Twas the night before another winter weather advisory
And all through the state, all the humans were startled of having to wait
For another snow of an inch or less or the best the models could guess
With hopes of a foot or more, some hung their heads in distress.
We had another inch of snow overnight, as I said, we are getting inched to death this winter. With twelve days left of the meteorological winter, our dreams of even being close to average are lost unless we can pick up a quick snowstorm of a couple of feet. Being a man of positive attitude our mild winter has been great news for those who dislike hard winters – heating bills are lower, it has been easier to take being outside, easier to drive on Michigan roads (with the exception of craters forming) and less stress on our bodies having to shovel the snow.
Today and tomorrow winter will be straining with its last gasp with windy conditions and falling temps, perhaps a few snowflakes mixed in as a teaser. After that temps will begin to rise once again to above normal melting the snow leaving some weeping as another winter closes the door behind them.
I am not even going to try to guess what March will bring, as I and most of the Mets have failed miserably, however it all is only a crapshoot and I am not going to apologize or hang my head in shame.
NWS Discussion:
-- Low chances for snow tonight through Thursday -- This will be from a combination of a frontal boundary and lake effect. An upper wave clipping across Northern Michigan will push a cold front down into Lower Michigan late tonight and Wednesday morning. Saturation in the DGZ is not too impressive per model forecast soundings, but we could see a few flurries or a dusting of snow near/north of I-96 where low-level lapse rates look to become quite steep and where better moisture will be placed. Steepening lapse rates and rising inversion heights over Lake Michigan in the wake of the front, and greater saturation of the DGZ will increase potential for lake effect snow. That being said, inversion heights only look to peak at 4000 feet late tonight/early Wednesday morning per NAM forecast soundings, and not much accumulation is expected even within the lake effect belts. It looks like we could see a lull in activity Wednesday before another shot of cold air Wednesday night brings another round of scattered lake effect showers with only light accumulations. -- Brief stretch of cold weather tonight through Friday morning -- Similar to a few other stretches we have seen this winter, a mid- week intrusion of arctic air into the area will be short-lived. High temperatures Wednesday and Thursday will only reach the 20s, while low temperatures Thursday and Friday mornings drop into the single digits to low teens. Winds do not look strong during this period, and expect wind chills to stay above zero and frostbite times to remain more than 30 minutes.
We have a very cold week on tap and then another cold front the middle of next week for more below normal temps! This after mookie said no cold air around here for at least 4 weeks! Once again the facts get in the way of the warm wether fantasies! Incredible!
Only five of the 17 days this month have had below average temperatures.
like I said a cold week ahead and then another cold front and trend towards below normal temps by the middle of next week! How is that possible with all he warm weather hype?
You said “more below normal temps,” which would lead the reader to believe that we have experienced below normal temps, which is untrue.
Sounds like March could make up for lost winter time!!!!
I have been saying this for awhile lots of cold air is to our north and warm lks will make for some heavy snows in March mark it down …INDY
+1000
Here’s a fun read. The graphs are a true indicator of what this winter has been like.
https://www.mlive.com/weather/2020/02/3-weather-items-on-the-early-spring-checklist-what-do-they-say.html
Nice find Mark! All rings true with no ice on the big lake and little to no snow pack. Best statement……” While we will have a couple of one to two day cooldowns, you don’t see anything that looks like a full-scale weather pattern change.”
Great post, MV. Made me audibly chuckle.
What little snow we received overnight was melted and washed way by morning. At least the roads were clear for the morning commute.
The snow is melting! The snow is melting! I love how quickly it melts late in the season.
Hopefully everyone is done with their claims to snow and cold and the lack of. Here are some facts. Officially yesterday Grand Rapids recorded 1.7” of snow fall that brings February to 13.8” (the 30 year average for a 28 day February is 14.8” so GR needs just one more inch to be average for the month) For meteorological winter GR now has 39.6” and for the season 46.4” As of yesterday at 7 AM GRR reported 2” of snow on the ground. Today I have 2.5” on the ground. Grand Rapids has a chance of making the average snow… Read more »
Ah yes, the voice of reason (aka SlimJim). Keep up the good work, friend.
Lol….In other Weather news …I love the fact that yes I like it cooler and prefer snow storms over thunderstorms but I love the warm weather also just not the 95 100 degrees heat like a the 3 or 4 on here do so let Winter be done I really don’t care like I used to say to berry before I stopped reading his post carry onnnn!! I do love Sprites bring on Spring tommorrow but I really don’t see that happening soon from being a 4 season Weather junkeee.. NDY
Facts – up in snow country they have received over a foot of snow in the last 10 days and conditions are in mid season form! Awesome!
