Our irises are in full bloom, and we have a large amount of wild flox in the woods surrounding our house. These are very aromatic flowers, the sweet smell is almost overpowering. We have had only a quarter inch of rain in the past 24 days so it is surprising they are doing so well this year. We will close out the month with 1.15 inches of rain unless we see some today.
Yesterday we reached 91° after a morning low of 52° in Otsego.
The heat will continue for the next several days, though the humidity will be pretty low compared to some other heat waves. There are a few small chances for hit-or-miss rain showers, including this afternoon and evening. Dry weather through the weekend will increase the potential for fires to spread out of control.
An Action Day is in effect for the following Michigan counties... Mason, Oceana, Muskegon, Ottawa, Kent, Allegan, Van Buren, and Kalamazoo. People and businesses are urged to avoid activities which lead to ozone formation. These activities include refueling vehicles or topping off when refueling, using gasoline powered lawn equipment, and using charcoal lighter fluid. Positive activities include car pooling, biking to work, delaying or combining errands, and using water based paints. It is recommended that active children and adults, and persons with respiratory diseases such as asthma, limit prolonged outdoor exertion.
Weather History for SW Michigan
1955: A series of tornadoes put down an intermittent damage path more than 60 miles long from near Schoolcraft in Kalamazoo County to the east of Grand Ledge in Eaton County. One person was injured northwest of Charlotte as a barn was destroyed. Two homes were unroofed and total damage was estimated at 150,000 dollars.
1991: A tornado damaged homes and destroyed outbuildings near Hart in Oceana County.
1895: The second heat wave of the month gets underway with record highs of 94 degrees at Grand Rapids and Lansing.
1947: Muskegon records its latest snow on record as some wet snowflakes mix in with cold rain. The high temperature for the day is only 47 degrees after a low of 35.
1972: A tornado damaged a building under construction five miles west of Jackson.
1989: A tornado struck Van Buren County, moving from east of South Haven to south of Pearl. Several grain elevators were destroyed and windows were blown out of buildings.
1943: A tornado outbreak hit southern Lower Michigan. Ten people were injured as homes were swept away by a powerful tornado that moved southeast of Morrice in Shiawassee County. A tornado killed livestock and destroyed a barn near Morley in Mecosta County. A home near Coopersville in Ottawa County was unroofed by a tornado and three people were injured. Another tornado struck near Bath in Clinton County destroying one barn.
1954: A tornado struck north of Bangor in Van Buren County. Forty barns were damaged or destroyed and one home was unroofed. Damage totaled about half a million dollars.
1998: A squall line of severe thunderstorms moves across Lower Michigan in the early morning with wind gusts between 90 and 120 mph. Thousands of trees are knocked down and hundreds of homes and businesses suffer damage. Sections of the state are declared a major disaster area and thousands are without power, some for several days.
1934: Blistering heat begins the month in one of the Dust Bowl summers of the 1930s. The mercury soared to 102 degrees at Grand Rapids and 97 degrees at Lansing. The 102-degree reading at Grand Rapids is tied for the highest June temperature on June 20, 1953.
1943: A violent tornado injured ten people as it moved from Ingham to Shiawassee County and left a path of destruction 20 miles long. Over 250 farm buildings were damaged or destroyed, including 39 homes and 52 barns. Another tornado hit between Lansing and Bath, causing damage to several farms.
1998: West Michigan was cleaning up from the tremendous destruction caused by the squall line of the day before. Meanwhile, on Lake Michigan, water levels continued to rise and fall several feet at some locations through the day as seiches generated by the extreme winds of the squall line continued more than 24 hours after its passage.
1910: It was a cold day in June as temperatures in the upper 40s in the afternoon were more typical of late March. The high of 47 at Grand Rapids and Muskegon are the coldest high temperatures on record for any day in June. At Lansing, the high was 49 degrees, second only to the 46-degree high on the previous day for being the coldest June day.
1925: Two people were injured as a tornado moved across central Ionia County. A woman was carried 300 feet and left paralyzed and a man was injured in a barn that collapsed.
1950: Thunderstorms dropped one to three inches of rain across the region. Nearly an inch of rain fell in one hour in Grand Rapids, flooding streets and basements. Lansing had a storm total of 2.30 inches, which was a record for the day.
1945: An early June cold spell brought widespread frost and freezing temperatures from June 3rd to the 5th. The temperature bottomed out at 32 degrees at Grand Rapids on the morning of the 4th, a record for the coldest June temperature and the latest freeze.
Weather History for SE Michigan
On May 28, 2013, numerous thunderstorms spawned six confirmed tornadoes in Shiawassee and Genesee Counties between the hours of 8:30 and 10:30 pm. Storm surveys revealed 2 EF0, 2 EF1, and 2 EF2 tornadoes had occurred in addition to sporadic wind damage. The damage included numerous snapped trees, lost roofs, and a destroyed barn. The most significant damage occurred a few miles east of Grand Blanc near the intersection of Hegel and Gale Roads, where a house was nearly destroyed in addition to a garage and external storage facilities.
Also on May 28, 2012, afternoon high temperatures soared to 95 in Detroit and 93 in Flint, both all-time records for the month of May.
