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Sunny Skies Today – Weather History

Yesterday, we received .24 of an inch of rain with a high temperature of 68°.  Our total rainfall from the system which is now moved out of the area was .43 inches.  Any fog this morning will dissipate leaving mostly sunny skies with temperatures in the mid-70s.  There is a slight chance of rain for tomorrow.


Grand Rapids Forecast

6 14 grr

Weather History for SW Michigan

June 11

1968: Severe thunderstorms produced large hail across the region. A hail of 2.5 inches in diameter fell in Ionia County. One of the storms spawns a tornado that kills one person near Pompeii in Gratiot County.

1972: A late-season freeze struck the region with Muskegon dropping to 31 degrees for their coldest June temperature on record. Lansing fell to 32 degrees and Grand Rapids to 33 degrees.

June 12

1996: Extensive flash flooding in and around Mt. Pleasant was the result of 1.82 inches of rainfall in 30 minutes with storm totals exceeding 2 inches. At one point parking lots had water 12 inches deep, several fields and ditches were flooded, and some motor homes and campers were set afloat.

1998: A tornado touched down in Bedford Township in northwest Calhoun County, doing minor damage to a few homes and shearing off trees like a giant weed whacker.

2008: Historic flash flooding results from up to a foot of rain near Ludington and Manistee. More than 40 roads were washed out and some of them were not repaired for several months. The torrential rains are preceded by a severe thunderstorm that drops two tornadoes. The first tornado came ashore north of Ludington at the Nordhouse Dunes Wilderness Area, downing hundreds of trees. A second tornado hit near Stronach in Manistee County.

June 13

1900: A tornado touched down near Marshall and passed north of Battle Creek, ending near Bellevue. Barns were destroyed at several farms along the path of the storm.

1994: A tornado struck Jackson County, producing a 16-mile damage path and injuring 2 people. More than a dozen homes were damaged or destroyed, along with other buildings.

2004: Severe weather struck across the region and a weak tornado touched down briefly in a field one-mile northeast of Stanton in Montcalm County.

June 14

1894: A week-long heat wave was underway with temperatures at or above 90 degrees across much of the region from June 10th to June 16th. Grand Rapids hit 95 degrees on the 13th, 96 degrees on the 14th, and 97 degrees on the 15th.

1991: A tornado injures one person and damages several homes east of Jackson.

June 15

1960: More than 20 houses sustain damage as a tornado hits the southern part of the city of Jackson, Michigan.

1976: Tornadoes caused a quarter million dollars in damage in Lower Michigan. In Kent County, a barn is destroyed and two houses were damaged by a tornado near Cedar Springs. In Allegan and Ottawa Counties, several buildings are damaged along a twelve-mile path, ending just south of Jenison. Mobile homes are damaged near Walton in Wexford County.

1982: A series of strong tornadoes struck central Lower Michigan. In Gratiot County, several homes were damaged, two of them severely as a tornado moved from near Pompeii to North Star. In Jackson County, a tornado kills one person and injures another as it moves about 5 miles west of Munith.

June 16

1974: Cool and cloudy weather prevailed for the middle of June with high temperatures only in the middle 50s across the region on both June 16th and 17th.

June 17

1975: A tornado struck two miles northeast of Newaygo. A tree fell on and killed a 14-year-old girl who was camping with her parents. Tornadoes also hit Roscommon County, where damage was done to some boats on the southwest shore of Houghton Lake. Another tornado damaged several farm buildings north of Zeeland in Ottawa County.

1992: Over a dozen, mostly weak tornadoes struck across Lower Michigan, including south of Coopersville in Ottawa County, near Cedar Springs in Kent County, Harrison in Clare County, and Pewamo in Ionia County.


Weather History for SE Michigan

June 11

On June 11, 2014, a supercell spawned a tornado just southwest of the town of Saint Charles. The tornado intensified to EF-1 along Fordney Road between Brant and Fergus Roads. Several large trees were uprooted and minor structural damage was observed.

Also on June 11, 1972, the overnight low temperature dropped to 36 degrees in Detroit. This is the record low temperature for the month of June in Detroit and ties the record set on June 1, 1966.

