperature plunges to six degrees at Grand Rapids, a record for early-season cold.
1990: Heavy rains inundate southern Lower Michigan. The 2.12 inches of rain at Muskegon makes this the wettest November day on record.
On November 5, 2005, thunderstorms developed out ahead of a rapidly deepening surface low. A small bow echo took down trees and power lines across Saginaw County. This storm was responsible for cutting power to 6700 homes and one injury as a tree fell onto a man, trapping him under the branches. Pea-sized hail also accompanied this storm, blanketing the ground so thick in Merrill that it looked like snow.
Also on November 5, 1990, 2.07 inches of precipitation was recorded in the city of Saginaw. This is the highest amount of precipitation recorded in November in Saginaw.
Also, on November 4, 1978, all three climate sites established new daily record highs with 76 at Detroit and Flint and 75 in Saginaw.
NWS Forecast
Forecast Discussion
- Occasional rain and a few storms today Occasional rain will continue today as deep southwest flow continues to advect abundant moisture in with precipitable water values around 1.5 inches which is anomalously high for this time of year. A few embedded thunderstorms are expected as well as a result of forcing from a strong llj. The relatively best chance for convection will come early this morning and then again early to mid evening as suggested by the 00Z HREF. However convective potential will be mitigated by weak instability. Additional rainfall amounts with this system will range anywhere from an inch or two across much of our fcst area to only a half an inch to inch over our se fcst area. Given antecedent dry conditions prior to this event and the rather long duration of this rainfall we do not expect any significant hydro issues. Only some minor ponding of water on roadway and clogged drain type issues are expected. It will also become rather windy later today as southerly winds increase to 15 to 25 mph with gusts reaching the 30 to 40 mph range. However we do not expect peak wind gusts to reach advisory criteria with extensive cloud cover and occasional showers through the day. It is tough to achieve advisory criteria gusts in a warm rather than cold air advection regime. However a few gusts may approach advisory criteria later today mainly right along the Lake MI shoreline. Tranquil wx will return for mid to late week along with cooler temps as a high pressure ridge gradually builds in from the west. - Potential for showers over the weekend The models are in reasonable agreement in showing a mid level low tracking northeastward through the CWA Saturday night into Sunday. This system will be deepening as it moves in. Gulf moisture gets drawn into the system with PWATs climbing up to around 1.5 inches here in MI Saturday night, which is well above normal. The DGZ moistens up with decent omega seen in that layer, especially Saturday night into Sunday. Ensemble QPF values from the models has increased. Based on this we will increase the POPs for Saturday night into Sunday. As the deeper moisture doesn`t arrive until Saturday night, much of Saturday may end up dry, unless the timing changes.
Well, well, well…strong winds with heavy rain. After this dry summer, maybe I forgot what this is like :/
Michael, I say tht same thing. We early voted!! We have been saving all the mail flyers since the primary. It is crazy how many have been delivered. Best part the ads will be gone!!! 😉
I had 0.71” of rainfall yesterday and the overnight low here in MBY has been 62 and that is the current temperature with light rain falling. If the temperature stays above 58 until midnight a new record warm low for today would be set.
Slim
The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 65/52 there was 0.62” of rainfall. There was no sunshine the highest wind gust was 25 MPH out of the S. For today the average H/L is 52/36 the record high of 75 was set in 1978 the coldest high of 30 was set in 1951, the record low of 6 was set in 1951. The warmest low of 58 was set in 2015. The wettest was 2.66” in 1902 the most snowfall of 2.3” was in 1982 the most on the ground was 6” in 1966.
Slim