November is the last of the “Fall” months and it can at times be close to a winter month. The average H/L starts out at 53.6/37.8 and falls to 41.0/28.6 by the 30th. The warmest mean for November is 47.6 in 1931 and the coldest mean is 31.0 in 1951. The record high for the month is 81 on November 1st, 1950, and just 25 days later the low fell all the way down to -10° November 1950 for the record low. November 1950 had a spread of 92° that is the biggest temperature spread of any month at Grand Rapids. On average 7.4” of snow falls in November. Here are some of the top 5 for November at Grand Rapids.
The warmest. 1st place 47.6 in 1932, 2nd place 46.8 in 2001, 3rd place 45.5 in 2015, 4th place 45.4 in 2016, 5th place 44.7 in 1975. The coldest 1st place 31.0 in 1951, 2nd place 31.4 in 1976, 3rd place 32.0 in 1995, 4th place 33.2 in 1996, and 5th place 33.5 in 1969. The most snowfall 1st place 31.0” in 2014, 2nd place 28.0” in 2022, 3rd place 26.9” in 1951, 4th place 25.3” in 1991 and 5th place 23.0 in 2000. Least snowfall 1st and 2nd place none in 1906 and 1907 There have been 5 other years with a trace the last time was in 2001. The top 5 for rainfall are 1st place 7.90” in 2003, 2nd place 7.81” 1966, 3rd place 7.14” in 1990, 4th place 6.41” in 1991 and 5.64” in 1992. The least rainfall 1st place 0.06” in 1904, 2nd place 0.43” in 1936, 3rd place 0.49” in 2012, 4th place 0.63” in 1962 and 5th place 0.76” in 1939.
Last year the mean at Grand Rapids was 39.7 the high for the month was 66 on the 16th the low was 18 on the 25th and 28th there was 1.67” of precipitation of that 1.8” was snowfall.
Do not forget to change your clocks that do not change by them selves before you go to bed tonight to “Wintertime” or as the old saying was “fall back”
The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 50/34 there was 0.02” of rainfall the sun was out 29% of the possible time. The highest wind gust was 36MPH out of the W. For today the average H/L is 53/37 the record high of 77 was set in 1938 the coldest high of 31 was set in 1951 the record low of 18 was also set in 1951. The warmest low of 60 was set in 1936. The most rainfall of 2.69” fell in 2003 the most snowfall of 1.5” fell in 1991. Last year the H/L was 52/36. The overnight low so far here in MBY is 29 and that is the current reading with clear skies.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
332 AM EDT SAT NOV 2 2024
KEY MESSAGES
– DRY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
– OCCASIONAL RAIN PERSISTS MONDAY AND TUESDAY
– WINDY TUESDAY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 332 AM EDT SAT NOV 2 2024
– DRY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON
SURFACE HIGH IN PLACE EARLY THIS MORNING YIELDS CLEAR SKIES AND
LIGHT WINDS. TEMPS AS OF 3AM ARE ALREADY IN THE MID 20S ACROSS
THE INTERIOR US-10 CORRIDOR, UPPER 20S NORTH OF I-96, AND LOW 30S
ELSEWHERE. WOULDN’T BE SURPRISE TO SEE TEMPS DROP A COUPLE MORE
DEGREES WITH EFFICIENT RADIATIONAL COOLING PRIOR TO SUNRISE.
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE EXPECTED TODAY AS THE AXIS OF THE SURFACE RIDGE
MOVES OVERHEAD. TEMPS WILL PEAK IN THE LOW TO MID 50S THIS AFTERNOON
WITH LIGHT WINDS.
CLOUDS INCREASE SUNDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON AS A LONGWAVE TROUGH
OVER THE WESTERN CONUS AMPLIFIES AND SLOWLY TRAVERSES EAST,
EJECTING THE FIRST OF SEVERAL SHORTWAVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES
REGION. RAIN CHANCES WILL RAMP UP SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
MARKING THE START OF A FEW RAINY DAYS.
– OCCASIONAL RAIN PERSISTS MONDAY AND TUESDAY
MODELS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE THE IMPRESSIVE PLUME OF GULF MOISTURE
PERSISTING MONDAY AND INTO TUESDAY. PWAT’S CLIMB UP TO AROUND 1.5
INCHES AND THEY STAY THAT WAY THROUGH TUESDAY. ON MONDAY, UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS SEEN ALONG WITH THE ARRIVAL OF A LOW LEVEL JET.
THIS COMBINATION WILL GENERATE DEEPER LIFT, ESPECIALLY OVER
NORTHWEST PARTS OF THE CWA. THEN ON TUESDAY THE RIGHT ENTRANCE
REGION OF THE JET TRAVERSES THE CWA WITH ANOTHER LOW LEVEL JET
MOVING IN UNDERNEATH. ALSO THAT IS WHEN THE MAIN MID LEVEL WAVE
ARRIVES, WHICH IS SHOWN TO LIFT NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE GREAT LAKE
REGION. WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL BE AROUND MONDAY AND TUESDAY
AS WELL WHICH WILL SUPPORT A LOW RISK FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. AS A
RESULT, OCCASIONAL SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THIS PERIOD, WITH THE
RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES. WHILE ENSEMBLE QPF VALUES HAVE TRENDED
SLIGHTLY LOWER WITH THE LATEST RUNS, A RISK FOR LOCALLY EXCESSIVE
RAIN APPEARS POSSIBLE FOR THIS LONG DURATION EVENT.
– WINDY TUESDAY
A 45 TO 50 KNOT 925 MB LOW LEVEL JET IS ADVERTISE TO SHIFT
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE CWA ON TUESDAY. ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE FROM
THE VARIOUS MODELS SUGGEST 6 HR MAX GUSTS ON TUESDAY WILL END UP IN
THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE INLAND AND 45 TO 50 MPH CLOSER TO LAKE MI.
THUS THE MODELS CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A POTENTIAL FOR IMPACTS RELATED
TO HIGHER WIND GUSTS. WE WILL ADD STRONGER GUSTS POSSIBLE IN THE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.
Detailed Forecast For Grand Rapids
Today
Sunny, with a high near 55. Calm wind.
Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 37. Calm wind.
Sunday
Showers likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 59. East southeast wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Sunday Night
Showers. Low around 51. East southeast wind 7 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Monday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then showers between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 68. South wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Monday Night
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2am. Low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Tuesday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 67. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Tuesday Night
Showers likely, mainly before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Wednesday
A chance of showers before 8am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 58.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 39.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 56.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 38.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 56.
We saw .06 of an inch of rain yesterday. The low this morning was 27 degrees. Yesterday we had a high of 49 and the low was 32.
The time change = STUPID! Get rid of it once and for all!