We should see some sunshine today which seems to be more rare than common this time of year. We have had a wet October this year with 6.68 inches thus far for the month compared to the 3.37 inches we had last year. Our high yesterday managed to get to 47° after a morning low of 41°. Temperatures are predicted to remain in the upper 30s today with a west northwest wind gusting to 24 mph. Tomorrow snowshowers make their first appearance in SW Michigan with maybe an inch or so to look forward to (or not). Tomorrow night we will see our first hard freeze of the season with temperatures falling into the low 20s.
Forecast
Today
Partly sunny, with a steady temperature around 37. West northwest wind 6 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Tonight
A 40 percent chance of snow showers, mainly before 5am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 32. Southwest wind 3 to 7 mph.
Tuesday
Snow showers likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 37. South southwest wind 8 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible.
Tuesday Night
Snow showers likely, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 21. Northwest wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Wednesday
Partly sunny, with a high near 39. Light south wind becoming west southwest 8 to 13 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28.
Thursday
Partly sunny, with a high near 44.
Thursday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34.
Friday
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 50.
Friday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Saturday
A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 54.
Saturday Night
A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Sunday
A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52.
U.S.A and Global Events for October 30th:
1991: The Perfect Storm, also known as the No-Name Storm reached maximum strength on this day with a low pressure of 972 mb and sustained winds of 69 mph. Click HERE for more information from the History Channel. A book was written on the events of the perfect storm and the movie starring George Clooney and Mark Wahlberg.
Forecast Discussion
-Rain/snow will end this morning with mild weather today Rain/snow continues to taper of as lake effect bands are bringing some snow bands as inland as Big Rapids. Any accumulations will be light to non existent. A weak ridge will build overtop today allowing for dry weather due to the stability and shallow moisture. -Snow expected Tuesday with the potential for higher amounts Models continue to be in fair acquirement on the approaching upper level system. Consensus is that a large trough will move through Wisconsin by Tuesday morning. This large synoptic scale system should couple with lake enhancement to bring snow to the region Tuesday afternoon into early Tuesday evening. The lake remains warm and as such there is decent 925mb-800mb Omega values between 18Z Tuesday until 00Z Wednesday. That is a good indicator of unstable air moving inland from the Lake. Couple that with -7C air at 850 and considering there is RH`s of over 90 percent, that airmass should bring a good opportunity for lake enhanced snow. While overall snowfall amounts remain in the 1 to 3 inch range mainly on the grassy surfaces, the HREF/NAMnest 75 percentile has higher ranges possible. So while those are outliers there is the potential for higher amounts, though there remains uncertainty. That uncertainty is due to timing of the storm as it is coming during the daytime, the warm ground temperatures and thermal profile. However, some locally higher amounts will be possible up across the higher terrain of Central Lower. The bullseye continues to track through SW lower and along with it will bring gusty southerly winds. So snow/blowing snow will be possible early on in the system, though once the low tracks inland the winds will calm down. Model LI`s and CAPE`s remain decent so thunder will be possible over the lake. The forecast question is how much of the moisture will track inland and given the southwesterly flow there could be some fetch that could permeate inland and bring locally higher amounts of snow along the lakeshore, especially to regions between I 96 and US 10, along the US 131 corridor. Best chance for this will be between 18Z Tuesday and 00Z Wednesday. -Drier for the Rest of the Workweek, Rain Chances Return for Weekend Other than some lingering rain/snow along Lake Michigan Tuesday night, drier conditions return with the departing trough. Temperatures are expected to fall into the low to mid 20s for most with some spots potentially dropping into the upper teens toward Mecosta, Osceola, and Clare counties. There could be some slick surfaces Wednesday morning with the falling temperatures and precipitation from the previous day. The upper level pattern will largely be in northwest flow with a couple shortwaves moving through Thursday night and Friday night. Thursday looks to be dry, but rain chances (20 to 30 percent) return Friday night with signs of the low level jet focusing over the area providing some lift with the associated shortwave. 500mb trough and positive vorticity advection then look to move through on Saturday bringing additional chances (30 to 50 percent) for rain over the weekend. For those looking for warmer temperatures, highs will rise each day with temperatures in the 50s expected over the weekend. Low temperatures also increase with above freezing minimums by Friday night.
Its the most wonderful time of year Winter!! Feels fresh outside!! Dust off them Winter coats! INDY
Well I just had a snow shower move over my house. Had some medium sized flakes flying outside. First flakes of the season.
The words of the day are COLD and SNOW! Bring it on!!
Snowing at my house just a few moments ago.
Let it snow, Let it snow, Let it snow!
That is the spirit! Keep it up and enjoy winter!
Looks like the last 2 days of October will look more like winter than fall! Wow!!
Looks like October finishes warmer than average!
Looking forward to the snow tomorrow… looks like a T”-3″, with locally 3″+ to the north
It’s a fun time of year. I need to mow again tonight. Hopefully, this will be one of the last times.
Yea by January I probably won’t be too excited about a 1” snowfall, to put it mildly
I’ll be happy if this winter is like last winter – needed to shovel just 3x and use the snowblower just once. Most snow that fell during the season melted in a few days.
Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow!! Accumulating snow in October! Wow, just wow, wow!
The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 48/41. There was 0.19” of rain fall. There were 20 HDD’s and there was no sunshine. For today the average H/L is 55/38 the record high of 79 was set in 1950 and the record low of 18 was set in 1988. The record rain fall of 2.83” fell in 2009 and the record snow fall of 1.5” fell in 1923. Last year the H/L was 62/36.
Slim
It’s been a wet October here too. It could be interesting for the trick-or-treaters tomorrow night. Not super cold, but a chance of snowflakes and/or rain, and the SPC said we may even see some lightning. Have a great Monday, friends.
If the forecasted high in the upper 30’s plays out it would one of the 5 coldest highs for Halloween at Grand Rapids the last time it did not reach 40 was in 1996. It was 40 in 1995 and 41 in 2017 and 2019. At Lansing were record go back to 1863 there have been 10 years of highs of less than 40 the last time was in 1926. The record snow fall for the day is 1.5″ in 1917 at Grand Rapids and 0.8″ at Lansing in 2019. As for lows the forecasted lows in the low 20’s… Read more »
What? Not super cold? I would say wind chills in the mid 20’s with snow is an extremely COLD Halloween! Incredible cold!