At 6 a.m. this morning, the temperature was 12° with partly cloudy skies. Yesterday’s high was 27.5 °, and the morning low was 12°. Much of the coming week will be spent below freezing. A dusting to an inch of accumulation is possible in West Michigan early Tuesday morning. Then, several inches of snow may be on tap between Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning for Western and Mid Michigan. This will be a synoptic event, not a lake effect.
Weather History
1899: Grand Rapids has its coldest day on record with a high of 6 below zero and a low of 21 below. Muskegon had set their record for all-time coldest high temperature on the 9th with a high of 5 below zero.
On February 10, 1899, the daytime temperature rose to only -1 degrees in Detroit, which is the record minimum daytime temperature for the day. This was also the second day in a streak of five days (February 9-13) that daily minimum daytime temperature records were set.
Forecast Discussion
- Light Snow Monday Night Our first weather of note this week is Monday Night into Tuesday morning. An arctic front will cross the region leading to scattered snow showers mainly north of a Holland to Evart line. A weak perturbation in the predominantly zonal flow pattern will drive the snow with up to 2 inches of snow possible west of US131. - Widespread Snowfall, Possibly Heavy, Wednesday into Thursday Confidence is increasing in the potential for travel impacts across the region Wednesday into Thursday from our best synoptic system of the winter yet. Driving this will be the ejection of a mid-level wave into the Midwest driving a surface low somewhere in the Toledo/Cleveland region. Strong low-level dynamics will advect 850- 700mb mixing ratios in the 2-4 g/kg range, and mid-level FGEN/negative EPV will suggests a band of heavier snow developing across the region. Cluster analysis suggests that QPF greater than 0.25" is likely (70- 90 percent) across much of the area which would translate to around 3" of snow given forecast SLRs. With the solid forcing and instability supporting enhanced snowfall rates, a band of QPF values exceeding 0.5", which would translate to exceeding 6 inches of snow, are possible (50-60 percent) somewhere in the area. Overall, the large scale pattern is well handled by guidance. Some uncertainty as to the exact low track, determined by the speed at which the upper-level wave closes off, exists meaning placement and magnitude of the heaviest snow band across the area is not certain at this juncture. Ensemble guidance, and available deterministic guidance suggests the ECMWF driven solution of the low track being favorable for heavy snow is favored over the deterministic GFS with the low well to the east. Given the potential for impacts, close monitoring and refining of the forecast will be needed over the next few days. - Additional Snowfall Likely This Weekend After conditons dry out Friday given surface and upper-level ridging, snow returns to the forecast Friday Night into the weekend. The impetus will be a mid-level wave and associated surface low driving through the Midwestern US. The exact timing and placement of the mid-level and surface features remains uncertain at this time range. Confidence in precipitation is likely (60-80 percent), with a 30-50 percent chance QPF exceeds 0.25". Snow would be expected as the dominant precipitation type once again given the cold ambient air mass in place. Given travel impacts from accumulating snow are possible this weekend if conditions align, this system too will need monitoring.
And Rocky’s on it!! Let’s Goooo..INDY
Ck this out!
https://cms.accuweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/SnowMapTuesNtTothurs10Feb3p.jpg?w=632
I wonder who said we would have a cold/snowy February?
The RDB gets another bingo!
Rock on and keep up the good work!
On top of the winter storm headlines another below normal day I wish I could remember how many that has been during the winter season… lost count many many days ago ….Crazy INDY
Cold and Snow as far as the eye can see! What a winter!
Local TV met just presented two scenarios. One model gives us 4-8″ with more to the NW (think GR to Alpena). The other model puts us in the sweet spot (6-10″). Let’s not forget there’s another system on the horizon for Saturday.
What? Winter is not over?
For this area, it appears that winter is just getting started.
…WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
* WHAT…Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 5 and
8 inches possible.
* WHERE…Portions of central, south central, southwest, and west
central Michigan.
* WHEN…From Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning.
* IMPACTS…Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions
could impact the Wednesday evening and Thursday morning commutes.
Snowfall rates up to 1 inch a hour Wednesday night … Get out the BIG DADDY HAT ….INDY
Sounds good!
Winter storm watches woooo wooo! INDY
I love it! So much for the uneventful pattern! Lol
Who would have thought?
What a winter! Cold and snowy and no let up in sight! Wow, just wow, WOW!
With multiple snowstorms right around the corner we can rejoice about an above normal snowfall season! Fantastic!
More great news ….a winter storm watch is coming! Forget about a below normal snowfall winter and get ready to ROCK!!!
More accumulating snows on the way and yes even wind driven Zland will be effective with snow .. Who Knew?? Prepare now for crakers of a snowy week ahead..INDY DDDD
Bring it!
With spring right around the corner, we are below average snowfall for winter and it’s been a below average winter so far according to the Winter Severity Index. I’ll take it!
Great news>>>>38 days of winter left! A cold and snowy week and month ahead! Who knew?
The overnight low here in MBY and current temperature is 11 with clear skies. While the official snow depth at Grand Rapids is listed as a trace here in my area there ranges from bare ground to 3” the areas that are protected from the sun have snow but areas were the sun can reach have a lot of bare ground showing.
Slim
THE GRAND RAPIDS CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR FEBRUARY 9, 2025
The H/L was 27/11 there was a trace of snowfall the highest wind gust was 26MPH out of the W. The sun was out 33% of the possible time. For today the average H/L is 32/19 the record high of 61 was in 2009 the coldest high of -6 was in 1899. The record low of -21 was also in 1899 the warmest low of 40 was in 2009 the wettest was 0.96” in 1966 the most snowfall of 6.7” was in 1981 the most on the ground was 23” in 2014.
Slim
38 days until the first day of spring. But who is counting? Oh yeah, I am. 😁
Have a great Monday, friends.
Get ready! This week is going be winter at its best! No temps above freezing and multiple snow events! Forget about the warm weather fantasies! This could go down as the best winter this decade! Great weather for outdoor sports, make sure your snowblower is ready to go! Just think some people doubted the RDB model and said it would be a warm Feb and others said winter is over and it has been a mild to moderate winter? How wrong can they be?