Yesterday’s high was 51° and the low was 44°. We had no rain.
This week will feature an unsettled weather pattern with daily chances of rain. We’ll start out on the mild side before temperatures cool off later in the week. After Wednesday, we could even see some of the first snowflakes of the season.
Weather History
1989: Grand Rapids picks up seven inches of snow, bringing accumulations during a three-day storm to over a foot.
2013: A squall line of severe thunderstorms moved through Lower Michigan during the afternoon bringing widespread wind damage. Hundreds of trees were knocked down and thousands lost power from downbursts and brief tornadoes along the line of storms.
On November 17, 2013, a powerful low-pressure system strengthened and tracked northeast across the western Great Lakes. As the cold front swept through the area, winds gusted to 50 to 60 mph during the overnight hours with a peak gust of 70 mph observed at Ypsilanti. The winds caused widespread damage and hundreds of thousands of power outages across Southeast Michigan.
Also on November 17, 1963, Genesee County experienced golfball size hail with a severe thunderstorm passing through.
NWS Forecast
Forecast Discussion
- Cloudy with chance showers today and tonight The morning begins with mostly high clouds as the region is in the dry slot ahead of the approaching cold front. An upper level low moving along the Canadian border will bring a short wave trough through the Great Lakes with a ribbon of moisture extending from Ontario across Michigan to the southwest through Illinois and Missouri. This ribbon of moisture will bring back mid to low clouds mid to late this afternoon. That will allow for another cloudy day. A Cold front will swing across the region today bringing a chance for showers. Showers will be fairly light with the best chance this evening though QPF will be a tenth of an inch or less. Skies will clear late Sunday night into Monday north of I 94 with more low level clouds along and south of I 94. This will cause most of the region to drop near freezing Monday morning. Clouds and moisture return late Monday as warm air advection moves into the area which will be further discussed in the next section. - Unsettled/Showery Week Ahead and Turning Cooler Warm advection and moist southerly flow from the Gulf, preceding a cyclone lifting north through MN, sends rain showers through the area late Monday night into early Tuesday. However latest guidance has backed off on QPF amounts due to bifurcation/split between the LLJ-related convection to the south and the main shortwave/system rains to our west/northwest. The passage of a sfc occlusion and arrival of mid level dry slot yields lower pops by Tuesday afternoon although low clouds and patchy drizzle may linger as high temps make a run at 60 degrees. The mid to late week period continues to look unsettled although the specifics of the upper low/trough evolution/position remain highly uncertain. In fact the latest 00Z deterministic and ensemble mean solutions for the GFS/ECMWF have diverged quite a bit on the location of the upper low, with the GFS showing it over Lake Huron on Thursday and the ECMWF farther south over the Ohio Valley Region. Both models are also colder at 850 mb, especially the GFS with its more northern position, suggesting a somewhat better chance of some snow mixing in with the rain at times-- primarily at night. The showery weather associated with the slow moving/deep longwave trough is expected throughout a multi-day period from Wednesday through Friday with highs in the 40s. Some lake enhancement to the showers possible at times as well, depending on how cold H8 temps end up. It should be noted that there continues to be a few ensemble members which suggest accumulations of wet snow occurring Wednesday night into Thursday morning just south of the upper low center where colder air and heavier precip rates in comma-head could come into sync. However those members remain very much the minority and the upper low position/track remains highly uncertain, so a it`s very low probability scenario at this time (but worth keeping an eye on).
Just mowed – hopefully for the final time this year.
I am missing the sun. Doesn’t look like we will see much of it this week either.
GO LIONS
On this date in 2022 we had our “first” big storm of the year. I think the 3rd snowiest winter for GR (much less closer/away from the lake)… but all the snow melted after every storm, so it didn’t seem as bad as other years
The official H/L yesterday at GR was 50/44 there was no rain/snow. There was no sunshine. For today the average H/L is 47/32 the record high of 70 was set in 1953 and 1958. The coldest high of 17 was set in 1959. 1959 also had the record low of 9 the warmest low of 57 was set in 1963. The most rainfall of 1.59” fell in 1952 the most snowfall of 7.6” fell in 2022. The most snow on the ground was 7.6” in 2005. Last year the H/L was 62/33.
Slim