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Winter Guesses

Our local TV Mets in Kalamazoo and Grand Rapids have released their winter forecast guesses, all are calling for a mainly back loaded winter, meaning most of our snow and cold will be in the January through March time frame with some snow events hanging around into early April.  All are consistent with their forecasts […]

Winter Weather Advisory Until 4pm

Here in Otsego we already have an inch of snow on the ground – makes all the Christmas lights look much better.  I always wondered if our southern states ever miss the beauty of the snow – probably not. The feature image is from the Bittersweet webcam a mile down the road from me – […]

Snowfall

  For those of you interested in the science of snow here ya go: Snow cover is a part of the cryosphere, (where water is in solid form), which traces its origins to the Greek word kryos for frost. Snow is precipitation in the form of ice crystals. It originates in clouds when temperatures are […]

Active Weather Today and Tonight

Well, all good things must come to and end.  One could not ask for a better weekend as this past one with lots of sunshine and temperatures in the fifties. We probably won’t see the fifties again for awhile – I would say perhaps not until late March but, knowing how our last couple winters […]

Strange Weather Events

  Today I am going to stray from the talk of snow and cold to bring more fascinating delvings into unnatural phenomenon which you may or may not have seen over the years.   Since at least the 19th century, people have periodically claimed to see giant snowflakes falling from the sky — big ones […]

This Week in Weather History 11/26 to 12/2

Wow – another month has rushed on by.  Where does the time go?  We rush forward in the present towards the future as we leave the past in our wake.  We must take care of what we leave in our wake. Enough of the philosophy, just something to think about aside from the weather.  I […]

European Winter Models

I look at a lot of models every day but mostly I use the Hi Res, Nam and GFS for my forecasts.  Once one begins mixing in the European forecast models things take a turn towards more head scratching in long range forecasting.  The Atmospheric and Environmental Research graphic above for December-January-February is what is […]

Preliminary 2017 2018 Winter Guess

The feature image is the snow at the BIG Mac yesterday. As the title says – this is preliminary as in goes before a fuller, more detailed report.  As usual the disclaimer would be as with all forward looking statements, this is just a guess and anything which actually happens in reverse of these statements […]

Some More Winter Forecasts

New on the Michigan Forecast Page is a winter safety slider which also contains various information on different types of storms which may affect Michigan. Though I have no expectations of of cold and accumulating snow in the long term forecast here in southern Michigan, winter weather has begun in the U.P. and some snow […]

NOAA Winter Outlook

Many of the major players of winter forecasting are coming close together on predicting our forecast for this winter.  NOAA has released their winter forecast.  The graphics below (click to enlarge) show we have equal chances of above or below normal temperatures and a 40% chance of above normal precipitation. [columns] [span6] [/span6][span6] [/span6][/columns] “If […]