Yesterday we reached a balmy 51° which made a slushy mess in the yards and back roads. We currently have 45° at 5:30 this morning. This will likely be our warmest day of the week before temperatures fall once again and snow showers come back into the pictures.
The weather will be quite unsettled over the next week with plenty of clouds and occasional rain and snow. Temperatures will be a roller coaster, bottoming out on Thursday. Accumulating lake-effect snow is likely Wednesday and Thursday, and it does have a chance to disrupt activities and make for hazardous road conditions in some locations.
Weather History
1995: Arctic air and lake effect snow blasts Lower Michigan on this day and for the next three days. More than a foot of snow piles up near Lake Michigan and temperatures fall to the singles numbers at night, struggling only to the teens in the day.
On December 9, 2005, a snowstorm tracked from southern Missouri to central Lake Erie and dropped a widespread 6 to 9 inches of snow across most of southeast lower Michigan. At the height of the storm, during the early morning hours, snow fell at a rate of 1 to 2 inches per hour and several reports of thunder snow were received. There were two bands of heavier snowfall across southeast lower Michigan. The first band was a band of 7 to 9 inches along the Interstate 69 corridor, and the second was a band of 6 to 8 inches stretching from Adrian to Detroit.
Forecast Discussion
- Light Rain/Drizzle Today Upper level low continues to skirt a large pool of moisture along the MI, IN and Ohio border with latest returns bringing showers through Coldwater with light rain across Souther Lower Michigan this morning. The low will exit eastward fairly quickly with little to no precipitation expected this afternoon along with a dry slot and perhaps some clearing this evening. - Winter returns Tuesday through Thursday Mid week will bring another chance for lake effect/enhanced snow especially near the lakeshore. A large upper level low situated over Central Canada will drive a system with strong upper level vorticity through Michigan Tuesday through Thursday. Strong warm air advection will precede out ahead of the approaching system. Expect a rain/snow mix in the warm air with strong forcing along and behind the frontal boundary. The trough will swing through Tuesday evening with strong northwesterly flow Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The strongest gradient along with the best moisture advection will be through our NW quadrant. Lake Michigan temperatures remain in the 8C range, and given the latest models have -11C to -16C 850mb temps that would equate to a temperature differential of 19C to 24C. That will increase snow production. The gradient flow will also aid in the strong Omega values along the lakeshore through Wednesday into Thursday. The best lift for the longest amount of time will be along the lakeshore, especially in the NW. Expect significant snow accumulations which should cause impacts for the Wednesday morning through Thursday morning commutes. Snow, gusty winds and accompanying impacts remains possible inland, though this will depend on the infiltration of the bands. Gusty wind along with strong Cold Air Advection will drop temperatures down into the teens through the latter half of the week with the potential for wind chills Thursday to be below zero. Temperatures will moderate into next weekend with more chances for precipitation through the weekend.
Winter storm watch for Tuesday evening through Thursday for GR …INDY
Yep! All these cold intrusions over the record warm water temperatures are making the lake effect extra crazy this year. Reminds me of 2022… a warm winter with lots of lake effect events. And the 2022 blizzard, which is approaching the 2 year anniversary
Sounds like last week! Incredible winter so far! Rock n roll will never die! Bring it on!!!!
The overnight low here in MBY was 37 it steady went up and is now at 46 with a light mist falling there was 0.03” of rainfall overnight and the roads are wet.
Slim
The official H/L yesterday at GR was 50/37 there was no rain/snowfall the highest wind was 33 MPH out of the W. The sun was out 60% of the possible time. For today the average H/L is 38/26 the record high of 59 was in 1946 the coldest high of 13 was in 1932 the record low of -1 was in 1946 the warmest low of 54 was in 1946. The wettest of 0.81” was in 1907 the most snowfall of 4.6” was in 1995 the most on the ground was 9” in 1909.
Slim
What? Back to winter temps! Who would have thought!