We will add to our meager rainfall today. Most areas have seen only a quarter inch or less for the month. We will also begin to lose the heat, the temperatures for the week should drop into the 70s for highs. Our high for yesterday was 90° down here in the valley, the low dropping to 58°.
A cold front will progress through Lower Michigan today. Rain showers will spread from west to east over the course of the afternoon and evening. An isolated thunderstorm is possible as well. Most highs today will top out in the 70s. Winds will shift from the south at 5 to 10 mph this morning around to the north this afternoon.
WPC Forecast
Percent chance of .50 inch
Rainfall totals through Monday
Weather History
1952: Hail covered the ground like snow in Cascade Township, near Grand Rapids.
1961: A tornado hit two miles north of Marne. One person was injured and three buildings were heavily damaged.
On September 22, 2005, 3.62 inches of rainfall fell in Flint from multiple rounds of severe thunderstorms. Flash flooding was reported in both Genesee and Lapeer Counties. The severe thunderstorms produced wind damage mainly along the I 69 and I 94 corridors.
NWS Forecast
Forecast Discussion
- Showers and isolated storms this afternoon, then dry and cooler A cold front is slowly moving east across central WI early this morning. Showers and thunderstorms continue to develop ahead of this front and we`ll likely see rain this afternoon as the front moves over the cwa. Based on forecast soundings, instability is the lacking ingredient this afternoon. LI`s are largely above 0c and CAPE values are generally a couple of hundred joules/kg as the front moves through. There is good moisture convergence along the front thanks to a 40 kt LLJ and precipitable water values that climb to near 2 inches. Shear values are decent, though, at 40 kts. We`ll continue with the idea of most locations seeing rainfall. Roughly a quarter to half inch of rain is expected before the front moves through and precipitation moves east. RH progs suggest that clearing will occur from the northwest late tonight and spread across the cwa Monday. After highs in the mid 70s today, highs will be around 70 Monday. - Rain chances Monday Night through Wednesday Shortwaves in both the southern and northern streams will converge on the Great Lakes in the early to mid week time frame. A surface low will move into the area on Tuesday lingering in the area Tuesday night. Deeper moisture can be seen on GFS Bufkit overviews from Monday night through much of Wednesday. We have 30-60 pct chances for precipitation (highest south) as the low moves through the area. PWAT values reach the 1.00 to 1.50 inch range with the low, so precipitation amounts could be locally towards 1.00 inch, but most areas will stay well below that. - Model differences in latter half of work week Differences between the ECWMF and GFS begin to show up Wednesday night in terms of how the upper pattern evolves. The GFS has more in the way of ridging through the Thursday through Saturday time frame, while the ECMWF has an upper low nudging our direction from the mid Mississippi valley. Bottom line at this point is we will feature dry weather for much of the Wednesday and Thursday time frame. Model blends give us isolated chances for rain Friday and Saturday. We will roll with that at this point, as confidence is low in the most likely solution at this point for day 6 and 7. Temperatures will be near normals early in the week with the clouds and precipitation, warming to above normal once again by the end of the week. 70s for highs look likely Thursday and Friday.
0.3” of rain at my house from this event. Not a ton, but a step in the right direction. Love the cool air outside right now
Glad it rained. Maybe some of it will get the chance to “soak in”.
Finally I got some decent rainfall! Up to .75 inches! I love it and now highs closer to 70 degrees next week! The trend towards winter has arrived! Incredible!
What?! We got maybe 0.1.
We had a 2 hr stretch with moderate to heavy rainfall!
Rain looks like it is struggling to push inland.
Bring on the rain! These temps out right now are so much more refreshing. I’d be happy if we didn’t see another 80+ till next summer.
Rock on and let’s get geared up a big winter!
Hopefully it’s a snowy one!
The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 88/59 there was no rainfall the sun was out 62% of the time. There was some dense fog to start the day. For today the average H/L is 72/51 the record high of 95 was set in 2017 the coldest high of 50 was set in1995 and 1913. The record low of 33 was set in 1976 the warmest low of 68 was set in 2019. The most rainfall of 3.14” fell in 1988.
Slim
The first batch of rain will be tracking North of GR! Our only hope will be the trailing second batch? Pathetic!