Another day of mostly sunny skies is in store with coolish temperatures and low humidities. Little or no rain in the mid to long-range forecasts so there is nothing new to see here for Michigan as we stay in the clutches of high pressure. Temperatures will continue to rise through the weekend as will the dewpoints – Sunday dewpoint levels will be in the low 70s as a more tropical airmass moves into place.
Yesterday’s high was 76° and the low 47°.
1 to 7-day qpf forecast
Weather History
1936: The Dust Bowl summer of 1936 produced more record heat, with a high of 98 degrees at Grand Rapids and 94 at Lansing.
1964: Tornadoes struck in Calhoun, Lenawee and Hillsdale Counties. Three people were injured northeast of Battle Creek as a house and factory were damaged.
1966: A tornado struck Bellevue in Eaton County, damaging a house, garage and two cars.
2001: Severe weather and flooding hit Allegan, Ottawa and Kent Counties. Damaging winds hit Hudsonville, Plainwell, Dorr and Grand Rapids. Flooding occurred in eastern Van Buren and Kalamazoo Counties where three to five inches of rain is estimated to have fallen in less than 6 hours. Several streets were closed by flooding in Oshtemo flooded. Some businesses had to pump water out of their stores in Kalamazoo during the height of the storms.
Training of storms 8 22 2001 (click to animate)
On August 22, 1964, an F3 tornado hit Lenawee County at 2:35 PM around the community of Springville. Two people were injured as a result of this tornado. This was the last F3 or greater tornado to hit Lenawee.
NWS Forecast
Forecast Discussion
- Warming up Persistent south to southwest low level flow will advect a warmer air mass into Lower Michigan into the weekend. Based on projected 925 mb temps we`ll see max temperatures rising into the mid to upper 70`s today and upper 70`s to near 80 Friday. Warming continues into the weekend and with 925 mb temps rising into the low 20 deg C range, that will translate to max temperatures in the 80`s. Ensemble member temperature plots are relatively tight so good confidence on the above scenario exists. It`s worth noting at that cold front tries to drop down from the north Saturday but it doesn`t look like it will make it into our CWA, but an increase in clouds is the most likely impact of that front. - Mainly dry through the weekend A weak cold front tries to drop down from the north Saturday but it does not look like it will make it into the CWA. Bufkit overviews show mid level moisture increasing Friday into Saturday and the DGZ moistens up at times, however the atmosphere remains dry below 10k feet so we will keep a dry forecast going. Some elevated instability shows up Saturday night and into early next week. Overall the forcing remains weak and ensemble QPF from the various models show very little. They have also trended toward less qpf. So for now we will maintain only very low POPs given the current scenario.
What a summer! We are well on our way to another below normal temp pattern! The below normal pattern keeps rocking and let’s hope winter will be the same! I love it!
We now have 21 days of August 2024 in the record books. The mean temperature at GRR for the month is 69.9 that is -1.8 below average. The highest so far for the month is 89 and the low 49. There has been 1.78” of rainfall that is -0.67” There have been few hot days this summer and GR is at just 3 days of 90 or better 11 is the average for late August. And there have been just 16 days of 86 or better (I use that as the is the same as 30° C) the average number… Read more »
The official H/L yesterday at GRR was 74/49 there was no rainfall the highest wind gust was just 17 MPH out of the N the sun was out 89% of the time. For today the average H/L is 80/61 the record high of 98 was set in 1936 the coldest high of 63 was set in 1923 the record low of 44 was set in 1923 the warmest low of 74 was set in 1968 the most rainfall of 1.25” fell in 2001.
Slim