Check out the snow depths up in snow county! Currently 1 to 2 feet!!!! They are having a great season up there! I will be heading up there again very soon! I love it!
https://weatherstreet.com/weather-forecast/michigan-snow-cover.htm
6 out of 7 up north reporting locations are reporting below average snowfall – with the highly questionable West Branch location the only outlier. Gaylord and Traverse City are now more than a foot of snow below average.
I looked at the West Branch daily reports and see no reason to question the snow fall totals there.
Slim
Records don’t go back very far there, right? I remember you questioning West Branch just last week.
The reported records at West Branch going back to 1952 are well kept up to date before that not so much. I see no reason question the total reported for this winter season. In the past there are some years where the seasonal totals are not recorded but there are monthly totals. Being that far south and east (for norther lower Michigan) they do not get as much lake effect as locations to their north and west. So bottom like is they would generally get less snow then Houghton Lake and Alpena but more snow than Saginaw and that seems… Read more »
Breaking weather new>>>> by the middle or end of next week a cold front will be moving through to break the mini warm up and increase our snow chances! We will be seeing tons of snow yet this season! Forget warm Spring temps and face the facts! Cold and snow will rule!
Lots of cold air coming looks that way into March probably more snow to with all the warm lakes INDY …
Exactly Indy! Keep the facts coming – you are right on the money!
Nothing better than lake effect in March! This could turn out to be a wild ride over the next 6 or7 weeks!
You mean that map you posted that showed 1″ for GR for the next 3 weeks? LOL
We aren’t even close to 50″ of snow on the season Rocky promised us over a week ago, and there’s no big accumulating snow in sight for weeks. Bring on spring!
We have had snow now for the last 11 out of 13 days I’m thinking the CPC has been of it’s rocker with all that red you been showing the blog ..I still have over 5 inches of snow on the ground NE of GR it’s been that way for most of February so much for less snow chances coming in February right? INDY
It’s been a warm month once again. CPC has been spot on and another big warm up coming!
Big warm up looking cooler and cooler everyday as it gets closer sorry ….INDY
Rock on Indy, you know mookie is always making stuff up to spin his warm weather bias! Incredible!
Let it snow let it snow let it snow ….INDY
You know it!
When school is closed INDY goes back to bed no work today for him safety of my kids being home alone is most important even at 16 lol….Good night thanks mother nature …..INDY
Well the last time Northview Public did not close during winter was 13 years ago well that record won’t be added on this year we are closed today due to very slippery roads NE of GR great call NWS….Have a safe but fun Winter day kidos …..INDY
I can’t remember the last time we went an entire season without a snow day. To our kids’ dismay, we have not had one yet this season.
Even a lot of schools in Kent county closed due to the horrible and dangerous roads including Rockford and Sparta! Incredible!
Get ready! Low temps in the single digits coming up this week! Wow!
Thanks NWS for doing your job! Keep it up!
What a storm! There are tons of schools closed due to the dangerous road conditions! Thank you NWS! Great call! Incredible!
36 degrees and cloudy with an inch of snow overnight. Very dangerous LOL
WOOD is reporting no significant precipitation for the next 8 days and a big warm up!
“A mild and dry weather pattern will develop with the cold air staying in Canada and mild Pacific air flooding the Great Lakes Region.”
Even though Rocky and Indy said we were getting “hammered” last night, it was another failed WWA with a whole inch of snow. Not surprised!
Getting hammered last night ?? Lol… probably mokiee on hot cocoa becouse it’s below his 40’s and no snow hes been saying since January is coming ….INDY
Yep, Rocky is sure excitable over an inch of snow.
“Currently we are getting hammered with snow! Keep it coming baby!” Rocky
Yup but still no 40’s and less snow chances for February right?? INDY
I see lots more 40’s upcoming. So does WOOD.
Love the little poem! Only about a meager inch here as well, but no way to measure it because it’s already all melted since temps have been well above freezing most of the night. With virtually no accumulating snow in any of the 10 day forecasts, could February also end up below normal in snow? How can this be possible?
We have plenty of cold air and snow chances coming up over the next 2 woks and snow country looks incredible! Bring it!
https://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/conussfc.php?run=2020021806&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=384
Huh? This map shows about an inch of snow for GR for the next month or so LOL
Get ready for another 3 day cold snap, then a brief warm up and then more cold and snow! I love it!