Winter continues with a confusion of air currents bringing mostly clouds with shots of snow mixed with rain. Last night we saw wet snow with around an inch of accumulation ending with light rain. Further north of Grand Rapids snow fell in amounts of five to seven inches where temps were in the 20s. Here in Otsego, I claim this to be snowman snow – easily packed into snowballs and rolled to make whatever creature or being considered.
I would say for us in lower Michigan south of I96 we will be hard-pressed to catch up on predicted snowfall for the winter. Fifty plus inches over the next six weeks would be nearly catastrophic though not unheard of should lake effect kick in over the western counties. We would need a major Arctic outbreak which I am not seeing. Like last year we have had more snow from synoptic events rather than lake effect, though the cooler winds across the lake have created more clouds we haven’t had the cold air from the northwest to produce much snow.
We may see a brief period of Arctic air move through later this week as an elongated piece breaks off and rotates through the Great Lakes for a whole day. I look at this as an Arctic tongue sticking out at us, taunting as it passes by. The Arctic low hasn’t moved much this winter remaining mainly in its usual home in the Arctic circle.
We may see some lake effect Tuesday with a westerly wind kicking up, however, air temps will not be extremely cold to give us copious amounts. Our next event to watch with be in the Wednesday/Thursday timeframe when we may see another few inches of snowfall in the area with rain mixing in the southern counties.