June 12

On June 12, 2021, an isolated supercell developed near Mount Pleasant and tracked south-southeast toward Ann Arbor during the late afternoon and evening. This storm produced baseball-sized hail in Ovid (Clinton County) and golf ball-sized hail near Laingsburg (Shiawassee County) as well as isolated wind damage to trees in its path.

On June 12, 1984, an F3 tornado hit Bay County at 6:20 PM and caused $2,500,000 in damage. Two individuals were reported injured, but there were no deaths. This was the strongest tornado ever reported in Bay County.

June 13

On June 13, 2004, an F1 tornado hit Huron County at 5:00 PM, causing $25,000 in damage. One property in this county lost 44 trees because of this tornado; many of the trees were very large and older than 100 years.

June 14

On June 14, 1966, an F2 tornado hit Wayne County and caused $3,000 in damage.

June 15

On June 15, 1982, an F3 tornado struck Washtenaw County. The tornado moved from 5 miles west-southwest of Munith in Jackson County to 8 miles northwest of Chelsea. The tornado was 1500 feet wide, and it resulted in one death and one injury in Jackson County. Overall, 7 houses were destroyed and 15 buildings were damaged by the tornado.

June 16

On June 16, 1998, lightning struck and killed a person at 6 PM in Wayne County.

June 17

On June 17, 2009, three to six inches of rain fell in and around the I 69 corridor during the daytime hours including 3.46 inches at Flint. That made it the 2nd wettest June day and 9th wettest day of all time for Flint. This amount of rain, coupled with the wet spring, lead to flooding across a few counties. Road closures and basement flooding were common.

On June 17, 1992, 10 tornadoes touched down in Southeast Lower Michigan as a squall line ripped across the region. All of the tornadoes were rated F0 and F1. Temperatures ahead of the squall line soared into the 90s which was one of only three such days during the cold summer of 1992.

Also on this date in 1935, the record for the greatest amount of precipitation for the month of June in Saginaw was reached, with a rainfall estimate of 2.98 inches.


Forecast Discussion

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 345 AM EDT Wed Jun 14 2023

Relatively moist boundary layer conditions leftover by
yesterday`s showers combined with light winds and clearing skies
has resulted in patchy dense fog formation early this morning.
The fog is shallow though and is expected to mix out quickly by 9
am. Otherwise a sunny, milder day is in store thanks to
subsidence pattern behind the departing upper level low.

Next feature of interest is a 50 kt mid level speed max and
associated shortwave diving straight south out of Canada and
through the GrtLks Rgn late tonight and Thursday. Scattered
showers in the left exit region of the speed max will be already
taking aim on the area after midnight tonight, especially north of
I-96. A few hundred Joules of MUCape, rooted around 850 mb,
arrives from the west after 09Z and could support a few pre-dawn
elevated tstms with locally heavy downpours.

Sfc heating and mid 50 dew pts will lead to sfc-based instability
developing by mid morning Thursday, particularly south of I-96,
with MLCapes approaching 1000 J/KG by Noon. The axis of best
instability eventually migrates east into southeast Lwr MI by mid
afternoon however as the low level flow over wrn lwr MI turns
northwesterly.

With deep layer shear ramping up above 35 kts there is some
concern for a few stronger/organized storms with gusty winds and
hail Thursday afternoon. However storms after 18Z should tend to
favor eastern lwr MI where sfc convergence will be maximized, so
the main threat will be generally near and east of U.S. Route 127.
HREF 3-hrly PMM QPF supports this idea.


.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 345 AM EDT Wed Jun 14 2023

-- Mostly dry from Fri into Sun --

EPS and GEFS ensemble means remain consistent in maintaining a
mid/upper ridge axis upstream of Lower MI through at least Sat
night, favoring large-scale subsidence over the area. Ensembles
suggest that a midlevel shortwave trough will progress eastward over
the mid MS Valley on Sun. Precip probs associated with this feature
are maximized well southwest of the area, with only low-end probs
into Lower MI, supporting slight chance PoPs over southern counties
on Sun. A warming trend is likely to continue into the weekend, with
strong ensemble support for highs reaching the mid 80s F on Sun in
many locations.

