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Same Old Story

Yesterday we had a high of 89° and a low of 53° with mostly clear skies.  Our last good rainfall was on August 17.

I always wondered what meteorologists talked about in the desert SW where they have over 340 days of sunny weather.  We will continue our sunny dry pattern for at least another week, end of story.


Weather History

1939: A record breaking heat wave begins with the temperature hitting 95 degrees at Grand Rapids.

1952: Muskegon reaches 92 degrees for their third record high temperature in a row.

1962: A severe thunderstorm struck Lansing with wind gusts over 65 mph, producing light damage across the city.

2008: Five tornadoes strike southern Lower Michigan. Four of the tornadoes were spawned by one thunderstorm. A car dealership and a restaurant were damaged in Paw Paw and weak tornadoes damaged trees near Mattawan in Allegan County, Millers Corner in Kalamazoo County, and Brookfield in Eaton County. Several buildings had roof damage from a tornado that struck Plymouth in Wayne County.

9 13 storms 2008 – Radarscope archive

On September 13, 2019, severe storms tracked across the Metro Detroit and Thumb regions. Hail up to golf ball sized was observed in southwest Oakland County while a wind gust to 72 mph was measured over the Detroit River.

9 13 2019 storms – Radarscope archives

On September 13, 2008, tropical rains started to fall over Southeast Lower Michigan. In about 48 hours from the evening of September 12 to the evening of September 14, 3 to 6 inches of rain fell. The rain was in part due to a slow moving cold front that crossed Lower Michigan associated with moisture from a Pacific tropical storm and the remnants directly from Hurricane Ike that struck the Texas coast on September 12.

Also on September 13, 1962, in Wayne county there were wind gusts of 73 mph along with a thunderstorm.


NWS Forecast

Today
Sunny, with a high near 86. East southeast wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. East southeast wind 6 to 8 mph.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. East southeast wind 6 to 8 mph.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. East southeast wind around 7 mph.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. South southeast wind around 7 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 59.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 88.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 85.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 84.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 58.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 82.

Forecast Discussion

- Fair and Very Warm Conditions Today and Saturday

Ridging at the sfc and aloft will continue to dominate the wx
pattern and result in fair and unseasonably warm wx today and
Saturday. H8 temps around 17C and h5 heights around 588 dM suggest
high temps should easily reach the mid 80s the next couple of
days.

Some high cloud cover is expected today due to the remnants of
Francine. In addition some smoke aloft will result in hazy
conditions at times. Low temps tonight will range from the mid 50s
to low 60s with partly cloudy skies.

- Very Warm and Dry Conditions Persist through Next Week

The mid to upper level anticyclonic flow prevails through the
period.  Subsidence associated with this feature will support
keeping the forecast dry.  The GFS and Canadian do try to draw some
Atlantic moisture in from the east southeast for the middle part of
next week. However the ensemble qpf forecasts for these models have
only one or two members with precipitation, while nearly all the
other members are dry. For this reason we will keep the forecast
dry.

Forecast 850 mb temperatures remain generally in 14 to 16 deg C
range through the period.  Mixing to this level supports max
temperatures into the 80`s each day.  The Canadian does show a dip in
the max temperatures for middle part of next week, but that appears
to be related to the moisture/clouds that its trying to advect over
the Appalachians.  For now we will keep high temperatures in the
80`s each day until it becomes more certain that values will be
lower.
newest oldest
INDY
INDY

Temps in the 80’s during the day and lows still fall into the 50’s at night makes for perfect bond fire weather who doesn’t love Fall??? INDY

INDY
INDY

Not even October and the trees are already starting to look beautiful around west Michigan can we say early peak this year I love it! INDY

Slim

It has been very dry so that is one reason for some of the change.
Slim

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

I seen a couple monarch the other day. I think they are beginning their southward flight out of here. When I lived in Byron Center 10+ years ago we were along a flight path for monarch. There would be butterfly’s all over. They would gather in the trees by our house. If I had to guess probably hundreds. It really was a beautiful thing to see. We had lots of milkweed in the field by our house.

Mookie
Mookie

We have at least another 2 weeks of full blown summer. I love long summers!

Slim

In recent years there has been many times that September 10th to the 20th has has many warm summer like days. That could be a new trend.
Slim

Nathan (Forest Hills)
Nathan (Forest Hills)

We are the time of year where it can be summer or fall depending on the pattern. Clearly summer is going to stick around for a while… but that will change eventually. Still not much to talk about, even the tropical are (relatively) slow for this time of year

Slim

Yesterday was yet another dry, warm September day. The official H/L was 86/55 there was no rainfall, and the sun was out 91% of the time. For today the average H/L is now down to 75/54 the record high of 95 was set in 1939 and 1952 the coldest high of 52 was set in 1923, the record low of 35 was set in 1975 the warmest low of 69 was set in 1927. The most rainfall of 2.46” fell in 1962. The overnight low and current temperature in MBY is 58.
Slim