Yesterday was another day with above-normal temperatures. The high was 59°, set in the morning before the temperatures dropped. The low was 49°. The normal high is in the low 50s.
Clouds will decrease through the day today with mostly clear skies tonight into Saturday. Rain returns Saturday night and continues into Sunday. Expect highs in the 50s with lows in the 30s and 40s. Friday night will be colder in the 20s and 30s.
Weather History
1877: Record cold freezes in Lower Michigan following a heavy snowfall on November 5th. At Lansing, the temperature plunges to 4 degrees on the 5th and 6th, and 8 degrees on this day.
On November 7, 1991, another stretch of record lows occurred in Detroit from the 7th (20 degrees), the 8th (14 degrees) and the 9th (18 degrees). Saginaw also had a three-day streak from the 7th-9th with 16, 14, and 16 degrees respectively. Flint had a 4-day streak from the 7-10th with temperatures of 17, 12, 14, and 20 degrees respectively.
Also on November 7, 1951, a snowstorm that started on November 6 came to an end across Southeast Michigan. The storm left Saginaw with 12.7 inches of snow, Flint 13.4 inches, and Detroit 5.6 inches. This storm was the 5th heaviest snowstorm in Flint history, and the 14th heaviest for Saginaw.
NWS Forecast
Forecast Discussion
- Tranquil Weather Late This Week A sfc high pressure ridge to our west will bring tranquil wx today through Friday. IR sat trends and sfc obs early this morning show extensive low cloud cover continues to linger across our area. It is anticipated that low clouds today will not dissipate as quickly as most short range guidance suggests. This is due to ample lingering low level moisture near to below around 3 kft agl. Forecast soundings show this will linger which in conjunction with a substantial temperature inversion will result in extensive lingering low cloud cover this morning particularly over our western fcst area. IR sat trends due show some clearing may work into our eastern fcst area this morning. More in the way of clearing will gradually develop across the rest of our fcst area this afternoon as drier air advects in and partly cloudy to mostly clear skies are expected tonight through Friday. High temps will reach the mid to upper 50s today and tomorrow with low temps mainly in the mid 30`s to mid 40`s (mildest near the Lake MI shoreline). - Unsettled Pattern Ahead We`ll be dry until Saturday night as a cutoff low over AZ, UT, NM, CO becomes absorbed into an open wave and moves into the region. Upper level jet dynamics, positive vorticity advection, warm air advection, and low level jet convergence will all be in play. A few rumbles of thunder overnight into Sunday morning are not out of the question either. There are some timing differences and a signal for a later start time Saturday night. There also continues to be a signal for a brief lull sometime during the morning/early afternoon as drier air briefly works into the area before the vorticity maximum with the upper level low moves over the area bringing another round of showers and maybe a few rumbles of thunder. Within the northwest flow and cold air advection lingering lake effect rain showers are possible overnight Sunday into Monday with 850mb and lake temperature differences around 13 C. Ensembles highlight a break in precipitation Tuesday as high pressure briefly takes residence. Otherwise attention turns to the middle of next week as a strong, negatively tilted trough swings through the region sometime during the Wednesday/Thursday timeframe. Models highlight a strong low level jet with the low centered north of the area. The overall timing will impact how unstable we are with this system, at this point ensembles highlight the overnight timeframe which could limit our CAPE values. Either way, we`ll have to watch the potential for severe storms with this system.
Based on the weather as of late, you wouldn’t think that we’re already one week into November. Our golf course reopened last week and business has been steady. They have never reopened following the end-of-season closure.
The long range outlooks are now out until late November and they continue to show well above average temperatures.
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/
and
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php
Slim
I’m going to need to mow again. After that hard freeze awhile back, I thought we were done. But, the grass has grown again.
The official H/L yesterday at GR was 61/48 there was 0.01” of rainfall there was no sunshine. The highest wind gust was 22 MPH out of the SW. For today the average H/L is 51/35 the record high of 71 was set in 2020 the coldest high of 27 was set in 1991 the record low of 14 was set in 1991 the warmest low of 60 was set in 1975. The wettest was 1.01” in 1938 the most snowfall of 6.0” was in 1951 the most on the ground was 11” also n 1951.
Slim