-- Warm and dry weather favored next week --

A Rossby-wave packet will likely be centered over the northeast
Pacific on Sun, then will quickly propagate eastward over North
America into midweek, as inferred on a time-longitude (Hovmoller)
diagram of EPS-mean 500-mb height anomalies, averaged from 35-60N.
The approach of this wave packet should spur sequential downstream
amplification of the longwave pattern over North America next week.
The aforementioned ridge, in particular, will likely undergo
pronounced amplification over the interior of North America between
Sun and Tue, as suggested by the EPS-mean and deterministic ECMWF.
This ridge amplification should eventually yield a rather blocky
large-scale regime, with a prominent mid/upper anticyclone possibly
developing over south-central Canada or the north-central CONUS by
Mon (as in the 00z ECMWF solution).

In tandem with these expected developments aloft, the EPS-mean SLP
field suggests a reemergence of a surface anticyclone over eastern
Canada for much of next week. This will favor a return to
anomalously persistent low-level easterly flow across the region,
with PWAT likely to remain generally below climo means.
Unfortunately, these foregoing considerations favor another stretch
of warm and dry weather across the forecast area, with no
discernible signal for appreciable/widespread rainfall and drought
relief.

newest oldest
Jesse (Montcalm co)
Jesse (Montcalm co)

Lol, we got a whopping 0.15 from the whole system. Terrible. Everything is dead. Probably the most depressing start to the growing season in my recollection.

Nathan (Forest Hills)
Nathan (Forest Hills)

Yes I agree with you. Probably the driest start to the season ever

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

Large tornado down in Georgia right now. Also one earlier in Alabama. This is a very unusual setup for those states this time of the year. More typical of March and April. James Spann the king of weather down there says he doesn’t recall a time with a moderate risk setup in June in Alabama. Typically it’s takes a tropical system to get something like this in June down there.

INDY
INDY

Still missing a good thunderstorm!! Will we be having one soon is the big question?? INDY

Nathan (Forest Hills)
Nathan (Forest Hills)

Looks like we will be returning to the easterly flow next week… so I’d imagine the smoke will be returning. And no end to the drought either

INDY
INDY

Nother day with 50’s in the middle of June great fire weather with a double hoodiee on lol!! Priceless I think the blow torch is out of gas or missing enjoy INDY

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

I love cool summers! Wow!

Jim in Cooper Twp., Kazoo Co.
Jim in Cooper Twp., Kazoo Co.

Yesterday we had our first measurable rainfall since May 8; a grand total of 0.15 inches. At least the dust and pollen has been damped down enough so that it’s probably safe to mow the yard without a mask and goggles.

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

The rain definitely brought the pollen and allergens down to ground level. Our son’s allergies were giving him fits last night.

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

We got about a 5 minute shower here yesterday. Probably a whopping 0.01”.

You’re right about the pollen. Before the rain if there was any sort of a slight breeze the white pines in our yard were blowing pollen all over the place. At some points it looked like smoke coming from the trees it was the worst I’ve seen.

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

What a difference a year makes. A year ago GR had a dew point of 79!

Slim

So far in June the official rain fall amount for Grand Rapids is 0.19” Here in MBY I have recorded a little more with a total of 0.30” At Grand Rapids the official amount of rain fall since May 1st is 1.03” Here in MBY the total since May 1st is 1.02”
Slim

Slim

Happy Flag Day. The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 70/49. Both officially and here in MBY there was 0.07” of rain fall. However, with the cool temperatures and the little rain that fell on Sunday the grass has greened up a little. There was 37% of possible sunshine and 5 HDD’s and 0 CDD’s.
Slim

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

Happy 248th birthday to the United States Army!

Slim

The overnight low and current temperature in MBY is 48 with clear skies. For today the average H/L is 79/58 the record high of 96 was set in 1894 and the record low of 38 was set in 1978. The record rain fall amount of 2.89” fell in 1972
Slim

Slim

Today looks to be mostly sunny but still a little cooler then average. There is a chance of some showers tonight and tomorrow. A warming trend is on tap and the rest of this week and into next week looks to have some very nice summer weather but looks to continue to be on the dry side.
Slim