We can expect partly sunny skies today with high temperatures in the low 50s once again. Temperatures should remain in the 50s the rest of the week with good chances of another soaking rain event beginning Wednesday night through the weekend.
SW Michigan Forecast
U.S.A and Global Events for October 9th:
1804: The famous Snow Hurricane moved ashore near Atlantic City on this day. After briefly passing through Connecticut and into Massachusetts, cold air was entrained in the circulation with heavy snow falling between New York to southern Canada. Berkshires Massachusetts and Concord New Hampshire recorded two feet of snow with this hurricane. This storm produced the first observation of snow from a hurricane, but not the last. Hurricane Ginny of 1963 brought up to 18 inches (400 mm) of snow to portions of Maine. Click HERE for more information from the New England Historical Society.
The photograph above is the Old North Church in Boston. This second steeple was replaced after being toppled by the 1804 hurricane.
The graphic above is from a tweet by the NWS Office in Boston, MA.
The image above was taken by a Kiowa County Deputy, Doug Beamon, one mile north of Cordell, OK at ~5:30 PM CDT on 10/09/2001.
2013: The Puglia region of southern Italy saw tornadoes on this day. Click HERE for more information on the website, Severe Weather Europe.
Forecast Discussion
Satellite shows persistent cloud cover south and west of a Ludington to Grand Rapids to Jackson from lake effect cloud formation. A few isoalted showers are ongoing across out southwest forecast surface area where better surface convergence is in place in northwest flow. Areas to the north and east are generally clear at present but clouds increase over the coming hours as a retrograding low moves into Ontario. This will keep frost potential to only patchy frost. Am thinking lake effect shower coverage will be lower as a combination of lowering inversion heights, negative PVA associated with a departing shortwave and low-level dry air. The retrograding surface low pressure system, aided by shortwaves rotating around a retrograding upper-low, promotes more robust low- level moisture across the northern forecast area Monday Night into Tuesday while drier air remains in place across the southern forecast area keeping higher rain chances north. Rain amounts look to be near or below 0.1 inches. Regardless, the upper-low overhead keeps plenty of cloud cover in place during the early part of the work week, holding highs in the upper forties to low fifties. The approaching low also promotes a wind shift to westerly. .LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 329 AM EDT Mon Oct 9 2023 The long term period continues to feature cooler than normal temperatures overall and the chance for precipitation almost every forecast period. There are two main players in the forecast in terms of the mid levels. The first is an upper low clearly seen in water vapor imagery spinning over a large part of the Great Lakes and Eastern Canada. The second is an upper shortwave driving east through the Gulf of Alaska over the Pacific. The former is replaced in the long term by the latter overhead. As for the details...the current upper low will retrograde a bit and even nudge south towards our area. The result will be lake effect rain production from the short term persisting into the long term on Tuesday night. The precipitation chances gradually shut down Wednesday morning as a surface col sets up. The Pacific shortwave will drive east through the Rockies Wednesday and Wednesday night and emerge into the Plains on Thursday. At the surface a warm front will work our direction from the south and bring the chance of showers to I-94 as early as Wednesday night. The more significant weather in the long term will occur between Thursday and Saturday as the upper shortwave moves through the Great Lakes region. A surface low will be present as well moving off to the east on Saturday. Periods of rain can be expected Thursday through Saturday. 7 day precipitation totals via WPC remain fairly significant with widespread 1.50 to 3.00 inches in the forecast. Suffice it to say the long term looks wet. We will continue to monitor forecast precipitation amounts and the threat of some minor flooding. We dry out a bit for Sunday and Monday in northerly flow behind the Thu-Sat system. The air will be plenty cold enough for lake effect rain, but the precipitation given a north flow will be near Lake Michigan
Day after day with below normal temps and no change is in sight! Incredible!
The official H/L yesterday was 55/37 There were several lake effect rain showers. One of the showers had wind gust of up to 45 MPH. Between showers there was 40% of possible sunshine. The day had 19 HDD’s For today the average H/L is down to 64/44 the record high of 84 was set in 1939 and 2018 the record low of 23 was set in 1989. The record rain fall amount of 2.58” fell in 1958 and the record snow fall was a trace in 1945. Last year the H/L was 65/36 and there was a trace of rain fall
Slim
What a pattern! The cool air just keeps coming and coming! Wow!!! Rock n roll will never die!
I am looking forward to the first frost. Perhaps it will cut down on the allergens. Also, my lawn is still growing like mad. I’ve mowed enough this year.
While not the frost you are looking for. With a current temperature of 35 and clear skies there is some light frost here in MBY.
Slim
We had frost yesterday night… and allergies are still bad this morning. We might need a freeze to really get rid of the allergens
I had heavy frost this morning! Winter will be here before you know it! I love it!