Yesterday we had a high temperature of 57° and a low of 34°. We have had rain overnight and it continues at 6 am this morning.
Showers early this morning will decrease, but patchy drizzle will linger along with cloudy skies. This afternoon scattered showers redevelop and continue into tonight. Winds this morning will be from the southeast at 5 to 15 mph then this afternoon from the southwest 10 to 15 gusting to 25 mph.
Weather History
1975: A powerful storm brought high winds across Lower Michigan, toppling trees and power lines. A tornado was spun up by the storm, damaging mobile homes and a barn in Allegan County. The Edmund Fitzgerald sank in Lake Superior during the storm, with a crew of 29 men. There were no survivors. The ore carrier left Superior, Wisconsin on November 9 loaded with 26,116 tons of taconite pellets. The cargo was to be delivered to Detroit, but the ship ran into winds of at least 60 mph and high waves and foundered at about 730 pm north of Whitefish Point.
1998: A November storm lashes the Great Lakes with wind gusts up to 90 mph. Over 167,000 homes were without power and cleanup efforts were extensive as many homes and businesses suffered roof and siding damage and thousands of trees were blown down. The high winds literally blew much of the water out of Saginaw Bay, with the water level dropping several feet and large sections of the Bay becoming dry land for a time. A waterspout on Lake Michigan briefly moved inland near Muskegon, but rapidly dissipated and caused no damage.
On November 10, 2020, a streak of record warm conditions came to an end. Detroit and Saginaw saw daily high temperature records broken four days in a row (Nov. 7 to Nov. 10) while Flint had three daily high temperature records broken (Nov. 8 to Nov. 10). It was the second warmest first 10 days of November on record for Flint and Saginaw, while it was the fourth warmest for Detroit.
On November 10, 1998, a very intense storm system moved north across the western Great Lakes on the 10th. This storm occurred on the 23rd anniversary of the sinking of the Edmund Fitzgerald in Lake Superior, and was actually very comparable to that storm. High winds occurred in two phases. Winds reached high wind criteria across southeast Michigan early in the afternoon of the 10th, associated with a cold front racing east across the state. A line of showers accompanied the front, locally enhancing wind speeds (see below). Wind speeds increased again in the evening. The highest winds during the entire event occurred within a couple of hours of midnight. Both periods of high winds caused significant damage across the area. In the afternoon, the walls of a church under construction were destroyed in Troy. A warehouse in Flint was deroofed, and a second warehouse roof was damaged. Damage was more widespread with the higher wind speeds that occurred at night. Trees, limbs, and power lines were downed across all of southeast Michigan. In Owosso, a roof under construction collapsed, and a church under construction in Ida (Monroe County) was also damaged. Near Mt. Clemens, a boat rack storing a number boats of collapsed. A 70 mph wind gust was measured at the National Weather Service office in White Lake. The extended period of strong winds caused an interesting phenomenon on Saginaw Bay. Southwest gales pushed water out of the bay and into the main body of Lake Huron. The water level on Saginaw Bay bottomed out at an amazing 50 inches below chart datum! Most of Saginaw Bay is quite shallow, and the removal of over 5 feet of water exposed a huge portion of the bay bed; some estimate that up to half of the area of the bay briefly became dry land during the storm.
NWS Forecast
Forecast Discussion
- Unsettled Weather Through Monday As low-level dry air erodes this morning, rain is beginning across West Michigan. This rainfall is a result of a vertically stacked upper low and its surface reflection, visible on satellite across the Central Plains, making its way into the region. Rain will expand east over the first part of the morning, exiting the area shortly after daybreak as mid-level dry slot moves in. A general 1/4" to 1/2" of rain is likely south of I96, with totals closer to 1/10" near US10. Once the mid-level dry slot moves in, low clouds with patchy drizzle are expected. Southerly flow looks to allow temps to climb to near 60 today briefly ahead of the occluded front. Round two of rain showers arrives late this Afternoon into this evening as wrap-around moisture and instability with the arrival of the H5 cold-pool allow for the development of additonal showers. Winds behind the occluded front initiate cold advection and cause 850mb temps to fall into the low single digits adding lake enhancement. A few rumbles of thunder cannot be ruled out as the cold pool steepens mid-level lapse rates to exceed 7C/km, however chances look to be too low to include in the outgoing forecast. As the upper-low pulls out tonight, widespread rainfall comes to an end across the area. However, cold 850mb temps persist under the troughing pattern. This keeps shallow lake effect showers/drizzle possible through Monday and by extention 20-30 percent rain chances in the forecast. Breezy conditions are also likely given a 30+ knot low-level jet at 925mb in the cold advection pattern. Gusts to at least 30 mph are likely. - Dry Stretch Outside of Some Rain Chances Wednesday Increasing heights, subsidence aloft, and 925 mb temperatures around 0 C will bring clearing skies Monday night into Tuesday morning along with colder temperatures in the 20s to low 30s. High pressure will give us another enjoyable November day Tuesday with highs mainly in the 40s. Tuesday night into Wednesday morning will be similar with temperatures falling into the 20s to low 30s. The midweek rain system continues to vary in the ensembles on arrival time whether it be late Wednesday afternoon or Wednesday night. The better probabilities continue to be during the overnight timeframe, but overall any rain amounts look to be light with probabilities of greater than a tenth of an inch around 40 percent and probabilities of greater than a quarter of an inch around 20 percent. Increasing heights return behind the trough as it departs Thursday with dry conditions expected through the end of the work week. Temperatures are expected to be warmer Wednesday into the weekend with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s which is typical for this time of year.
There was a short lived tornado warning south Alma. I had no idea until the alert came through my car stereo.
It’s mid November, right??
.42 inches of rain so far. 2.16 inches for the month.
Here in MBY I recorded 0.22” of rainfall. The overnight low was 45 and at the current time there is light rain falling and the temperature is 48.
Slim
The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 55/33 there was no rain or snow. The highest wind gust was 24 MPH out of the SE. The sun was out 51% of the time. For today the average H/L is 50/34 the record high of 75 was in 2022 the coldest high was 27 in 1933 and 2017. The record low of 16 was set in 1957 the warmest low of 57 was set in 2020. The wettest was 1.37” in 1998 the most snowfall of 3.8” fell in 2018 the most on the ground was 4” in 1921. Last… Read more »