Also on May 28, 1991, an F1 tornado spoiled dinner plans for the people of Huron County when it hit at 7:10 PM causing roughly $5000 in property damage.
On May 29, 2011, a thunderstorm complex rolled through southeast Michigan during the peak heating of the day, resulting in scattered wind damage reports across the area, mainly south of Interstate 69. Embedded circulations within the line of thunderstorms lead to localized wind gusts to 80 mph with one EF1 tornado over southern Shiawassee County.
On May 30, 1953, In the Detroit area, Softball size hail was recorded.
On May 31, 1998, a severe squall line moved through all of Lower Michigan during the early morning hours. Wind gusts were measured at 86 mph at the Tri-Cities Airport and at 81 mph at the Essexville Coast Guard.
On May 31, 1999, an F2 tornado moved through the city of Midland at 5:38 PM causing destruction for 2 miles. The total amount of damage caused by this tornado was estimated to be $150,000. This tornado ties with an F2 tornado that moved through Midland County on April 14, 1974, as the strongest tornado to ever hit Midland County.
Also on May 31, 2011, an EF1 tornado with maximum winds estimated to 95 mph hit central Bay County. The path width was 200 yards with a path length of 8.4 miles. The tornado started near Parish Road and 11-mile road just west of the community of Beaver. The tornado then moved through Beaver, crossed Interstate 75, and finally across the south part of Linwood before moving out to Saginaw Bay. A barn was destroyed and homes were damaged near Beaver, mostly to garages and roofing material. Numerous trees were uprooted with snapped large limbs.
On June 1, 2019, a round of afternoon severe thunderstorms brought damaging wind gusts and hail up to half dollar size across Lenawee and Monroe Counties as well as the Metro Detroit area.
On June 1, 1973, an F1 tornado hit Saginaw County at 6:15 PM and caused $250,000 in damage.
Also, on June 1 in 1910, the temperature rose to 104 degrees in Saginaw County. This is the earliest a 100-degree day has occurred in the year for our County Warning Area.
On June 2, 1988 rain was actually recorded at Saginaw (.11), Flint (.47), and Detroit (.37). This was one of just three days in June 1988 that had rainfall. This led to the driest June on record in Flint (.63 inches total) and Saginaw (.61 inches), and the second driest in Detroit (.97 inches).
On June 2, 1971, an F1 tornado hit Genesee County at 5:12 PM and caused $250,000 in damage.
On June 3, 2007, the remnants of Tropical Storm Barry combined with an upper low pressure produced widespread heavy rainfall. The heaviest of the rain fell over southwest Livingston County with estimates of up to 5 inches. This caused some flooded roads but also raised lake levels on the many lakes in that area, threatening local property.
Also on June 3, 1973, two F0 tornadoes hit Genesee County between 5:15 and 5:30 PM, but only caused about $3,000 in damage.
Grand Rapids Forecast
We continue to expect a few more showers and even an isolated storm to form this afternoon and evening focused on the western half of the area. High pressure at the sfc and aloft remains in control of the weather over the region. The difference from a couple of days ago that facilitates the rain chances (although limited) is the better moisture that has arrived over the area. Dew points yesterday were mainly in the 50s, and that allowed for more cumulus development, and even an isolated shower. Today, we will see some lower 60s dew points near the lake breeze boundary. Temps near 90 and dew points in the lower 60s will produce around 1000 J/kg of ML CAPE to work with. Good convergence along the lake breeze (SE flow inland against NW lake breeze) will help to pop the few showers and storms. The flow aloft and the sfc being weak will keep deep layer shear values quite low, and severe potential very low. Most of the showers and storms will be of the pulse variety with quick downpours, and outflow boundaries setting off additional convection. These will die off toward sunset. Conditions will be somewhat similar on Thursday afternoon, but there are some minor differences that would support a little less coverage of any pop up showers/isolated storms. Instability is fairly similar with ML CAPEs expected to build up to around 1000 J/kg once again with temps near 90F and dew points in the lower 60s. The difference is that the convergence along the lake breeze may not be as pronounced as the flow will be more from SE initially, then becoming from the SSW as the lake breeze develops. .LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 342 AM EDT Wed May 31 2023 Daytime lake breeze near the shoreline aside, high temperatures in the 90s are likely for Friday and possible again Saturday. The center of high pressure will be relocating from the eastern Great Lakes to N/NW of the Great Lakes at the time, turning surface winds more from the northeast. However, a large plume of 17-18 C air at 850 mb will have been wrapped in over the region (according to the ECMWF ensemble) on Friday. These 850 temps are good enough to be in the 90th percentile in mid July based on the DTX sounding history, and in early June it`s not very far from record warm. The air Fri is also likely to be drier than the slightly more humid air of Wed/Thu, and relative humidity could drop to about 20 percent during the day. Fire weather concerns will remain higher than usual through the weekend, especially in the northern conifer forests. Slightly less- dry air may flow through on Saturday, though winds may be a little breezier on both Sat and Sun. Somewhat cooler (less hot) air may move through on Sun but it could be very dry again. Members within the ECMWF and Canadian ensembles diverge quite a bit with temperature solutions for our area early next week, depending on the westward extent of the upper level trough and cooler air digging into Quebec and New England. Some relief from the heat does appear likely, though precipitation chances will remain limited.